Prediction: Utrecht vs. Ajax

Away -0.25 x1.84

Bet 0.8%

Pinnacle

LOSS

Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 31		20.04.2025 10:15
Utrecht	4 - 0 Match Finished	Ajax
Stadion Galgenwaard Utrecht B. Nijhuis
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (1 - 0)

S. HallerS. Horemans

FoulJordan Henderson

Paxten AaronsonFoul

Second Half (4 - 0)

Miguel RodríguezY. Cathline

Miguel Rodríguez

ArgumentBrian Brobbey

B. TraoréD. Klaassen

W. WeghorstM. Godts

Miguel RodríguezO. Fraulo

ArgumentBertrand Traoré

O. WijndalJ. Hato

J. MokioK. Taylor

O. EdvardsenB. Brobbey

A. EngwandaM. Didden

S. HallerN. Ohio

P. AaronsonY. Cathline

Miguel RodríguezM. Jonathans

Y. CathlineA. Blake

O. FrauloV. Jensen

5	Shots on Goal	3

3	Shots off Goal	2

13	Total Shots	7

5	Blocked Shots	2

9	Shots insidebox	4

4	Shots outsidebox	3

7	Fouls	11

1	Corner Kicks	11

1	Offsides	2

31%	Ball Possession	69%

1	Yellow Cards	3

	Red Cards

3	Goalkeeper Saves	1

273	Total passes	606

211	Passes accurate	527

77%	Passes %	87%

0.83	expected_goals	0.75

-2	goals_prevented	-2


Coaches
R. Jans	F. Farioli
Formations
4-2-3-1	4-3-3
Start XI
G V. Barkas (1) D S. Horemans (2) D M. van der Hoorn (3) D N. Viergever (24) D S. El Karouani (16) M A. Engwanda (27) M P. Aaronson (21) M Miguel Rodríguez (22) M O. Fraulo (6) M Y. Cathline (20) F S. Haller (91)	(16) Matheus G (3) A. Gaaei D (37) J. Šutalo D (13) A. Kaplan D (4) J. Hato D (18) D. Klaassen M (6) J. Henderson M (8) K. Taylor M (23) S. Berghuis F (9) B. Brobbey F (11) M. Godts F
Substitutes
D M. Didden (40) F N. Ohio (11) F A. Blake (15) M M. Jonathans (26) M V. Jensen (7) G M. Brouwer (25) D K. Finnsson (5) F A. Descotte (19) D J. Mukeh (44) F D. Min (9) G T. de Graaff (32) M J. Toornstra (18)	(20) B. Traoré F (25) W. Weghorst F (5) O. Wijndal D (31) J. Mokio D (17) O. Edvardsen F (36) D. Janse D (22) R. Pasveer G (24) D. Rugani D (28) K. Fitz-Jim M (29) C. Rasmussen F (12) J. Gorter G (2) Lucas Rosa D

Utrecht	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Miguel Rodríguez	M	8.9	88	2	0	3	2	0		17	2	13	0	0
Yoann Cathline	M	8.2	88		2	1	1	0		14	3	10	0	0
Vasilis Barkas	G	7.9	90		0			0	3	41		22	0	0
Souffian El Karouani	D	7.9	90		0			0		18	2	12	0	0
Paxten Aaronson	M	7.7	90	1	0	1	1	0		22		19	1	0
Mike van der Hoorn	D	7.5	90		0			0		31	1	28	0	0
Siebe Horemans	D	7.3	90		1	1		0		28	1	21	0	0
Nick Viergever	D	7.3	90		0			0		37		29	0	0
Oscar Fraulo	M	7.3	89		1			0		16	2	13	0	0
Sébastien Haller	F	7.3	79	1	0	1	1	0		16	1	13	0	0
Alonzo Engwanda	M	6.9	79		0			0		23		21	0	0
Noah Ohio	F	6.6	11		0	1		0		3	1	3	0	0
Matisse Didden	D	6.5	11		0			0		1		1	0	0
Miliano Jonathans	M		2		0			0		2		2	0	0
Adrian Blake	F		2		0			0		2		2	0	0
Victor Jensen	M		1		0			0		2		2	0	0
Michael Brouwer	G							0					0	0
Tom de Graaff	G							0					0	0
Joshua Mukeh	D							0					0	0
Jens Toornstra	M							0					0	0
Kolbeinn Finnsson	D							0					0	0
David Min	F							0					0	0
Anthony Descotte	F							0					0	0
Ajax	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Steven Berghuis	F	7.2	90		0	1	1	0		37	1	30	0	0
Oliver Edvardsen	F	7.2	16		0			0		10	1	8	0	0
Josip Šutalo	D	6.9	90		0			0		103		96	0	0
Jordan Henderson	M	6.9	90		0			0		93		77	1	0
Mika Godts	F	6.9	59		0			0		21		16	0	0
Bertrand Traoré	F	6.7	31		0	1		0		6	2	6	1	0
Wout Weghorst	F	6.6	31		0	1	1	0		3		1	0	0
Kenneth Taylor	M	6.5	72		0			0		41		33	0	0
Owen Wijndal	D	6.5	18		0			0		9		8	0	0
Ahmetcan Kaplan	D	6.3	90		0			0		101		97	0	0
Jorrel Hato	D	6.3	72		0			0		43	1	39	0	0
Jorthy Mokio	D	6.3	18		0			0		7	1	5	0	0
Davy Klaassen	M	6.2	59		0			0		34		30	0	0
Brian Brobbey	F	6.2	74		0	2	1	0		12		9	1	0
Anton Gaaei	D	6	90		0			0		52		42	0	0
Matheus	G	5.7	90		0			4	1	34		30	0	0
Jay Gorter	G							0					0	0
Remko Pasveer	G							0					0	0
Dies Janse	D							0					0	0
Daniele Rugani	D							0					0	0
Lucas Rosa	D							0					0	0
Kian Fitz-Jim	M							0					0	0
Christian Rasmussen	F							0					0	0

Motivation

Robust bet is 0.8% of current betting balance at odds x1.84 found at Pinnacle - AI calculated discounted chance as 55.09%, which is by 0.74% greater than bookmakers opinion

Mean expected score:

1.26 : 1.9

Strength

Form

Attack

Defence

Field help

Probabilities

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

Fair Odds

1x2

Home

x3.88

Draw

x4.22

Away

x2.08

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x2.93

Away DNB

x1.57

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.07

Under 0.5

x19.30

Over 1.0

x1.08

Under 1.0

x16.68

Over 1.25

x1.17

Under 1.25

x7.88

Over 1.5

x1.25

Under 1.5

x5.43

Over 1.75

x1.29

Under 1.75

x4.82

Over 2.0

x1.35

Under 2.0

x4.21

Over 2.25

x1.54

Under 2.25

x3.01

Over 2.5

x1.74

Under 2.5

x2.46

Over 2.75

x1.91

Under 2.75

x2.19

Over 3.0

x2.20

Under 3.0

x1.91

Over 3.25

x2.52

Under 3.25

x1.72

Over 3.5

x2.85

Under 3.5

x1.59

Over 3.75

x3.46

Under 3.75

x1.45

Over 4.0

x4.70

Under 4.0

x1.30

Over 4.25

x5.21

Under 4.25

x1.27

Over 4.5

x5.73

Under 4.5

x1.24

Double Chance

H/D

x2.00

H/A

x1.34

D/A

x1.38

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x1.64

BTS no

x2.76

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x29.36

Away +2.5

x1.05

Home -2.0

x27.25

Away +2.0

x1.05

Home -1.75

x14.02

Home -1.5

x9.77

Away +1.5

x1.14

Home -1.25

x8.99

Away +1.25

x1.15

Home -1.0

x8.22

Away +1.0

x1.16

Home -0.75

x5.10

Away +0.75

x1.27

Home -0.5

x3.88

Away +0.5

x1.38

Home -0.25

x3.40

Away +0.25

x1.46

Home 0

x2.93

Away 0

x1.57

Home +0.25

x2.32

Away -0.25

x1.83

Home +0.5

x2.00

Away -0.5

x2.08

Home +0.75

x1.76

Away -0.75

x2.43

Home +1.0

x1.51

Away -1.0

x3.14

Home +1.25

x1.41

Away -1.25

x3.64

Home +1.5

x1.35

Away -1.5

x4.14

Home +1.75

x1.26

Away -1.75

x5.38

Home +2.0

x1.16

Away -2.0

x8.30

Home +2.25

x1.15

Away -2.25

x8.97

Home +2.5

x1.14

Away -2.5

x9.64

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x19.30

Score: 0:1

x12.05

Score: 0:2

x13.78

Score: 1:0

x18.14

Score: 1:1

x9.40

Score: 1:2

x10.26

Score: 2:0

x29.47

Score: 2:1

x15.76