Beta5ai Predictions All Tondela vs Nacional
Draw x3.60
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
-5%
Home
x1.85
Pinnacle
6%
Draw
x3.60
Pinnacle
-11%
Away
x4.61
Draw No Bet
William Hill
1%
Home DNB
x1.40
Bet365
-5%
Away DNB
x3.40
Over/Under
William Hill
-2%
Over 0.5
x1.08
Bet365
-10%
Under 0.5
x10.00
Unibet
-3%
Over 0.75
x1.07
Unibet
-9%
Under 0.75
x9.00
Bet365
-2%
Over 1.0
x1.10
Unibet
-9%
Under 1.0
x8.00
Bet365
-2%
Over 1.25
x1.23
Unibet
-6%
Under 1.25
x4.50
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 1.5
x1.38
Bet365
-7%
Under 1.5
x3.25
Pinnacle
-0%
Over 1.75
x1.48
Unibet
-6%
Under 1.75
x2.85
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 2.0
x1.61
Unibet
-5%
Under 2.0
x2.43
Bet365
-1%
Over 2.25
x1.88
Pinnacle
-5%
Under 2.25
x1.99
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 2.5
x2.13
Pinnacle
-5%
Under 2.5
x1.76
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 2.75
x2.49
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 2.75
x1.57
Unibet
-4%
Over 3.0
x3.10
Bet365
-3%
Under 3.0
x1.38
Unibet
-5%
Over 3.25
x3.50
Bet365
-5%
Under 3.25
x1.30
Pinnacle
-5%
Over 3.5
x3.96
William Hill
-2%
Under 3.5
x1.29
Unibet
-9%
Over 3.75
x4.90
Bet365
-4%
Under 3.75
x1.18
Unibet
-13%
Over 4.0
x7.00
Bet365
-3%
Under 4.0
x1.10
1xBet
-19%
Over 4.25
x7.10
Bet365
-2%
Under 4.25
x1.10
Bet365
-16%
Over 4.5
x8.00
Bwin
-3%
Under 4.5
x1.08
Double Chance
Bwin
-2%
H/D
x1.22
Pinnacle
-7%
H/A
x1.32
Pinnacle
-3%
D/A
x2.00
Both Teams to Score
Pinnacle
-1%
BTS yes
x1.97
Pinnacle
-7%
BTS no
x1.87
Asian Handicap
Bet365
-32%
Home -2.5
x7.00
Bet365
-1%
Away +2.5
x1.10
1xBet
-25%
Home -2.25
x6.90
Bet365
-1%
Away +2.25
x1.11
Marathonbet
-26%
Home -2.0
x6.05
Bet365
0%
Away +2.0
x1.13
Unibet
-11%
Home -1.75
x4.70
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.75
x1.22
Pinnacle
-8%
Home -1.5
x3.71
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.5
x1.32
Pinnacle
-7%
Home -1.25
x3.22
Bet365
-0%
Away +1.25
x1.40
Unibet
-5%
Home -1.0
x2.75
Bet365
-0%
Away +1.0
x1.50
Unibet
-4%
Home -0.75
x2.16
Pinnacle
-1%
Away +0.75
x1.76
Unibet
-4%
Home -0.5
x1.86
Pinnacle
-0%
Away +0.5
x2.05
Unibet
-2%
Home -0.25
x1.62
Pinnacle
-2%
Away +0.25
x2.45
Unibet
-0%
Home 0
x1.37
Pinnacle
-5%
Away 0
x3.39
Unibet
-0%
Home +0.25
x1.29
Pinnacle
-9%
Away -0.25
x3.96
Unibet
-1%
Home +0.5
x1.23
Pinnacle
-12%
Away -0.5
x4.53
Unibet
-1%
Home +0.75
x1.15
Bet365
-19%
Away -0.75
x5.75
Marathonbet
-4%
Home +1.0
x1.03
Marathonbet
-32%
Away -1.0
x8.20
1xBet
-4%
Home +1.25
x1.03
1xBet
-26%
Away -1.25
x10.00
Marathonbet
-5%
Home +1.5
x1.02
Marathonbet
-38%
Away -1.5
x9.20
Correct Score
Unibet
-12%
Score: 0:0
x9.50
Pinnacle
-9%
Score: 0:1
x11.97
Pinnacle
-15%
Score: 0:2
x23.09
Unibet
-11%
Score: 1:0
x6.75
Pinnacle
-15%
Score: 1:1
x7.23
Bet365
-19%
Score: 1:2
x15.00
Pinnacle
-8%
Score: 2:0
x9.03
William Hill
-21%
Score: 2:1
x9.00
Motivation
Summary of this match
Draw can be used as possible selection for the game between Tondela and Nacional. Both power ratings and bookmakers set Tondela as favorite, but drawish chances are underestimated. Overview of Tondela: performance is better than expected, team scores not too much and concedes average number of goals. Overview of Nacional: performance is rather optimistic, team scores normal amount and concedes not too much. Positive average reward combined with slightly higher risk is expected here by AI. To play profitably one shall use odds greater than 3.43. Kelly criterion makes 0% of the budget, while we advise max 0%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 6%
Robustness: 0%
Game rating
Rating: 1481
Team ratings
Glicko
1514
1448
Elo
1497
1471
Team goals
Expected
1.52
0.93
Average scored
0.84
1.06
Average conceded
1.08
0.86
Team form
Progress
6%
7%
Projected place
#7
#14