Prediction: Sporting CP vs. Famalicao

Home -0.25 x1.23

Bet 5%

Pinnacle

WIN

Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 26		15.03.2025 20:30
Sporting CP	3 - 1 Match Finished	Famalicao
Estádio José Alvalade Lisboa Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (1 - 1)

Iván FresnedaTrincão

FoulJustin De Haas

Ousmane DiomandeFoul

Óscar Aranda

Morten HjulmandArgument

Second Half (3 - 1)

Zeno DebastFoul

Iván FresnedaGeny Catamo

V. Gyökeres

H. MoritaEduardo Quaresma

RochinhaÓscar Aranda

Maximiliano AraújoFoul

S. ElisorGustavo Sá

Gil DiasSorriso

Geny CatamoV. Gyökeres

M. HjulmandRicardo Esgaio

Geovany QuendaEduardo Felicíssimo

TrincãoC. Harder

Francisco TrincãoFoul

9	Shots on Goal	3

6	Shots off Goal	4

18	Total Shots	9

3	Blocked Shots	2

14	Shots insidebox	4

4	Shots outsidebox	5

10	Fouls	13

11	Corner Kicks	4

0	Offsides	1

53%	Ball Possession	47%

4	Yellow Cards	1

1	Red Cards	0

2	Goalkeeper Saves	4

448	Total passes	397

384	Passes accurate	325

86%	Passes %	82%

3.85	expected_goals	1.04

0	goals_prevented	0


Coaches
Rui Borges	Hugo Oliveira
Formations
3-4-2-1	4-3-3
Start XI
G Rui Silva (24) D Z. Debast (6) D O. Diomande (26) D Matheus Reis (2) M Iván Fresneda (22) M M. Hjulmand (42) M H. Morita (5) M M. Araújo (20) F Trincão (17) F Geovany Quenda (57) F V. Gyökeres (9)	(25) L. Carević G (17) Rodrigo Pinheiro D (4) E. Mihaj D (16) J. de Haas D (5) Rafa Soares D (20) Gustavo Sá M (6) T. van de Looi M (8) M. Topić M (7) Sorriso F (29) V. Sejk F (11) Óscar Aranda F
Substitutes
M Geny Catamo (21) D Eduardo Quaresma (72) F C. Harder (19) M Eduardo Felicíssimo (73) D Ricardo Esgaio (47) F Biel (30) M Henrique Arreiol (81) G F. Israel (1) D José Silva (55)	(10) Rochinha F (12) S. Elisor F (23) Gil Dias F (88) Samuel Lobato M (14) M. De Amorim M (13) Pedro Francisco D (2) Calegari D (3) L. Realpe D (1) I. Zlobin G

Sporting CP	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Viktor Gyökeres	F	9	90	1	1	2	1	0		27	3	20	0	0
Francisco Trincão	F	8	89		1			0		27	3	23	1	0
Zeno Debast	D	7.3	90		0	1	1	0		68	1	61	1	0
Geovany Quenda	F	7.3	89		0	2	1	0		39	2	32	0	0
Rui Silva	G	7.2	90		0			1	2	16		15	0	0
Iván Fresneda	M	7.2	60	1	0	2	2	0		21		14	0	0
Hidemasa Morita	M	7.2	73		0	1	1	0		31	2	25	0	0
Geny Catamo	M	7.2	30	1	0	1	1	0		4		3	0	0
Morten Hjulmand	M	7	89		0			0		45	2	40	1	0
Ousmane Diomande	D	6.9	90		0	3		0		61		57	1	0
Matheus Reis	D	6.9	90		0			0		64		55	0	0
Eduardo Quaresma	D	6.9	17		0			0		9		7	0	0
Maximiliano Araújo	M	5.9	80		0	3	2	0		33		30	0	1
Ricardo Esgaio	D		1		0			0		1		1	0	0
Eduardo Felicíssimo	M		1		0			0					0	0
Conrad Harder	F		1		0			0		2		1	0	0
Franco Israel	G							0					0	0
José Silva	D							0					0	0
Henrique Arreiol	M							0					0	0
Biel	F							0					0	0
Famalicao	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Sorriso	F	7.7	87		0	1	1	0		24		19	0	0
Václav Sejk	F	7.7	90		0			0		27		22	0	0
Rodrigo Pinheiro	D	7.3	90		0	1		0		42	3	34	0	0
Lazar Carević	G	6.9	90		0			3	4	14		9	0	0
Enea Mihaj	D	6.9	90		0			0		36		32	0	0
Óscar Aranda	F	6.9	75	1	0	1	1	0		24		19	0	0
Gustavo Sá	M	6.7	85		0	2	1	0		32		26	0	0
Rochinha	F	6.7	15		0			0		14		11	0	0
Mirko Topić	M	6.5	90		0			0		37		32	0	0
Gil Dias	F	6.5	10		0			0		3		3	0	0
Rafa Soares	D	6.3	90		0	2		0		30	1	19	0	0
Tom Van De Looi	M	6.3	90		0			0		63	1	56	0	0
Simon Elisor	F	6.3	12		0			0		3		3	0	0
Justin De Haas	D	6.2	90		0			0		48		40	1	0
Ivan Zlobin	G							0					0	0
Leonardo Realpe	D							0					0	0
Calegari	D							0					0	0
Pedro Bondo	D							0					0	0
Mathias De Amorim	M							0					0	0
Samuel Lobato	M							0					0	0

Robust bet is 5% of current betting balance at odds x1.23 found at Pinnacle - AI calculated discounted chance as 83.11%, which is by 1.81% greater than bookmakers opinion

Mean expected score:

2.84 : 0.59

90

Strength

74

96

Form

90

Attack

63

74

Defence

74

54

Field help

46

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

1x2

Home

x1.31

Draw

x6.89

Away

x14.78

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x1.11

Away DNB

x12.54

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.06

Under 0.5

x26.52

Over 1.0

x1.06

Under 1.0

x22.76

Over 1.25

x1.15

Under 1.25

x8.67

Over 1.5

x1.24

Under 1.5

x5.69

Over 1.75

x1.28

Under 1.75

x5.07

Over 2.0

x1.33

Under 2.0

x4.45

Over 2.25

x1.52

Under 2.25

x3.14

Over 2.5

x1.71

Under 2.5

x2.56

Over 2.75

x1.88

Under 2.75

x2.26

Over 3.0

x2.16

Under 3.0

x1.96

Over 3.25

x2.49

Under 3.25

x1.74

Over 3.5

x2.82

Under 3.5

x1.60

Over 3.75

x3.41

Under 3.75

x1.46

Over 4.0

x4.55

Under 4.0

x1.32

Over 4.25

x5.03

Under 4.25

x1.28

Over 4.5

x5.52

Under 4.5

x1.26

Double Chance

H/D

x1.10

H/A

x1.20

D/A

x4.61

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x2.24

BTS no

x1.90

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x3.64

Away +2.5

x1.43

Home -2.25

x3.20

Away +2.25

x1.51

Home -2.0

x2.76

Away +2.0

x1.64

Home -1.75

x2.24

Away +1.75

x1.89

Home -1.5

x1.96

Away +1.5

x2.15

Home -1.25

x1.71

Away +1.25

x2.56

Home -1.0

x1.46

Away +1.0

x3.45

Home -0.75

x1.37

Away +0.75

x4.03

Home -0.5

x1.31

Away +0.5

x4.61

Home -0.25

x1.21

Away +0.25

x6.48

Home 0

x1.11

Away 0

x12.54

Home +0.25

x1.11

Away -0.25

x13.66

Home +0.5

x1.10

Away -0.5

x14.78

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x26.52

Score: 0:1

x41.98

Score: 0:2

x149.11

Score: 1:0

x8.30

Score: 1:1

x15.08

Score: 1:2

x46.44

Score: 2:0

x7.32

Score: 2:1

x10.07