Summary of this match
Draw is appropriate for value betting. Both power ratings and bookmakers set Qarabag as favorite, but drawish chances are underestimated. Overview of Qarabag: performance is seriously on the low side, team scores great amount and concedes a small amount. Overview of Lech Poznan: performance is lower than expected, team scores normal amount and concedes a small amount. AI predicts distinctively positive reward from this result in the long run. Minimal odds to start with are 3.17. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Game rating: 1841
Expected goals: 1.46 : 0.77
Round: 2 / 2
Betting odds comparison: Qarabag is a favorite
Average odds: 1.80 - 3.40 - 4.49
Odds ratio: 66% : 34%
Rating comparison: Qarabag is stronger
Glicko: 1875 -3 [71 -1] : 1807 [69 -1]
Elo: 1777 -2 : 1725
Progress: -22% : -9%
Average goals by Qarabag: 2.5 : 0.6
Average goals by Lech Poznan: 1.67 : 0.89
Stage position: Qarabag is #2 and Lech Poznan is #1 out of 2 teams
Projected positions: Qarabag is #2 and Lech Poznan is #1
Motivation for Qarabag: projected raise upon winning
Motivation for Lech Poznan: projected drop upon losing
Head-to-head this stage: Qarabag is behind, last game: 05.07.2022 Lech Poznan - Qarabag 1:0