Beta5ai Predictions All Ponferradina vs Burgos
Under 2.0 x1.95
Bet 2%
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
-1%
Home
x2.87
Marathonbet
4%
Draw
x3.06
Bet365
-7%
Away
x3.00
Draw No Bet
Pinnacle
1%
Home DNB
x1.93
Bet365
-4%
Away DNB
x2.00
Over/Under
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 0.5
x1.13
Unibet
-12%
Under 0.5
x7.00
Bet365
-4%
Over 0.75
x1.12
Unibet
-8%
Under 0.75
x6.25
Bet365
-4%
Over 1.0
x1.15
Bet365
-5%
Under 1.0
x5.50
Bet365
-7%
Over 1.25
x1.32
Unibet
-1%
Under 1.25
x3.35
Pinnacle
-6%
Over 1.5
x1.55
Unibet
1%
Under 1.5
x2.60
Pinnacle
-7%
Over 1.75
x1.69
Bet365
1%
Under 1.75
x2.25
Pinnacle
-7%
Over 2.0
x1.96
Bet365
3%
Under 2.0
x1.95
Pinnacle
-10%
Over 2.25
x2.29
Pinnacle
1%
Under 2.25
x1.66
Pinnacle
-13%
Over 2.5
x2.63
Marathonbet
2%
Under 2.5
x1.53
Unibet
-16%
Over 2.75
x3.15
Bet365
0%
Under 2.75
x1.37
Unibet
-19%
Over 3.0
x4.30
Bet365
0%
Under 3.0
x1.23
Unibet
-20%
Over 3.25
x4.80
Bet365
0%
Under 3.25
x1.20
Pinnacle
-23%
Over 3.5
x5.27
Bwin
-1%
Under 3.5
x1.17
Unibet
-22%
Over 3.75
x7.00
Bet365
-2%
Under 3.75
x1.11
Unibet
-21%
Over 4.0
x11.00
Unibet
-3%
Under 4.0
x1.05
Bet365
-30%
Over 4.5
x11.00
Bwin
-2%
Under 4.5
x1.05
Double Chance
Pinnacle
0%
H/D
x1.46
Pinnacle
-7%
H/A
x1.42
Marathonbet
-5%
D/A
x1.47
Both Teams to Score
Pinnacle
-7%
BTS yes
x2.17
Pinnacle
-2%
BTS no
x1.72
Asian Handicap
1xBet
-48%
Home -2.5
x13.00
Marathonbet
-45%
Home -2.0
x11.50
1xBet
-3%
Away +2.0
x1.02
Unibet
-16%
Home -1.75
x9.50
Bet365
-0%
Away +1.75
x1.10
Unibet
-13%
Home -1.5
x6.75
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.5
x1.14
Unibet
-12%
Home -1.25
x6.00
Pinnacle
-0%
Away +1.25
x1.17
Pinnacle
-6%
Home -1.0
x5.64
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.0
x1.19
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.75
x3.65
Bet365
-1%
Away +0.75
x1.35
Pinnacle
-1%
Home -0.5
x2.85
Bet365
-3%
Away +0.5
x1.50
Pinnacle
0%
Home -0.25
x2.40
Bet365
-2%
Away +0.25
x1.68
Pinnacle
2%
Home 0
x1.95
Bet365
-3%
Away 0
x2.05
Pinnacle
1%
Home +0.25
x1.63
Bet365
-8%
Away -0.25
x2.42
Pinnacle
1%
Home +0.5
x1.47
Bet365
-12%
Away -0.5
x2.85
Pinnacle
-0%
Home +0.75
x1.31
Unibet
-14%
Away -0.75
x3.65
Pinnacle
-0%
Home +1.0
x1.16
Bet365
-17%
Away -1.0
x5.75
Bet365
-1%
Home +1.25
x1.13
Bet365
-24%
Away -1.25
x6.00
Bet365
-2%
Home +1.5
x1.11
Bet365
-27%
Away -1.5
x6.60
Marathonbet
-4%
Home +1.75
x1.04
Marathonbet
-37%
Away -1.75
x8.30
1xBet
-52%
Away -2.0
x12.50
1xBet
-3%
Home +2.5
x1.01
1xBet
-58%
Away -2.5
x13.00
Correct Score
Unibet
-10%
Score: 0:0
x6.75
Bet365
-5%
Score: 0:1
x7.50
Pinnacle
-12%
Score: 0:2
x13.04
Pinnacle
-1%
Score: 1:0
x7.53
Pinnacle
-17%
Score: 1:1
x6.45
William Hill
-22%
Score: 1:2
x12.00
Pinnacle
-16%
Score: 2:0
x12.87
Pinnacle
-31%
Score: 2:1
x11.24
Motivation
Summary of this match
Ponferradina and Burgos to score under 2.0 goals according to Asian handicap is appropriate for value betting. Probability of the result is higher than average odds. Overview of Ponferradina: performance is far from optimal, team scores not too much and concedes between one and two goals. Overview of Burgos: performance is better than expected, team scores not too much and concedes a small amount. AI found small yet positive profit for this result in past games like this. Bet at greater than 1.87. Kelly criterion makes 4% of the budget, while we advise max 2%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 3%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1594
Team ratings
Glicko
1551
1637
Elo
1501
1548
Team goals
Expected
1.02
1.03
Average scored
0.92
1.48
Average conceded
0.95
0.57
Team form
Progress
-28%
13%
Projected place
#18
#7