Prediction: Plymouth vs. QPR

Score: 0:1 x9.02

WIN

England - Championship Regular Season - 27		18.01.2025 12:30
Plymouth	0 - 1 Match Finished	QPR
Home Park Plymouth Darren Bond, England
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (0 - 0)

FoulJonathan Varane

Second Half (0 - 1)

D. GyabiJ. Houghton

FoulPaul Smyth

R. KolliM. Frey

J. ColbackJ. Varane

Jordan HoughtonFoul

R. Al HajjC. Wright

FoulRonnie Edwards

I. ChairR. Kolli

R. HardieM. Bundu

K. SaitoP. Smyth

M. BaidooI. Cissoko

B. MumbaM. Sorinola

H. AshbyK. Morgan

A. LloydI. Chair

1	Shots on Goal	7

2	Shots off Goal	5

4	Total Shots	15

1	Blocked Shots	3

3	Shots insidebox	11

1	Shots outsidebox	4

9	Fouls	9

8	Corner Kicks	6

4	Offsides	0

47%	Ball Possession	53%

1	Yellow Cards	3

	Red Cards

6	Goalkeeper Saves	1

356	Total passes	407

264	Passes accurate	302

74%	Passes %	74%

0.18	expected_goals	2.90

0	goals_prevented	0


Coaches
M. Muslić	Martí Cifuentes
Formations
4-2-3-1	4-2-3-1
Start XI
G D. Grimshaw (31) D B. Mumba (2) D Julio Pleguezuelo (5) D V. Pálsson (44) D T. Puchacz (17) M A. Randell (20) M D. Gyabi (18) M M. Whittaker (10) M M. Baidoo (30) M R. Al Hajj (28) F R. Hardie (9)	(1) P. Nardi G (3) J. Dunne D (17) R. Edwards D (15) M. Fox D (22) K. Paal D (40) J. Varane M (8) S. Field M (11) P. Smyth M (21) K. Morgan M (10) I. Chair M (12) M. Frey F
Substitutes
M J. Houghton (4) M C. Wright (11) F M. Bundu (15) F I. Cissoko (7) D M. Sorinola (29) G Z. Baker (33) F F. Issaka (35) M C. Roberts (34) D N. Ogbeta (3)	(26) R. Kolli F (4) J. Colback M (14) K. Saito F (20) H. Ashby D (28) A. Lloyd F (24) N. Madsen M (27) D. Bennie F (13) J. Walsh G (6) J. Clarke-Salter D

Plymouth	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Daniel Grimshaw	G	7.9	90		0			1	6	35		24	0	0
Adam Randell	M	7.2	90		0			0		35		30	0	0
Rami Al Hajj	M	7	60		0	1	1	0		21		16	0	0
Julio Pleguezuelo	D	6.9	90		0			0		39		29	0	0
Victor Pálsson	D	6.9	90		0	1		0		61		48	0	0
Darko Gyabi	M	6.9	45		0			0		18		14	0	0
Tymoteusz Puchacz	D	6.7	90		0			0		35	1	28	0	0
Michael Baidoo	M	6.7	80		0			0		13	1	9	0	0
Jordan Houghton	M	6.6	45		0			0		11		6	1	0
Matthew Sorinola	D	6.6	10		0			0		8		5	0	0
Morgan Whittaker	M	6.5	90		0			0		27	1	20	0	0
Ryan Hardie	F	6.5	73		0			0		7		4	0	0
Callum Wright	M	6.3	30		0	1		0		6		2	0	0
Mustapha Bundu	F	6.3	17		0			0		6		5	0	0
Ibrahim Cissoko	F	6.3	10		0			0		2		1	0	0
Bali Mumba	D	5.9	80		0			0		32		23	0	0
Zak Baker	G							0					0	0
Nathanael Ogbeta	D							0					0	0
Caleb Roberts	M							0					0	0
Frederick Issaka	F							0					0	0
QPR	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Morgan Fox	D	7.7	90		0	1	1	0		47	1	37	0	0
Rayan Kolli	F	7.6	31	1	0	2	1	0		9	1	6	0	0
Jimmy Dunne	D	7.3	90		0			0		50		31	0	0
Ilias Chair	M	7.3	86		1	2	2	0		28	2	24	0	0
Ronnie Edwards	D	7.2	90		0	1		0		39		31	1	0
Kenneth Paal	D	7.2	90		0			0		49	1	40	0	0
Sam Field	M	7.2	90		0	2		0		23		19	0	0
Paul Smyth	M	7.2	75		0	1		0		24	1	16	1	0
Alfie Lloyd	F	7	8		0			0		4	1	3	0	0
Paul Nardi	G	6.9	90		0			0	1	31		21	0	0
Jonathan Varane	M	6.9	59		0			0		27		23	1	0
Koki Saito	F	6.9	15		0	1	1	0		10		9	0	0
Jack Colback	M	6.7	31		0			0		12		12	0	0
Harrison Ashby	D	6.3	8		0			0		5		2	0	0
Kieran Morgan	M	6.2	86		0			0		36	1	19	0	0
Michael Frey	F	6.2	59		0	2	2	0		13		9	0	0
Joe Walsh	G							0					0	0
Jake Clarke-Salter	D							0					0	0
Nicolas Madsen	M							0					0	0
Daniel Bennie	F							0					0	0

Motivation

AI calculated discounted chance as 10.59%, which is not enough for robust betting at given odds

Mean expected score:

1.16 : 1.51

Strength

Form

Attack

Defence

Field help

Probabilities

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

Fair Odds

1x2

Home

x3.27

Draw

x3.54

Away

x2.57

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x2.32

Away DNB

x1.82

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.11

Under 0.5

x11.83

Over 0.75

x1.12

Under 0.75

x10.68

Over 1.0

x1.14

Under 1.0

x9.53

Over 1.25

x1.27

Under 1.25

x5.00

Over 1.5

x1.41

Under 1.5

x3.63

Over 1.75

x1.50

Under 1.75

x3.17

Over 2.0

x1.63

Under 2.0

x2.71

Over 2.25

x1.91

Under 2.25

x2.19

Over 2.5

x2.19

Under 2.5

x1.91

Over 2.75

x2.54

Under 2.75

x1.70

Over 3.0

x3.20

Under 3.0

x1.50

Over 3.25

x3.64

Under 3.25

x1.41

Over 3.5

x4.08

Under 3.5

x1.36

Over 3.75

x5.23

Under 3.75

x1.26

Over 4.0

x7.84

Under 4.0

x1.17

Over 4.25

x8.47

Under 4.25

x1.16

Over 4.5

x9.10

Under 4.5

x1.14

Double Chance

H/D

x1.69

H/A

x1.43

D/A

x1.48

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x1.93

BTS no

x2.15

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x27.52

Away +2.5

x1.05

Home -2.0

x25.21

Away +2.0

x1.06

Home -1.75

x12.40

Away +1.75

x1.10

Home -1.5

x8.52

Away +1.5

x1.15

Home -1.25

x7.70

Away +1.25

x1.17

Home -1.0

x6.88

Away +1.0

x1.19

Home -0.75

x4.27

Away +0.75

x1.33

Home -0.5

x3.27

Away +0.5

x1.48

Home -0.25

x2.80

Away +0.25

x1.60

Home 0

x2.32

Away 0

x1.82

Home +0.25

x1.91

Away -0.25

x2.19

Home +0.5

x1.69

Away -0.5

x2.57

Home +0.75

x1.50

Away -0.75

x3.20

Home +1.0

x1.30

Away -1.0

x4.68

Home +1.25

x1.25

Away -1.25

x5.36

Home +1.5

x1.22

Away -1.5

x6.05

Home +1.75

x1.15

Away -1.75

x8.45

Home +2.0

x1.09

Away -2.0

x15.37

Away -2.25

x16.32

Home +2.5

x1.08

Away -2.5

x17.26

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x11.83

Score: 0:1

x9.45

Score: 0:2

x16.18

Score: 1:0

x12.45

Score: 1:1

x7.78

Score: 1:2

x11.24

Score: 2:0

x21.54

Score: 2:1

x13.50