Beta5ai Predictions All Perugia vs Spal
Under 3.0 x1.42
Bet 4%
WIN
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
-6%
Home
x2.11
Pinnacle
-2%
Draw
x3.27
Pinnacle
1%
Away
x4.03
Draw No Bet
Pinnacle
-4%
Home DNB
x1.47
Pinnacle
0%
Away DNB
x2.81
Over/Under
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 0.5
x1.10
Bet365
-9%
Under 0.5
x9.00
Unibet
-3%
Over 0.75
x1.09
Unibet
-13%
Under 0.75
x7.50
Unibet
-3%
Over 1.0
x1.11
Bet365
-7%
Under 1.0
x7.00
1xBet
-5%
Over 1.25
x1.25
Unibet
-5%
Under 1.25
x3.95
William Hill
-6%
Over 1.5
x1.40
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 1.5
x3.07
Pinnacle
-5%
Over 1.75
x1.51
Pinnacle
0%
Under 1.75
x2.71
Unibet
-5%
Over 2.0
x1.66
Pinnacle
0%
Under 2.0
x2.32
Unibet
-5%
Over 2.25
x1.96
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 2.25
x1.93
Unibet
-5%
Over 2.5
x2.25
Marathonbet
-2%
Under 2.5
x1.71
Unibet
-4%
Over 2.75
x2.70
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 2.75
x1.54
Unibet
-6%
Over 3.0
x3.50
Pinnacle
3%
Under 3.0
x1.42
Unibet
-7%
Over 3.25
x3.95
1xBet
-1%
Under 3.25
x1.30
Unibet
-9%
Over 3.5
x4.35
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 3.5
x1.26
Unibet
-11%
Over 3.75
x5.60
1xBet
-2%
Under 3.75
x1.17
Unibet
-13%
Over 4.0
x8.50
Unibet
-3%
Under 4.0
x1.08
1xBet
-24%
Over 4.25
x7.90
Marathonbet
-4%
Under 4.25
x1.06
Unibet
-16%
Over 4.5
x9.50
Bwin
-3%
Under 4.5
x1.07
Double Chance
Pinnacle
-4%
H/D
x1.28
Pinnacle
-4%
H/A
x1.37
Pinnacle
-1%
D/A
x1.79
Both Teams to Score
Bet365
-6%
BTS yes
x1.95
Pinnacle
-2%
BTS no
x1.89
Asian Handicap
Marathonbet
-48%
Home -2.5
x7.60
Marathonbet
-4%
Away +2.5
x1.04
Marathonbet
-39%
Home -2.0
x7.00
Marathonbet
-3%
Away +2.0
x1.06
Unibet
-16%
Home -1.75
x5.80
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.75
x1.16
Unibet
-14%
Home -1.5
x4.35
Pinnacle
-0%
Away +1.5
x1.25
Unibet
-11%
Home -1.25
x3.85
Bet365
0%
Away +1.25
x1.30
Unibet
-9%
Home -1.0
x3.35
Bet365
1%
Away +1.0
x1.38
Pinnacle
-7%
Home -0.75
x2.50
Pinnacle
-0%
Away +0.75
x1.59
Pinnacle
-6%
Home -0.5
x2.11
Pinnacle
0%
Away +0.5
x1.82
Pinnacle
-5%
Home -0.25
x1.79
Pinnacle
0%
Away +0.25
x2.13
Bet365
-4%
Home 0
x1.48
Pinnacle
1%
Away 0
x2.84
Bet365
-3%
Home +0.25
x1.38
Pinnacle
-0%
Away -0.25
x3.40
Bet365
-3%
Home +0.5
x1.30
Pinnacle
-1%
Away -0.5
x3.97
Bet365
-3%
Home +0.75
x1.19
Pinnacle
-4%
Away -0.75
x5.30
Marathonbet
-3%
Home +1.0
x1.07
Marathonbet
-18%
Away -1.0
x7.90
1xBet
-4%
Home +1.25
x1.06
1xBet
-23%
Away -1.25
x8.40
Marathonbet
-5%
Home +1.5
x1.04
Marathonbet
-29%
Away -1.5
x8.70
Marathonbet
-5%
Home +1.75
x1.01
1xBet
-26%
Away -1.75
x13.50
Correct Score
Pinnacle
-14%
Score: 0:0
x8.51
Pinnacle
1%
Score: 0:1
x11.30
Pinnacle
-9%
Score: 0:2
x20.39
Pinnacle
-6%
Score: 1:0
x7.15
Pinnacle
-20%
Score: 1:1
x6.71
Pinnacle
-20%
Score: 1:2
x13.79
Pinnacle
-13%
Score: 2:0
x9.98
Pinnacle
-23%
Score: 2:1
x9.58
Motivation
Summary of this match
Perugia and Spal to score under 3.0 goals according to Asian handicap could bring a profit in a long run. Bookmakers set probability of the result as very high, still chances are even higher than listed. Overview of Perugia: performance is better than expected, team scores a small amount and concedes normal amount. Overview of Spal: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores average number of goals and concedes average number of goals. AI found small yet positive profit for this result in past games like this. Minimal odds to start with must be greater than 1.38. Kelly criterion makes 8% of the budget, while we advise max 4%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 3%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1490
Team ratings
Glicko
1489
1492
Elo
1466
1467
Team goals
Expected
1.37
0.98
Average scored
0.78
1.17
Average conceded
1.17
1.4
Team form
Progress
11%
-40%
Projected place
#19
#17