Prediction: Penafiel vs. Trofense

Draw x3.61

LOSS

1x2

SBO

-6%

Home

x1.84

Pinnacle

4%

Draw

x3.61

Pinnacle

-5%

Away

x4.76

Draw No Bet

10Bet

-2%

Home DNB

x1.36

Pinnacle

-3%

Away DNB

x3.48

Over/Under

William Hill

-2%

Over 0.5

x1.08

10Bet

-6%

Under 0.5

x10.25

William Hill

-1%

Over 1.5

x1.40

Unibet

-4%

Under 1.5

x3.30

William Hill

1%

Over 2.5

x2.20

Marathonbet

-6%

Under 2.5

x1.73

Pinnacle

-4%

Over 3.5

x4.01

Pinnacle

-4%

Under 3.5

x1.26

10Bet

-18%

Over 4.5

x8.00

10Bet

-2%

Under 4.5

x1.09

Double Chance

10Bet

-2%

H/D

x1.23

William Hill

-4%

H/A

x1.35

Pinnacle

-0%

D/A

x2.05

Both Teams to Score

Pinnacle

1%

BTS yes

x2.03

Tipico

-7%

BTS no

x1.85

Asian Handicap

Bet365

-29%

Home -2.5

x7.00

Bet365

-1%

Away +2.5

x1.10

Pinnacle

-14%

Home -1.5

x3.49

Pinnacle

0%

Away +1.5

x1.33

Marathonbet

-6%

Home +1.5

x1.01

Marathonbet

-35%

Away -1.5

x9.70

Correct Score

Netbet

-3%

Score: 0:0

x10.50

Tipico

-4%

Score: 0:1

x12.00

SBO

4%

Score: 0:2

x26.92

Unibet

-10%

Score: 1:0

x6.75

Pinnacle

-18%

Score: 1:1

x7.26

Tipico

-15%

Score: 1:2

x16.00

Pinnacle

-14%

Score: 2:0

x8.43

Bet365

-24%

Score: 2:1

x9.00

Summary of this match

Draw is appropriate for value betting. Both power ratings and bookmakers set Penafiel as favorite, but drawish chances are underestimated. Overview of Penafiel: performance is on the good side, team scores between one and two goals and concedes normal amount. Overview of Trofense: performance is beyond what fans need, team scores average number of goals and concedes average number of goals. AI found small yet positive profit for this result in past games like this. To play profitably one shall use odds 3.47 or greater. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!

Game rating: 1593
Expected goals: 1.53 : 0.92
Round: 5 / 34
Betting odds comparison: Penafiel is a favorite
Average odds: 1.76 - 3.40 - 4.42
Odds ratio: 67% : 33%
Rating comparison: Penafiel is stronger
Glicko: 1626 +13 [72 -1] : 1561 +0 [75 -2]
Elo: 1658 +7 : 1573 +1
Progress: 12% : -9%
Average goals by Penafiel: 1.33 : 1.23
Average goals by Trofense: 1.3 : 1.46
Stage position: Penafiel is #11 and Trofense is #15 out of 18 teams
Projected positions: Penafiel is #8 and Trofense is #15
Head-to-head this stage: none