Beta5ai Predictions All Penafiel vs Nacional
Over 3.0 x3.15
PUSH
Best odds
1x2
1xBet
-2%
Home
x1.94
Pinnacle
0%
Draw
x3.53
Pinnacle
-1%
Away
x4.31
Draw No Bet
Bwin
-0%
Home DNB
x1.44
Pinnacle
-1%
Away DNB
x3.11
Over/Under
William Hill
-3%
Over 0.5
x1.07
Bet365
0%
Under 0.5
x10.00
Unibet
-4%
Over 0.75
x1.07
Unibet
-0%
Under 0.75
x9.00
Unibet
-5%
Over 1.0
x1.08
Unibet
-0%
Under 1.0
x8.00
Bet365
-3%
Over 1.25
x1.22
Unibet
-1%
Under 1.25
x4.40
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 1.5
x1.37
Bet365
-2%
Under 1.5
x3.25
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 1.75
x1.46
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 1.75
x2.84
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 2.0
x1.60
Pinnacle
-3%
Under 2.0
x2.43
Pinnacle
-0%
Over 2.25
x1.87
Bet365
-3%
Under 2.25
x2.00
Pinnacle
0%
Over 2.5
x2.13
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 2.5
x1.76
Pinnacle
0%
Over 2.75
x2.49
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 2.75
x1.57
Unibet
1%
Over 3.0
x3.15
Bet365
-5%
Under 3.0
x1.38
Unibet
0%
Over 3.25
x3.55
Bet365
-5%
Under 3.25
x1.30
Unibet
0%
Over 3.5
x3.95
William Hill
-3%
Under 3.5
x1.29
Unibet
-0%
Over 3.75
x5.00
Bet365
-4%
Under 3.75
x1.18
Unibet
-1%
Over 4.0
x7.50
Bet365
-3%
Under 4.0
x1.10
1xBet
-2%
Over 4.25
x7.10
1xBet
-5%
Under 4.25
x1.07
Unibet
-1%
Over 4.5
x8.50
Bwin
-3%
Under 4.5
x1.08
Double Chance
Bwin
-1%
H/D
x1.27
William Hill
-4%
H/A
x1.33
Pinnacle
-2%
D/A
x1.91
Both Teams to Score
Pinnacle
-3%
BTS yes
x1.93
Pinnacle
-1%
BTS no
x1.90
Asian Handicap
Marathon
-4%
Home -2.5
x7.30
Marathon
-5%
Away +2.5
x1.05
1xBet
-3%
Home -2.25
x7.60
1xBet
-4%
Away +2.25
x1.06
Bet365
-3%
Home -2.0
x6.80
Bet365
-2%
Away +2.0
x1.10
Unibet
-3%
Home -1.75
x4.80
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.75
x1.20
Pinnacle
-3%
Home -1.5
x3.82
Bet365
-0%
Away +1.5
x1.30
Pinnacle
-3%
Home -1.25
x3.35
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.25
x1.35
Pinnacle
-3%
Home -1.0
x2.88
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.0
x1.45
Pinnacle
-3%
Home -0.75
x2.24
Pinnacle
-1%
Away +0.75
x1.70
Bet365
-2%
Home -0.5
x1.93
Pinnacle
-0%
Away +0.5
x1.96
1xBet
-1%
Home -0.25
x1.70
Pinnacle
-0%
Away +0.25
x2.33
Bet365
-2%
Home 0
x1.40
Pinnacle
-1%
Away 0
x3.15
Bet365
-2%
Home +0.25
x1.32
Pinnacle
-1%
Away -0.25
x3.69
Bet365
-2%
Home +0.5
x1.26
Pinnacle
-1%
Away -0.5
x4.25
Bet365
-2%
Home +0.75
x1.17
Unibet
-2%
Away -0.75
x5.30
Marathon
-5%
Home +1.0
x1.04
Marathon
-3%
Away -1.0
x7.40
1xBet
-5%
Home +1.25
x1.04
1xBet
-2%
Away -1.25
x8.90
Marathon
-5%
Home +1.5
x1.03
Marathon
-3%
Away -1.5
x8.40
Correct Score
Unibet
-0%
Score: 0:0
x9.50
Pinnacle
-0%
Score: 0:1
x11.71
Pinnacle
-1%
Score: 0:2
x20.85
Pinnacle
-1%
Score: 1:0
x7.02
Bet365
-2%
Score: 1:1
x7.00
Pinnacle
-1%
Score: 1:2
x14.03
Pinnacle
-1%
Score: 2:0
x9.07
Bet365
-2%
Score: 2:1
x9.00
Motivation
Summary of this match
Penafiel and Nacional to score over 3.0 goals according to Asian handicap could bring a profit in a long run. Bookmakers set probability of the result as very low, still it is possible. Overview of Penafiel: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores between one and two goals and concedes average number of goals. Overview of Nacional: performance is far from optimal, team scores normal amount and concedes normal amount. Not too high yet positive average reward is expected here by AI. To play profitably one shall use odds greater than 3.09. Kelly criterion makes 0% of the budget, while we advise max 0%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 1%
Robustness: 0%
Game rating
Rating: 1420
Team ratings
Glicko
1427
1414
Elo
1468
1460
Team goals
Expected
1.46
0.93
Average scored
1.07
1.4
Average conceded
1.07
1.68
Team form
Progress
-25%
-18%
Projected place
#13
#15