Beta5ai Predictions All Penafiel vs Mafra
Away x3.86
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
-1%
Home
x2.19
Marathonbet
-6%
Draw
x3.26
Pinnacle
-0%
Away
x3.86
Draw No Bet
William Hill
-2%
Home DNB
x1.53
Pinnacle
-2%
Away DNB
x2.66
Over/Under
Bwin
-3%
Over 0.5
x1.07
Bet365
-12%
Under 0.5
x9.00
Unibet
-3%
Over 0.75
x1.08
Unibet
-6%
Under 0.75
x8.50
Bet365
-3%
Over 1.0
x1.10
Unibet
-6%
Under 1.0
x7.50
1xBet
-3%
Over 1.25
x1.25
Unibet
-4%
Under 1.25
x4.20
William Hill
-3%
Over 1.5
x1.40
Unibet
-5%
Under 1.5
x3.10
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 1.75
x1.51
Unibet
-4%
Under 1.75
x2.70
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 2.0
x1.68
Unibet
-4%
Under 2.0
x2.28
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 2.25
x1.99
Bet365
-4%
Under 2.25
x1.90
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 2.5
x2.29
Bet365
-5%
Under 2.5
x1.67
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 2.75
x2.69
Bet365
-5%
Under 2.75
x1.50
Marathonbet
-4%
Over 3.0
x3.35
Bet365
-3%
Under 3.0
x1.35
Unibet
-6%
Over 3.25
x3.70
Bet365
-5%
Under 3.25
x1.27
Pinnacle
-4%
Over 3.5
x4.25
William Hill
-3%
Under 3.5
x1.25
Unibet
-8%
Over 3.75
x5.30
Bet365
-3%
Under 3.75
x1.17
Unibet
-9%
Over 4.0
x8.00
Bet365
-2%
Under 4.0
x1.10
1xBet
-12%
Over 4.25
x8.30
Bet365
-1%
Under 4.25
x1.10
Bet365
-12%
Over 4.5
x9.00
William Hill
-3%
Under 4.5
x1.08
Double Chance
Bwin
-3%
H/D
x1.31
Pinnacle
-1%
H/A
x1.39
Pinnacle
-6%
D/A
x1.72
Both Teams to Score
Marathonbet
-0%
BTS yes
x1.95
Pinnacle
-8%
BTS no
x1.89
Asian Handicap
Marathonbet
-41%
Home -2.5
x8.50
Marathonbet
-4%
Away +2.5
x1.03
Marathonbet
-32%
Home -2.0
x7.70
Marathonbet
-4%
Away +2.0
x1.04
Unibet
-12%
Home -1.75
x5.80
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.75
x1.15
Unibet
-9%
Home -1.5
x4.35
Pinnacle
-1%
Away +1.5
x1.25
Pinnacle
-5%
Home -1.25
x3.97
Bet365
-3%
Away +1.25
x1.27
Pinnacle
-3%
Home -1.0
x3.47
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.0
x1.35
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.75
x2.60
Pinnacle
-4%
Away +0.75
x1.54
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.5
x2.17
Pinnacle
-5%
Away +0.5
x1.74
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.25
x1.85
Bet365
-3%
Away +0.25
x2.05
Marathonbet
-3%
Home 0
x1.51
Pinnacle
-2%
Away 0
x2.69
Unibet
-4%
Home +0.25
x1.37
Pinnacle
-1%
Away -0.25
x3.27
Unibet
-4%
Home +0.5
x1.29
Pinnacle
-2%
Away -0.5
x3.81
Unibet
-4%
Home +0.75
x1.19
Pinnacle
-2%
Away -0.75
x5.08
Bet365
-2%
Home +1.0
x1.10
Bet365
-17%
Away -1.0
x7.00
Bet365
-0%
Home +1.25
x1.11
1xBet
-17%
Away -1.25
x7.90
Bet365
-0%
Home +1.5
x1.10
Marathonbet
-25%
Away -1.5
x7.90
1xBet
-27%
Away -1.75
x11.50
Correct Score
Unibet
-19%
Score: 0:0
x8.50
Pinnacle
-8%
Score: 0:1
x10.44
Pinnacle
-17%
Score: 0:2
x18.24
Pinnacle
-6%
Score: 1:0
x7.35
Bwin
-21%
Score: 1:1
x6.50
Bet365
-21%
Score: 1:2
x13.00
Pinnacle
-13%
Score: 2:0
x9.76
Pinnacle
-20%
Score: 2:1
x9.52
Motivation
Summary of this match
Mafra to win is appropriate for value betting. Both power ratings and bookmakers set Penafiel as favorite, making chances of away win underestimated. Overview of Penafiel: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores less than one goal and concedes average number of goals. Overview of Mafra: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores between one and two goals and concedes average number of goals. AI predicts modest reward from this result in the long run. Minimal odds to start with must be greater than 3.89. Kelly criterion makes 0% of the budget, while we advise max 0%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 0%
Robustness: 0%
Game rating
Rating: 1453
Team ratings
Glicko
1479
1427
Elo
1480
1439
Team goals
Expected
1.43
1
Average scored
0.87
1.37
Average conceded
1.4
1.8
Team form
Progress
-23%
-17%
Projected place
#10
#14