Summary of this match
Newtown AFC and HB to score less than 1.5 goals is appropriate for value betting. The risk is high; however the probability is higher than expected. Overview of Newtown AFC: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores between one and two goals and concedes normal amount. Overview of HB: performance exceeds expectations, team scores more than two goals and concedes less than one goal. AI found small yet positive profit for this result in past games like this. Minimal odds to start with are 3.30. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Game rating: 1658
Expected goals: 1.05 : 1.33
Round: 2 / 2
Betting odds comparison: HB is a favorite
Average odds: 2.99 - 3.20 - 2.24
Odds ratio: 44% : 56%
Rating comparison: equality
Glicko: 1604 -2 [73 -1] : 1711 +2 [77 -2]
Elo: 1549 -1 : 1704 +1
Progress: -20% : 18%
Average goals by Newtown AFC: 1.09 : 1
Average goals by HB: 2.01 : 0.92
Stage position: Newtown AFC is #2 and HB is #1 out of 2 teams
Projected positions: Newtown AFC is #2 and HB is #1
Motivation for Newtown AFC: projected raise upon winning
Motivation for HB: projected drop upon losing
Head-to-head this stage: Newtown AFC is behind, last game: 07.07.2022 HB - Newtown AFC 1:0