Summary of this match
Newcastle to not lose by more than 1.5 goals is appropriate for value betting. Probability of the result is higher than average odds. Overview of Newcastle: performance is way better than expected, team scores normal amount and concedes between one and two goals. Overview of Manchester City: performance is as expected, team scores high number of goals and concedes average number of goals. Positive reward combined with high risk is expected here by AI. To play profitably one shall use odds 1.62 or greater. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Game rating: 2177
Expected goals: 1.79 : 1.97
Round: 3 / 38
Betting odds comparison: Manchester City is a clear favorite
Average odds: 8.61 - 5.16 - 1.36
Odds ratio: 23% : 77%
Rating comparison: Manchester City is stronger
Glicko: 2051 +1 [73 -1] : 2304 +2 [71 -0]
Elo: 1985 +1 : 2245 +2
Progress: 20% : 1%
Average goals by Newcastle: 1.19 : 1.06
Average goals by Manchester City: 2.78 : 1.11
Stage position: Newcastle is #12 and Manchester City is #3 out of 20 teams
Projected positions: Newcastle is #7 and Manchester City is #1
Head-to-head this stage: none