Prediction: MVV vs. Jong AZ

Under 3.75 x1.61

Bet 5%

Pinnacle

WIN

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Regular Season - 30		14.03.2025 19:00
MVV	0 - 1 Match Finished	Jong AZ
De Geusselt Maastricht Robin Vereijken, Netherlands
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (0 - 0)

I. Silva TimasR. Buifrahi

Second Half (0 - 1)

L. SchenkD. Tehubijuluw

Djairo TehubyuluwFoul

FoulJob Kalisvaart

M. MenuJ. van Aken

R. EsajasA. Kassimi

J. GeroldJ. Oerip

Y. van den BanS. van Duijn

R. RobbemondK. Smit

K. BoogaardK. Toppenberg

J. GeroldY. van den Ban

N. El BasriL. Foubert

0	Shots on Goal	7

3	Shots off Goal	6

4	Total Shots	20

1	Blocked Shots	7

3	Shots insidebox	11

1	Shots outsidebox	9

13	Fouls	12

1	Corner Kicks	8

1	Offsides	0

33%	Ball Possession	67%

1	Yellow Cards	1

	Red Cards

6	Goalkeeper Saves	0

304	Total passes	638

208	Passes accurate	534

68%	Passes %	84%

	expected_goals

	goals_prevented


Coaches
E. Hermans	L. Echteld
Formations
4-2-3-1	4-2-3-1
Start XI
G R. Matthys (12) D M. Kleinen (31) D S. Francis (20) D W. Coomans (4) D L. Schenk (34) M N. El Basri (6) M R. Klaasen (38) M R. Esajas (21) M B. Smeets (5) M I. Silva Timas (29) F S. Braken (9)	(1) D. Deen G (2) J. van Aken D (3) J. Berkhout D (4) B. van Duijl D (5) M. Engel D (6) N. Twisk M (8) J. Kalisvaart M (7) J. Oerip M (10) K. Smit M (11) K. Toppenberg M (9) S. van Duijn F
Substitutes
F R. Buifrahi (11) D D. Tehubijuluw (25) F A. Kassimi (17) M L. Foubert (27) M S. Penders (14) M F. Slegers (10) F M. Sangen (24) G T. Lambrix (1) G L. Roland (23) M A. Zaian (33)	(15) M. Menu D (14) J. Gerold F (19) Y. van den Ban F (17) R. Robbemond M (18) K. Boogaard M (12) J. Esajas D (16) T. Kuijsten G

MVV	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Romain Matthys	G	8.3	90		0			1	6	47		32	0	0
Robert Klaasen	M	7.7	90		0			0		26		20	0	0
Wout Coomans	D	7.3	90		0			0		48		36	0	0
Sven Braken	F	7.2	90		0	2		0		25	1	17	0	0
Simon Francis	D	7	90		0			0		33		20	0	0
Rayan Buifrahi	F	7	80		0	1		0		20	1	14	0	0
Nabil El Basri	M	6.9	89		0			0		21	1	16	0	0
Robyn Esajas	M	6.9	64		0			0		8		4	0	0
Lars Schenk	D	6.7	45		0			0		17		14	0	0
Marko Kleinen	D	6.6	90		0			0		27		17	0	0
Bryan Smeets	M	6.6	90		0			0		16	1	9	0	0
Ilano Silva Timas	M	6.6	10		0			0		1			0	0
Djairo Tehubyuluw	D	6.5	45		0			0		11		8	1	0
Ayman Kassimi	F	6.3	26		0			0		3		1	0	0
Luca Foubert	M		1		0			0		1			0	0
Thijs Lambrix	G							0					0	0
Adam Zaian	M							0					0	0
Max Sangen	F							0					0	0
Saul Penders	M							0					0	0
Ferre Slegers	M							0					0	0
Leny Roland	G							0					0	0
Jong AZ	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Jorn Berkhout	D	7.5	90		0	3	1	0		92	1	76	0	0
Billy van Duijl	D	7.3	90		0			0		86		76	0	0
Nick Twisk	M	7.3	90		0			0		74	2	64	0	0
Misha Engel	D	7.2	90		0	1	1	0		80	1	67	0	0
Job Kalisvaart	M	7.2	90		0	1	1	0		57		53	1	0
Jayen Gerold	F	7.2	26		1	1	1	0		13	4	12	0	0
Yoël van den Ban	F	7.2	26	1	0	1	1	0		4		3	0	0
Sem van Duijn	F	7	64		0	2		0		11	2	8	0	0
Daniel Deen	G	6.9	90		0			0		25		17	0	0
Jurre van Aken	D	6.9	59		0			0		38	1	25	0	0
Julian Oerip	M	6.9	64		0	1		0		25		22	0	0
Kees Smit	M	6.9	64		0	1	1	0		40	1	34	0	0
Mathijs Menu	D	6.9	31		0			0		26	1	24	0	0
Rio Robbemond	M	6.9	26		0	1		0		15		12	0	0
Kasper Boogaard	M	6.9	11		0	1	1	0		6	1	4	0	0
Kevin Toppenberg	M	6.3	79		0			0		46	3	37	0	0
Tristan Kuijsten	G							0					0	0
Jeremiah Esajas	D							0					0	0

Motivation

Robust bet is 5% of current betting balance at odds x1.61 found at Pinnacle - AI calculated discounted chance as 66.57%, which is by 4.46% greater than bookmakers opinion

Mean expected score:

1.77 : 1.51

Strength

Form

Attack

Defence

Field help

Probabilities

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

Fair Odds

1x2

Home

x2.17

Draw

x4.22

Away

x3.61

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x1.64

Away DNB

x2.72

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.06

Under 0.5

x22.78

Over 1.0

x1.07

Under 1.0

x19.85

Over 1.5

x1.23

Under 1.5

x5.89

Over 1.75

x1.27

Under 1.75

x5.26

Over 2.0

x1.31

Under 2.0

x4.63

Over 2.25

x1.49

Under 2.25

x3.25

Over 2.5

x1.67

Under 2.5

x2.63

Over 2.75

x1.82

Under 2.75

x2.34

Over 3.0

x2.06

Under 3.0

x2.05

Over 3.25

x2.35

Under 3.25

x1.81

Over 3.5

x2.65

Under 3.5

x1.67

Over 3.75

x3.15

Under 3.75

x1.51

Over 4.0

x4.13

Under 4.0

x1.36

Over 4.25

x4.59

Under 4.25

x1.32

Over 4.5

x5.06

Under 4.5

x1.28

Double Chance

H/D

x1.42

H/A

x1.35

D/A

x1.92

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x1.63

BTS no

x2.84

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x9.40

Away +2.5

x1.14

Home -2.25

x8.73

Away +2.25

x1.15

Home -2.0

x8.06

Away +2.0

x1.17

Home -1.75

x5.26

Away +1.75

x1.26

Home -1.5

x4.06

Away +1.5

x1.36

Home -1.25

x3.62

Away +1.25

x1.42

Home -1.0

x3.18

Away +1.0

x1.51

Home -0.75

x2.52

Away +0.75

x1.71

Home -0.5

x2.17

Away +0.5

x1.92

Home -0.25

x1.90

Away +0.25

x2.20

Home 0

x1.64

Away 0

x2.72

Home +0.25

x1.51

Away -0.25

x3.16

Home +0.5

x1.42

Away -0.5

x3.61

Home +0.75

x1.31

Away -0.75

x4.64

Home +1.0

x1.19

Away -1.0

x7.08

Home +1.25

x1.17

Away -1.25

x7.76

Home +1.5

x1.16

Away -1.5

x8.44

Home +1.75

x1.12

Away -1.75

x11.53

Home +2.0

x1.07

Away -2.0

x19.19

Home +2.5

x1.07

Away -2.5

x20.66

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x22.78

Score: 0:1

x17.47

Score: 0:2

x30.45

Score: 1:0

x14.79

Score: 1:1

x9.70

Score: 1:2

x15.15

Score: 2:0

x15.65

Score: 2:1

x12.02