Beta5ai Predictions All Mtarfa vs Qrendi
BTS no x2.32
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
0%
Home
x2.33
Marathonbet
-24%
Draw
x3.48
Pinnacle
-2%
Away
x2.84
Draw No Bet
Bet365
-6%
Home DNB
x1.67
Bet365
-5%
Away DNB
x2.10
Over/Under
1xBet
-6%
Over 0.5
x1.01
1xBet
-28%
Under 0.5
x11.00
1xBet
-8%
Over 1.5
x1.21
1xBet
-7%
Under 1.5
x4.00
1xBet
-6%
Over 2.0
x1.32
1xBet
-5%
Under 2.0
x3.10
Pinnacle
-8%
Over 2.25
x1.50
Pinnacle
-5%
Under 2.25
x2.43
Bet365
-7%
Over 2.5
x1.73
Bwin
-1%
Under 2.5
x2.15
Pinnacle
-9%
Over 2.75
x1.88
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 2.75
x1.88
Pinnacle
-10%
Over 3.0
x2.15
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 3.0
x1.65
Pinnacle
-14%
Over 3.25
x2.40
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 3.25
x1.51
1xBet
-16%
Over 3.5
x2.70
1xBet
-4%
Under 3.5
x1.41
1xBet
-17%
Over 4.0
x3.90
1xBet
-4%
Under 4.0
x1.21
1xBet
-13%
Over 4.5
x4.90
1xBet
-7%
Under 4.5
x1.14
Double Chance
Marathonbet
-12%
H/D
x1.36
Bet365
-3%
H/A
x1.25
Bet365
-12%
D/A
x1.55
Both Teams to Score
1xBet
-13%
BTS yes
x1.58
1xBet
3%
BTS no
x2.32
Asian Handicap
1xBet
-25%
Home -2.5
x8.30
1xBet
-6%
Away +2.5
x1.04
1xBet
-14%
Home -1.5
x4.00
1xBet
-6%
Away +1.5
x1.20
1xBet
-8%
Home -1.0
x3.30
1xBet
-5%
Away +1.0
x1.29
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.75
x2.70
Pinnacle
-9%
Away +0.75
x1.41
Pinnacle
-1%
Home -0.5
x2.31
Pinnacle
-11%
Away +0.5
x1.57
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.25
x2.03
Bet365
-7%
Away +0.25
x1.80
Marathonbet
-5%
Home 0
x1.70
Marathonbet
-5%
Away 0
x2.10
Pinnacle
-7%
Home +0.25
x1.51
Pinnacle
-5%
Away -0.25
x2.42
1xBet
-5%
Home +1.0
x1.17
1xBet
-11%
Away -1.0
x4.40
1xBet
-6%
Home +1.5
x1.12
1xBet
-17%
Away -1.5
x5.20
Correct Score
Bet365
-31%
Score: 0:0
x12.00
Bet365
-15%
Score: 0:1
x12.00
Bet365
-27%
Score: 0:2
x15.00
Bet365
-16%
Score: 1:0
x10.00
Bet365
-26%
Score: 1:1
x7.00
Bet365
-13%
Score: 1:2
x12.00
Bet365
-24%
Score: 2:0
x12.00
Bet365
-10%
Score: 2:1
x11.00
Motivation
Summary of this match
Mtarfa or Qrendi to not score is appropriate for value betting. Bookmakers set probability of the result as rather low, still chances are higher than listed. Overview of Mtarfa: performance is seriously on the low side, team scores less than one goal and concedes high number of goals. Overview of Qrendi: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores between one and two goals and concedes great amount. AI says smaller rewards but also more often to happen. To play profitably one shall use odds greater than 2.27. Kelly criterion makes 2% of the budget, while we advise max 0%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 3%
Robustness: 99%
Game rating
Rating: 1292
Team ratings
Glicko
1278
1306
Elo
1450
1405
Team goals
Expected
1.57
1.35
Average scored
0.57
2.34
Average conceded
1.09
2.62
Team form
Progress
-31%
-35%
Projected place
#18
#18