Beta5ai Predictions All Moreirense vs Penafiel
Draw x3.61
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
-3%
Home
x1.90
Pinnacle
1%
Draw
x3.61
Pinnacle
-9%
Away
x4.31
Draw No Bet
Bet365
-1%
Home DNB
x1.40
Pinnacle
-6%
Away DNB
x3.14
Over/Under
Bwin
-4%
Over 0.5
x1.06
Bet365
-1%
Under 0.5
x11.00
Unibet
-3%
Over 0.75
x1.07
Unibet
-9%
Under 0.75
x9.00
Unibet
-3%
Over 1.0
x1.08
Unibet
-8%
Under 1.0
x8.00
Bet365
-4%
Over 1.25
x1.20
Unibet
-6%
Under 1.25
x4.50
Pinnacle
-3%
Over 1.5
x1.35
Unibet
-7%
Under 1.5
x3.30
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 1.75
x1.44
Pinnacle
-5%
Under 1.75
x2.91
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 2.0
x1.57
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 2.0
x2.49
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 2.25
x1.84
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 2.25
x2.04
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 2.5
x2.10
Bet365
-4%
Under 2.5
x1.80
Pinnacle
-3%
Over 2.75
x2.42
Bet365
-4%
Under 2.75
x1.60
Unibet
-3%
Over 3.0
x3.05
Bet365
-3%
Under 3.0
x1.40
Unibet
-4%
Over 3.25
x3.45
Bet365
-4%
Under 3.25
x1.32
Unibet
-4%
Over 3.5
x3.85
William Hill
-2%
Under 3.5
x1.30
Unibet
-6%
Over 3.75
x4.90
Bet365
-3%
Under 3.75
x1.20
Unibet
-11%
Over 4.0
x7.00
Bet365
-2%
Under 4.0
x1.12
Bet365
-19%
Over 4.25
x6.80
Bet365
-2%
Under 4.25
x1.10
Unibet
-14%
Over 4.5
x8.00
William Hill
-2%
Under 4.5
x1.10
Double Chance
Bet365
-1%
H/D
x1.25
Pinnacle
-6%
H/A
x1.31
William Hill
-4%
D/A
x1.95
Both Teams to Score
Pinnacle
-5%
BTS yes
x1.94
1xBet
-3%
BTS no
x1.90
Asian Handicap
Marathon
-27%
Home -2.5
x6.75
Marathon
-5%
Away +2.5
x1.06
1xBet
-21%
Home -2.25
x6.80
Bet365
-1%
Away +2.25
x1.11
Bet365
-19%
Home -2.0
x6.25
Bet365
-1%
Away +2.0
x1.12
Unibet
-10%
Home -1.75
x4.60
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.75
x1.22
Pinnacle
-9%
Home -1.5
x3.57
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.5
x1.32
Unibet
-7%
Home -1.25
x3.15
Pinnacle
-1%
Away +1.25
x1.39
Pinnacle
-5%
Home -1.0
x2.73
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.0
x1.50
Pinnacle
-4%
Home -0.75
x2.18
Pinnacle
-2%
Away +0.75
x1.74
Pinnacle
-3%
Home -0.5
x1.90
Bet365
-2%
Away +0.5
x2.00
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.25
x1.64
Pinnacle
-3%
Away +0.25
x2.36
Bet365
-1%
Home 0
x1.40
Pinnacle
-5%
Away 0
x3.18
Bet365
-1%
Home +0.25
x1.30
Pinnacle
-8%
Away -0.25
x3.71
Bet365
-0%
Home +0.5
x1.26
Pinnacle
-10%
Away -0.5
x4.25
Bet365
-1%
Home +0.75
x1.17
Unibet
-10%
Away -0.75
x5.75
1xBet
-5%
Home +1.0
x1.04
Marathon
-21%
Away -1.0
x7.90
Marathon
-5%
Home +1.25
x1.03
1xBet
-15%
Away -1.25
x9.60
Marathon
-6%
Home +1.5
x1.02
Marathon
-26%
Away -1.5
x8.80
Correct Score
Pinnacle
-6%
Score: 0:0
x10.04
Pinnacle
-10%
Score: 0:1
x11.37
Marathon
-14%
Score: 0:2
x22.00
Pinnacle
-5%
Score: 1:0
x7.19
Pinnacle
-15%
Score: 1:1
x7.03
William Hill
-16%
Score: 1:2
x15.00
Pinnacle
-14%
Score: 2:0
x8.89
Pinnacle
-18%
Score: 2:1
x9.22
Motivation
Summary of this match
Draw is selected by AI for the game between Moreirense and Penafiel. Bookmaking odds and of course playing strength are in favor of Moreirense, however probability of draw is quite high. Overview of Moreirense: performance is rather optimistic, team scores normal amount and concedes between one and two goals. Overview of Penafiel: performance is as expected, team scores average number of goals and concedes normal amount. AI says smaller rewards but also more often to happen. To play profitably one shall use odds greater than 3.58. Kelly criterion makes 0% of the budget, while we advise max 0%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 1%
Robustness: 0%
Game rating
Rating: 1550
Team ratings
Glicko
1641
1459
Elo
1594
1485
Team goals
Expected
1.5
0.95
Average scored
1.7
1.03
Average conceded
1.09
1.23
Team form
Progress
11%
-1%
Projected place
#1
#10