Prediction: Monza vs. Atalanta

Home x5.50

LOSS

1x2

Bet365

6%

Home

x5.50

1xBet

0%

Draw

x4.32

1xBet

-1%

Away

x1.72

Draw No Bet

Pinnacle

-2%

Home DNB

x3.90

10Bet

-3%

Away DNB

x1.30

Over/Under

Bet365

-1%

Over 0.5

x1.04

10Bet

-5%

Under 0.5

x18.00

Betcris

-2%

Over 1.5

x1.21

Unibet

-8%

Under 1.5

x4.75

1xBet

-2%

Over 2.5

x1.70

1xBet

-1%

Under 2.5

x2.34

Pinnacle

-6%

Over 3.5

x2.64

Pinnacle

-2%

Under 3.5

x1.53

Tipico

-16%

Over 4.5

x4.70

NordicBet

-1%

Under 4.5

x1.20

Double Chance

Pinnacle

-3%

H/D

x2.27

Pinnacle

-2%

H/A

x1.28

10Bet

-2%

D/A

x1.22

Both Teams to Score

Pinnacle

-4%

BTS yes

x1.71

Unibet

0%

BTS no

x2.28

Asian Handicap

Unibet

-10%

Home -1.5

x12.50

Unibet

-3%

Away +1.5

x1.05

10Bet

1%

Home +1.5

x1.55

Unibet

0%

Away -1.5

x2.90

Bet365

-3%

Home +2.5

x1.16

Unibet

-4%

Away -2.5

x6.00

Correct Score

Netbet

12%

Score: 0:0

x19.00

Pinnacle

-1%

Score: 0:1

x9.48

Tipico

-7%

Score: 0:2

x9.50

Pinnacle

4%

Score: 1:0

x18.25

Pinnacle

-18%

Score: 1:1

x8.25

Pinnacle

-13%

Score: 1:2

x9.55

Tipico

7%

Score: 2:0

x35.00

William Hill

-11%

Score: 2:1

x17.00

Summary of this match

Monza to win is appropriate for value betting. A time for miracle: while both bookmakers and power ratings call away team as huge favorite, home field advantage is able to turn odds. Overview of Monza: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores between one and two goals and concedes between one and two goals. Overview of Atalanta: performance exceeds expectations, team scores between one and two goals and concedes average number of goals. AI says good rewards but also frequency of occurence is not stable. Minimal odds to start with are 5.17. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!

Game rating: 1886
Expected goals: 1.02 : 1.88
Round: 5 / 38
Betting odds comparison: Atalanta is a favorite
Average odds: 4.98 - 4.06 - 1.67
Odds ratio: 30% : 70%
Rating comparison: Atalanta is stronger
Glicko: 1761 -5 [69 -1] : 2011 +9 [70 -1]
Elo: 1764 -3 : 1980 +4
Progress: -24% : 26%
Average goals by Monza: 1.38 : 1.79
Average goals by Atalanta: 1.55 : 1.13
Stage position: Monza is #20 and Atalanta is #5 out of 20 teams
Projected positions: Monza is #19 and Atalanta is #7
Head-to-head this stage: none