Beta5ai Predictions All Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans
Under 2.0 x2.50
Bet 1%
WIN
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
2%
Home
x8.85
Bet365
-13%
Draw
x4.75
Bwin
-3%
Away
x1.40
Draw No Bet
William Hill
-26%
Home DNB
x4.75
Bet365
0%
Away DNB
x1.17
Over/Under
1xBet
-1%
Over 0.5
x1.07
William Hill
-41%
Under 0.5
x8.00
1xBet
-2%
Over 1.0
x1.08
1xBet
-28%
Under 1.0
x6.50
1xBet
-5%
Over 1.25
x1.21
1xBet
-11%
Under 1.25
x3.98
William Hill
-7%
Over 1.5
x1.36
1xBet
1%
Under 1.5
x3.20
Pinnacle
-9%
Over 1.75
x1.41
1xBet
1%
Under 1.75
x2.81
1xBet
-10%
Over 2.0
x1.50
Pinnacle
3%
Under 2.0
x2.50
1xBet
-12%
Over 2.25
x1.75
Pinnacle
2%
Under 2.25
x2.05
Bet365
-10%
Over 2.5
x2.08
Pinnacle
2%
Under 2.5
x1.81
Pinnacle
-15%
Over 2.75
x2.28
Pinnacle
1%
Under 2.75
x1.61
Pinnacle
-19%
Over 3.0
x2.78
Pinnacle
1%
Under 3.0
x1.41
1xBet
-24%
Over 3.25
x3.03
1xBet
1%
Under 3.25
x1.33
William Hill
-26%
Over 3.5
x3.50
William Hill
1%
Under 3.5
x1.29
1xBet
-31%
Over 3.75
x4.08
1xBet
-0%
Under 3.75
x1.20
1xBet
-37%
Over 4.0
x5.30
1xBet
-1%
Under 4.0
x1.12
1xBet
-36%
Over 4.25
x6.00
1xBet
-2%
Under 4.25
x1.10
1xBet
-35%
Over 4.5
x6.70
William Hill
-1%
Under 4.5
x1.10
Double Chance
William Hill
-14%
H/D
x2.88
Bwin
-2%
H/A
x1.20
Bet365
-3%
D/A
x1.10
Both Teams to Score
William Hill
-5%
BTS yes
x2.38
1xBet
-4%
BTS no
x1.61
Asian Handicap
1xBet
-12%
Home -0.25
x6.80
1xBet
-6%
Away +0.25
x1.07
1xBet
-12%
Home 0
x6.00
1xBet
-6%
Away 0
x1.09
1xBet
-16%
Home +0.25
x3.60
1xBet
-4%
Away -0.25
x1.25
Pinnacle
-20%
Home +0.5
x2.67
Pinnacle
0%
Away -0.5
x1.44
Pinnacle
-4%
Home +0.75
x2.67
1xBet
-4%
Away -0.75
x1.49
Pinnacle
-0%
Home +1.0
x2.29
Bet365
-2%
Away -1.0
x1.73
Bet365
2%
Home +1.25
x1.90
1xBet
-10%
Away -1.25
x1.93
Pinnacle
1%
Home +1.5
x1.65
Pinnacle
-16%
Away -1.5
x2.19
Pinnacle
-0%
Home +1.75
x1.47
Pinnacle
-17%
Away -1.75
x2.57
1xBet
-1%
Home +2.0
x1.29
1xBet
-21%
Away -2.0
x3.20
1xBet
-2%
Home +2.25
x1.24
1xBet
-23%
Away -2.25
x3.62
1xBet
-3%
Home +2.5
x1.20
1xBet
-25%
Away -2.5
x4.10
Correct Score
William Hill
-24%
Score: 0:0
x9.50
Bet365
-18%
Score: 0:1
x5.50
William Hill
-25%
Score: 0:2
x5.50
William Hill
-14%
Score: 1:0
x17.00
Bet365
-0%
Score: 1:1
x11.00
Bet365
-2%
Score: 1:2
x11.00
William Hill
-28%
Score: 2:0
x41.00
William Hill
-22%
Score: 2:1
x26.00
Motivation
Summary of this match
Marsaxlokk and Hamrun Spartans to score under 2.0 goals according to Asian handicap is appropriate for value betting. The risk is quite high, but also the probability is higher than expected. Overview of Marsaxlokk: performance is seriously on the low side, team scores normal amount and concedes average number of goals. Overview of Hamrun Spartans: performance is way better than expected, team scores average number of goals and concedes less than one goal. Not too high yet positive average reward is expected here by AI. Minimal odds to start with must be greater than 2.40. Kelly criterion makes 2% of the budget, while we advise max 1%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 3%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1674
Team ratings
Glicko
1532
1815
Elo
1486
1747
Team goals
Expected
0.67
1.88
Average scored
1.41
1.24
Average conceded
1.54
0.79
Team form
Progress
-26%
24%
Projected place
#11
#1