Beta5ai Predictions All Manchester City vs Newcastle
Home x1.58
Bet 3%
WIN
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
4%
Home
x1.58
1xBet
-2%
Draw
x4.64
Unibet
-11%
Away
x6.75
Draw No Bet
Pinnacle
1%
Home DNB
x1.22
Unibet
-16%
Away DNB
x4.75
Over/Under
Bwin
-2%
Over 0.5
x1.04
Bet365
-19%
Under 0.5
x13.00
Marathon
-5%
Over 1.0
x1.01
Marathon
-20%
Under 1.0
x10.25
Bet365
-3%
Over 1.25
x1.13
Bet365
-11%
Under 1.25
x5.90
Unibet
-1%
Over 1.5
x1.25
Bet365
-8%
Under 1.5
x4.33
Unibet
-3%
Over 1.75
x1.28
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 1.75
x4.01
Unibet
-2%
Over 2.0
x1.35
Pinnacle
-0%
Under 2.0
x3.51
Unibet
-4%
Over 2.25
x1.55
Pinnacle
2%
Under 2.25
x2.63
1xBet
-5%
Over 2.5
x1.78
1xBet
3%
Under 2.5
x2.21
1xBet
-6%
Over 2.75
x1.97
Bet365
4%
Under 2.75
x1.98
Unibet
-8%
Over 3.0
x2.23
Pinnacle
3%
Under 3.0
x1.72
Pinnacle
-11%
Over 3.25
x2.51
Pinnacle
2%
Under 3.25
x1.57
Unibet
-13%
Over 3.5
x2.80
Pinnacle
2%
Under 3.5
x1.47
Pinnacle
-14%
Over 3.75
x3.37
Unibet
1%
Under 3.75
x1.35
Unibet
-14%
Over 4.0
x4.50
Unibet
0%
Under 4.0
x1.23
Unibet
-15%
Over 4.25
x4.90
Unibet
-0%
Under 4.25
x1.20
Unibet
-15%
Over 4.5
x5.40
Unibet
-0%
Under 4.5
x1.18
Double Chance
Pinnacle
1%
H/D
x1.16
Unibet
-1%
H/A
x1.25
1xBet
-9%
D/A
x2.65
Both Teams to Score
Unibet
-5%
BTS yes
x1.93
Pinnacle
1%
BTS no
x2.00
Asian Handicap
Bet365
-15%
Home -2.5
x4.40
Unibet
1%
Away +2.5
x1.25
Bet365
-14%
Home -2.25
x3.90
Unibet
1%
Away +2.25
x1.28
Pinnacle
-9%
Home -2.0
x3.70
Unibet
2%
Away +2.0
x1.34
Pinnacle
-6%
Home -1.75
x2.87
Unibet
1%
Away +1.75
x1.49
Pinnacle
-5%
Home -1.5
x2.43
1xBet
1%
Away +1.5
x1.66
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -1.25
x2.17
1xBet
-1%
Away +1.25
x1.81
Pinnacle
1%
Home -1.0
x1.91
1xBet
-3%
Away +1.0
x2.06
Pinnacle
3%
Home -0.75
x1.70
Unibet
-7%
Away +0.75
x2.32
Pinnacle
3%
Home -0.5
x1.57
Unibet
-11%
Away +0.5
x2.60
Pinnacle
3%
Home -0.25
x1.40
Marathon
-12%
Away +0.25
x3.25
Pinnacle
2%
Home 0
x1.23
Unibet
-15%
Away 0
x4.80
Unibet
-0%
Home +0.25
x1.17
Unibet
-17%
Away -0.25
x5.40
Bet365
-1%
Home +0.5
x1.14
Bet365
-22%
Away -0.5
x5.75
Marathon
-4%
Home +0.75
x1.06
1xBet
-22%
Away -0.75
x8.10
1xBet
-29%
Away -1.0
x12.50
1xBet
-3%
Home +1.5
x1.02
1xBet
-32%
Away -1.5
x13.50
Correct Score
William Hill
3%
Score: 0:0
x15.00
William Hill
-3%
Score: 0:1
x19.00
William Hill
-6%
Score: 0:2
x41.00
Pinnacle
10%
Score: 1:0
x8.95
William Hill
-12%
Score: 1:1
x9.00
William Hill
-12%
Score: 1:2
x21.00
Bet365
-1%
Score: 2:0
x8.50
Pinnacle
-8%
Score: 2:1
x9.84
Motivation
Summary of this match
Manchester City to win is a result with higher probability than listed. Bookmaking odds and playing strength are in big favor of Manchester City, so that probability of home victory could be even higher. Overview of Manchester City: performance is as expected, team scores high number of goals and concedes not too much. Overview of Newcastle: performance is far from optimal, team scores normal amount and concedes not too much. Not too high yet positive average reward is expected here by AI. Minimal odds to start with must be greater than 1.54. Kelly criterion makes 7% of the budget, while we advise max 3%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 4%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 2071
Team ratings
Glicko
2132
2010
Elo
1988
1778
Team goals
Expected
1.91
0.83
Average scored
2.25
0.88
Average conceded
1.18
0.82
Team form
Progress
3%
-22%
Projected place
#2
#5