Prediction: Malaga vs. Burgos

1x2

Pinnacle

-4%

Home

x2.21

Marathonbet

Draw

x3.02

Pinnacle

-5%

Away

x4.11

Draw No Bet

William Hill

-1%

Home DNB

x1.50

Unibet

-2%

Away DNB

x2.80

Over/Under

Pinnacle

-1%

Over 0.5

x1.15

Bet365

-17%

Under 0.5

x6.00

Bet365

-2%

Over 0.75

x1.16

Unibet

-14%

Under 0.75

x5.30

Bet365

-2%

Over 1.0

x1.20

Marathonbet

-11%

Under 1.0

x4.50

Pinnacle

-1%

Over 1.25

x1.44

Pinnacle

-8%

Under 1.25

x2.92

Marathonbet

-0%

Over 1.5

x1.67

Pinnacle

-6%

Under 1.5

x2.32

1xBet

-0%

Over 1.75

x1.86

Bet365

-6%

Under 1.75

x2.02

Unibet

Over 2.0

x2.23

Pinnacle

-6%

Under 2.0

x1.70

Unibet

Over 2.25

x2.65

Pinnacle

-6%

Under 2.25

x1.53

Unibet

Over 2.5

x3.05

Pinnacle

-7%

Under 2.5

x1.41

Unibet

Over 2.75

x3.85

1xBet

-6%

Under 2.75

x1.28

Unibet

Over 3.0

x5.60

Bet365

-5%

Under 3.0

x1.16

Unibet

Over 3.25

x6.25

Bet365

-5%

Under 3.25

x1.14

Pinnacle

-2%

Over 3.5

x6.47

Bet365

-4%

Under 3.5

x1.13

1xBet

-2%

Over 3.75

x9.10

Unibet

-4%

Under 3.75

x1.07

Unibet

-8%

Over 4.0

x15.00

1xBet

-3%

Under 4.0

x1.03

Bet365

-18%

Over 4.5

x15.00

Bwin

-3%

Under 4.5

x1.03

Double Chance

Bwin

-2%

H/D

x1.27

Pinnacle

-5%

H/A

x1.43

Marathonbet

-3%

D/A

x1.72

Both Teams to Score

Unibet

BTS yes

x2.45

Pinnacle

-9%

BTS no

x1.59

Asian Handicap

Marathonbet

-48%

Home -2.5

x9.70

Marathonbet

-4%

Away +2.5

x1.01

Marathonbet

-40%

Home -2.0

x9.00

1xBet

-3%

Away +2.0

x1.03

Bet365

-23%

Home -1.75

x6.25

Bet365

-1%

Away +1.75

x1.12

Pinnacle

-16%

Home -1.5

x4.85

Pinnacle

-1%

Away +1.5

x1.20

Pinnacle

-8%

Home -1.25

x4.55

1xBet

-1%

Away +1.25

x1.24

Pinnacle

-6%

Home -1.0

x3.91

Bet365

-0%

Away +1.0

x1.30

Pinnacle

-5%

Home -0.75

x2.71

Marathonbet

-0%

Away +0.75

x1.53

Pinnacle

-4%

Home -0.5

x2.20

Unibet

-2%

Away +0.5

x1.74

Pinnacle

-3%

Home -0.25

x1.85

1xBet

-0%

Away +0.25

x2.08

Bet365

-2%

Home 0

x1.48

Unibet

Away 0

x2.88

Bet365

-2%

Home +0.25

x1.35

Unibet

-2%

Away -0.25

x3.50

Bet365

-3%

Home +0.5

x1.26

Unibet

-5%

Away -0.5

x4.10

Bet365

-2%

Home +0.75

x1.17

Unibet

-5%

Away -0.75

x5.75

Marathonbet

-3%

Home +1.0

x1.05

Marathonbet

-18%

Away -1.0

x9.10

Marathonbet

-4%

Home +1.25

x1.04

1xBet

-20%

Away -1.25

x9.90

Marathonbet

-4%

Home +1.5

x1.03

Marathonbet

-28%

Away -1.5

x10.00

Marathonbet

-38%

Away -1.75

x13.00

Correct Score

Pinnacle

-14%

Score: 0:0

x6.08

Pinnacle

-4%

Score: 0:1

x8.68

Pinnacle

-14%

Score: 0:2

x18.98

Pinnacle

-10%

Score: 1:0

x5.62

Pinnacle

-20%

Score: 1:1

x6.43

William Hill

-21%

Score: 1:2

x15.00

Pinnacle

-15%

Score: 2:0

x9.36

William Hill

-19%

Score: 2:1

x11.00

Summary of this match

Both Malaga and Burgos to score is appropriate for value betting. Unexpected result may happen due to current conditions of the teams. Overview of Malaga: performance is beyond what fans need, team scores a small amount and concedes between one and two goals. Overview of Burgos: performance is quite normal, team scores less than one goal and concedes a small amount. AI found small yet positive profit for this result in past games like this. Bet at greater than 2.38. Kelly criterion makes 0% of the budget, while we advise max 0%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!

Prediction parameters

Reward: 4%

Robustness: 0%

Game rating

Rating: 1584

Team ratings

Glicko

1525

1643

Elo

1458

1536

Team goals

Expected

1.18

0.83

Average scored

0.86

1.16

Average conceded

0.89

0.85

Team form

Progress

-6%

-1%

Projected place

#21