Summary of this match
Mafra to win is a result with higher probability than listed. While power ratings show comparable performances of both teams, bookmakers set Mafra as favorite, which could mean real chances of home win are high. Overview of Mafra: performance is far from optimal, team scores less than one goal and concedes between one and two goals. Overview of Penafiel: performance is okayish, team scores average number of goals and concedes a small amount. AI found small yet positive profit for this result in past games like this. To play profitably one shall use odds 2.41 or greater. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Game rating: 1615
Expected goals: 1.36 : 1.06
Round: 2 / 34
Betting odds comparison: Mafra is a favorite
Average odds: 2.30 - 3.15 - 2.99
Odds ratio: 55% : 45%
Rating comparison: equality
Glicko: 1583 -14 [73 -1] : 1648 -1 [74 -2]
Elo: 1619 -7 : 1667 -1
Progress: -39% : 5%
Average goals by Mafra: 0.95 : 1.55
Average goals by Penafiel: 1.18 : 0.98
Stage position: Mafra is #18 and Penafiel is #15 out of 18 teams
Projected positions: Mafra is #16 and Penafiel is #7
Head-to-head this stage: none