Beta5ai Predictions All Las Palmas vs Lugo
BTS yes x2.75
Bet 2%
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Unibet
-0%
Home
x1.42
Bet365
-12%
Draw
x4.50
Pinnacle
-2%
Away
x9.37
Draw No Bet
Bet365
-1%
Home DNB
x1.13
Pinnacle
-6%
Away DNB
x7.19
Over/Under
William Hill
-0%
Over 0.5
x1.08
Bet365
-23%
Under 0.5
x10.00
Unibet
-1%
Over 0.75
x1.08
Unibet
-25%
Under 0.75
x8.00
Bet365
-0%
Over 1.0
x1.10
Bet365
-22%
Under 1.0
x7.00
Bet365
-1%
Over 1.25
x1.25
Unibet
-13%
Under 1.25
x3.95
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 1.5
x1.41
Pinnacle
-8%
Under 1.5
x3.01
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 1.75
x1.51
Pinnacle
-7%
Under 1.75
x2.65
Marathonbet
0%
Over 2.0
x1.68
Pinnacle
-6%
Under 2.0
x2.27
1xBet
2%
Over 2.25
x2.00
Pinnacle
-6%
Under 2.25
x1.89
Marathonbet
2%
Over 2.5
x2.28
Pinnacle
-7%
Under 2.5
x1.68
Unibet
4%
Over 2.75
x2.75
Pinnacle
-6%
Under 2.75
x1.51
Unibet
6%
Over 3.0
x3.65
Bet365
-5%
Under 3.0
x1.32
Unibet
6%
Over 3.25
x4.10
Bet365
-6%
Under 3.25
x1.26
Unibet
5%
Over 3.5
x4.50
Pinnacle
-6%
Under 3.5
x1.23
Unibet
5%
Over 3.75
x5.80
Bet365
-5%
Under 3.75
x1.16
Unibet
10%
Over 4.0
x9.00
Unibet
-5%
Under 4.0
x1.07
1xBet
-2%
Over 4.25
x8.40
1xBet
-7%
Under 4.25
x1.05
Unibet
3%
Over 4.5
x9.50
Bwin
-5%
Under 4.5
x1.07
Double Chance
Bwin
-3%
H/D
x1.08
Pinnacle
0%
H/A
x1.24
Pinnacle
-10%
D/A
x3.01
Both Teams to Score
Bet365
11%
BTS yes
x2.75
Pinnacle
-8%
BTS no
x1.54
Asian Handicap
Unibet
-9%
Home -2.5
x4.90
Bet365
-2%
Away +2.5
x1.20
Pinnacle
-4%
Home -2.25
x4.62
Bet365
-2%
Away +2.25
x1.23
Pinnacle
-4%
Home -2.0
x4.09
Bet365
-2%
Away +2.0
x1.27
Pinnacle
-4%
Home -1.75
x2.97
Bet365
-3%
Away +1.75
x1.43
Pinnacle
-5%
Home -1.5
x2.43
Pinnacle
-2%
Away +1.5
x1.61
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -1.25
x2.09
1xBet
-2%
Away +1.25
x1.82
Pinnacle
-1%
Home -1.0
x1.74
Pinnacle
-4%
Away +1.0
x2.19
Pinnacle
-1%
Home -0.75
x1.53
Pinnacle
-6%
Away +0.75
x2.62
Pinnacle
-1%
Home -0.5
x1.41
Pinnacle
-9%
Away +0.5
x3.04
Bet365
-1%
Home -0.25
x1.27
Pinnacle
-8%
Away +0.25
x4.09
Bet365
-1%
Home 0
x1.14
Pinnacle
-10%
Away 0
x6.79
Bet365
-1%
Home +0.25
x1.12
1xBet
-15%
Away -0.25
x7.10
Bet365
-1%
Home +0.5
x1.10
Bet365
-26%
Away -0.5
x6.80
Marathonbet
-6%
Home +0.75
x1.01
1xBet
-16%
Away -0.75
x11.50
Correct Score
Pinnacle
-22%
Score: 0:0
x9.35
Pinnacle
-9%
Score: 0:1
x18.22
Marathonbet
-7%
Score: 0:2
x51.00
Pinnacle
-19%
Score: 1:0
x5.23
Bet365
-10%
Score: 1:1
x9.50
Marathonbet
-7%
Score: 1:2
x30.00
Pinnacle
-17%
Score: 2:0
x5.87
Bet365
-10%
Score: 2:1
x10.00
Motivation
Summary of this match
Both Las Palmas and Lugo to score is appropriate for value betting. Bookmakers set probability of the result as rather low, still chances are higher than listed. Overview of Las Palmas: performance is better than expected, team scores normal amount and concedes a small amount. Overview of Lugo: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores less than one goal and concedes between one and two goals. Positive reward combined with high risk is expected here by AI. To play profitably one shall use odds greater than 2.49. Kelly criterion makes 6% of the budget, while we advise max 2%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 11%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1621
Team ratings
Glicko
1737
1505
Elo
1609
1448
Team goals
Expected
1.9
0.66
Average scored
1.08
0.64
Average conceded
0.62
1.23
Team form
Progress
10%
-18%
Projected place
#3
#21