Guimaraes vs Arouca - 18.01.2025 - Beta5ai AI Prediction

Beta5ai Predictions All Guimaraes vs Arouca

Score: 0:2 x36.00

LOSS

Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 18		18.01.2025 20:30
Guimaraes	2 - 2 Match Finished	Arouca
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques Guimarães Miguel Nogueira
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (2 - 0)

D. Ndembo-MichelTiago Silva

Nuno SantosKaio César

Kaio CésarFoul

Second Half (2 - 2)

M. SyllaJason

Tiago Esgaio

D. NandínG. Yalçın

T. FukuiPedro Santos

Tiago SilvaJoão Mendes

Chico Lamba

Miguel PucheA. Trezza

Nuno SantosNélson Oliveira

FoulWeverson

SamuTelmo Arcanjo

Zé CarlosMarco Cruz

Time wastingNico Mantl

Henrique AraújoPablo Gozálbez

FoulDylan Nandín

7	Shots on Goal		6

5	Shots off Goal		7

17	Total Shots		19

5	Blocked Shots		6

10	Shots insidebox		11

7	Shots outsidebox		8

13	Fouls		9

9	Corner Kicks		5

0	Offsides		1

53%	Ball Possession		47%

1	Yellow Cards		3

	Red Cards

3	Goalkeeper Saves		5

423	Total passes		387

351	Passes accurate		314

83%	Passes %		81%

1.13	expected_goals		1.65

0	goals_prevented		0


Coaches
Luís Freire	Vasco Seabra
Formations
4-2-3-1	4-2-3-1
Start XI
G Bruno Varela (14) D Zé Carlos (28) D Óscar Rivas (15) D T. Borevković (24) D Miguel Maga (2) M Tomás Händel (8) M Tiago Silva (10) M Kaio César (11) M Samu (20) M Nuno Santos (77) F D. Ndembo-Michel (86)	(58) N. Mantl G (28) Tiago Esgaio D (73) Chico Lamba D (3) José Fontán D (26) Weverson D (5) David Simão M (89) Pedro Santos M (19) A. Trezza M (22) Pablo Gozálbez M (10) Jason M (50) G. Yalçın F
Substitutes
M João Mendes (17) F Nélson Oliveira (7) M Marco Cruz (5) M Telmo Arcanjo (18) G Charles (27) F J. Ramírez (9) M Diogo Sousa (92) D Rodrigo Silva (96) D M. Villanueva (3)	(2) M. Sylla M (21) T. Fukui M (23) D. Nandín F (11) Miguel Puche F (39) Henrique Araújo F (31) M. Loum M (1) João Valido G (78) Alex Pinto D (13) B. Popović D

Guimaraes	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Tiago Silva	M	7.9	67		1	1		0		45	2	43	0	0
Nuno Santos	M	7.9	76	1	0	2	1	0		34	1	26	0	0
Bruno Varela	G	7.7	90		0			2	3	34		31	0	0
Miguel Maga	D	7.7	90		0	1		0		30	1	26	0	0
Kaio César	M	7.3	90		1	2	1	0		28	1	23	1	0
Dieu-Merci Michel	F	7.3	90	1	0	1	1	0		12	1	8	0	0
Toni Borevković	D	6.9	90		0	1		0		47		40	0	0
Tomás Händel	M	6.9	90		0			0		47	3	42	0	0
João Mendes	M	6.9	23		0	1	1	0		11	1	8	0	0
Marco Cruz	M	6.9	9		0			0		9		6	0	0
Óscar Rivas	D	6.7	90		0	1	1	0		47		35	0	0
Samu	M	6.6	81		0	1	1	0		31	1	24	0	0
Zé Carlos	D	6.3	81		0	1	1	0		37	1	32	0	0
Nélson Oliveira	F	6.3	14		0			0		5		3	0	0
Telmo Arcanjo	M	6.3	9		0			0		6		4	0	0
Charles	G							0					0	0
Mikel Villanueva	D							0					0	0
Rodrigo Silva	D							0					0	0
Diogo Lobao	M							0					0	0
Jesús Ramírez	F							0					0	0
Arouca	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Tiago Esgaio	D	8.2	90	1	0	4	2	0		30		20	0	0
David Simão	M	7.9	90		0			0		71	6	57	0	0
Chico Lamba	D	7.7	90	1	0	1	1	0		58	1	48	0	0
Nico Mantl	G	7.3	90		0			2	5	20		16	1	0
Miguel Puche	F	7.2	14		0			0		7	1	6	0	0
Jose Fontán	D	7	90		0			0		57		52	0	0
Morlaye Sylla	M	7	45		0	1		0		15	2	13	0	0
Taichi Fukui	M	6.9	32		0	1	1	0		14		11	0	0
Alfonso Trezza	M	6.7	76		0	1		0		11	2	5	0	0
Pablo Gozálbez	M	6.7	89		0	1	1	0		21		17	0	0
Dylan Nandín	F	6.7	32		0	1		0		5	1	2	1	0
Weverson	D	6.6	90		0			0		23		20	1	0
Jason	M	6.5	45		0	1		0		7		6	0	0
Pedro Santos	M	6.3	58		0			0		29		29	0	0
Henrique Araújo	F	6.3	9		0			0		3		2	0	0
Güven Yalçın	F	6.2	58		0	2	1	0		16		10	0	0
João Valido	G							0					0	0
Boris Popović	D							0					0	0
Mamadou Loum	M							0					0	0
Alex Pinto	D							0					0	0

Motivation

AI calculated discounted chance as 2.16%, which is not enough for robust betting at given odds

Mean expected score:

1.95 : 0.7

88

Strength

71

96

Form

86

75

Attack

64

73

Defence

67

54

Field help

46

Probabilities

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

Fair Odds

1x2

Home

x1.62

Draw

x4.55

Away

x7.11

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x1.25

Away DNB

x5.49

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.09

Under 0.5

x14.85

Over 0.75

x1.10

Under 0.75

x13.46

Over 1.0

x1.11

Under 1.0

x12.07

Over 1.25

x1.24

Under 1.25

x5.68

Over 1.5

x1.37

Under 1.5

x3.98

Over 1.75

x1.44

Under 1.75

x3.47

Over 2.0

x1.55

Under 2.0

x2.97

Over 2.25

x1.81

Under 2.25

x2.32

Over 2.5

x2.08

Under 2.5

x2.00

Over 2.75

x2.39

Under 2.75

x1.77

Over 3.0

x2.96

Under 3.0

x1.55

Over 3.25

x3.38

Under 3.25

x1.45

Over 3.5

x3.81

Under 3.5

x1.39

Over 3.75

x4.88

Under 3.75

x1.28

Over 4.0

x7.37

Under 4.0

x1.18

Over 4.25

x8.02

Under 4.25

x1.16

Over 4.5

x8.67

Under 4.5

x1.15

Double Chance

H/D

x1.19

H/A

x1.31

D/A

x2.74

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x2.13

BTS no

x1.97

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x6.33

Away +2.5

x1.21

Home -2.25

x5.74

Away +2.25

x1.24

Home -2.0

x5.15

Away +2.0

x1.27

Home -1.75

x3.62

Away +1.75

x1.42

Home -1.5

x2.92

Away +1.5

x1.58

Home -1.25

x2.51

Away +1.25

x1.73

Home -1.0

x2.11

Away +1.0

x1.99

Home -0.75

x1.79

Away +0.75

x2.36

Home -0.5

x1.62

Away +0.5

x2.74

Home -0.25

x1.43

Away +0.25

x3.49

Home 0

x1.25

Away 0

x5.49

Home +0.25

x1.22

Away -0.25

x6.30

Home +0.5

x1.19

Away -0.5

x7.11

Home +0.75

x1.13

Away -0.75

x10.26

Home +1.0

x1.07

Away -1.0

x20.61

Home +1.5

x1.06

Away -1.5

x22.90

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x14.85

Score: 0:1

x21.45

Score: 0:2

x46.31

Score: 1:0

x7.54

Score: 1:1

x9.88

Score: 1:2

x25.67

Score: 2:0

x8.98

Score: 2:1

x9.47

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