Beta5ai Predictions Premium Genoa vs Cittadella
Under 4.25 x1.20
Bet 21%
WIN
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
0%
Home
x1.61
Pinnacle
-11%
Draw
x3.78
Bet365
-4%
Away
x7.00
Draw No Bet
William Hill
-1%
Home DNB
x1.20
Pinnacle
-5%
Away DNB
x5.19
Over/Under
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 0.5
x1.10
Unibet
-11%
Under 0.5
x8.50
Unibet
-4%
Over 0.75
x1.09
1xBet
-5%
Under 0.75
x8.00
Bet365
-4%
Over 1.0
x1.11
Unibet
-7%
Under 1.0
x6.75
1xBet
-5%
Over 1.25
x1.26
Unibet
-4%
Under 1.25
x3.90
Pinnacle
-5%
Over 1.5
x1.43
Pinnacle
-3%
Under 1.5
x2.96
Pinnacle
-5%
Over 1.75
x1.54
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 1.75
x2.59
Pinnacle
-5%
Over 2.0
x1.72
Pinnacle
-0%
Under 2.0
x2.21
Pinnacle
-6%
Over 2.25
x2.04
Bet365
-0%
Under 2.25
x1.85
Pinnacle
-8%
Over 2.5
x2.33
Marathonbet
-1%
Under 2.5
x1.65
Pinnacle
-9%
Over 2.75
x2.76
Pinnacle
-0%
Under 2.75
x1.49
Unibet
-11%
Over 3.0
x3.60
Pinnacle
7%
Under 3.0
x1.44
Unibet
-12%
Over 3.25
x4.10
Bet365
-1%
Under 3.25
x1.26
Unibet
-15%
Over 3.5
x4.50
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 3.5
x1.23
Unibet
-16%
Over 3.75
x5.80
Bet365
-2%
Under 3.75
x1.15
Unibet
-16%
Over 4.0
x9.00
Bet365
-1%
Under 4.0
x1.10
1xBet
-19%
Over 4.25
x9.30
Unibet
9%
Under 4.25
x1.20
Unibet
-22%
Over 4.5
x9.50
Pinnacle
1%
Under 4.5
x1.10
Double Chance
Pinnacle
-3%
H/D
x1.13
Pinnacle
-1%
H/A
x1.30
Pinnacle
-8%
D/A
x2.46
Both Teams to Score
Marathonbet
-6%
BTS yes
x2.28
Pinnacle
-2%
BTS no
x1.67
Asian Handicap
Unibet
18%
Home -2.5
x11.00
Bet365
2%
Away +2.5
x1.15
Unibet
17%
Home -2.25
x10.00
Bet365
2%
Away +2.25
x1.17
Unibet
21%
Home -2.0
x9.50
Bet365
3%
Away +2.0
x1.20
Pinnacle
-17%
Home -1.75
x3.63
Bet365
4%
Away +1.75
x1.35
Pinnacle
-14%
Home -1.5
x2.90
Bet365
4%
Away +1.5
x1.48
Pinnacle
-9%
Home -1.25
x2.51
Bet365
2%
Away +1.25
x1.60
Pinnacle
-4%
Home -1.0
x2.12
Bet365
1%
Away +1.0
x1.83
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.75
x1.78
Bet365
-2%
Away +0.75
x2.20
Pinnacle
-0%
Home -0.5
x1.60
Pinnacle
-7%
Away +0.5
x2.48
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.25
x1.39
Pinnacle
-7%
Away +0.25
x3.18
Marathonbet
-2%
Home 0
x1.19
Pinnacle
-6%
Away 0
x5.17
Pinnacle
-2%
Home +0.25
x1.16
Pinnacle
-7%
Away -0.25
x5.94
Bet365
-4%
Home +0.5
x1.12
Unibet
-11%
Away -0.5
x6.50
Bet365
-1%
Home +0.75
x1.10
Unibet
-8%
Away -0.75
x9.50
Unibet
10%
Home +1.0
x1.18
Marathonbet
-29%
Away -1.0
x13.00
Unibet
9%
Home +1.25
x1.16
Unibet
-68%
Away -1.25
x5.75
Unibet
8%
Home +1.5
x1.14
1xBet
-43%
Away -1.5
x12.00
Unibet
5%
Home +1.75
x1.09
Unibet
-73%
Away -1.75
x8.50
Unibet
2%
Home +2.0
x1.04
Unibet
-79%
Away -2.0
x14.00
Correct Score
Pinnacle
-15%
Score: 0:0
x8.67
Pinnacle
-5%
Score: 0:1
x14.99
Pinnacle
-7%
Score: 0:2
x36.17
Pinnacle
-14%
Score: 1:0
x5.69
Pinnacle
-18%
Score: 1:1
x7.67
William Hill
-10%
Score: 1:2
x23.00
Pinnacle
-16%
Score: 2:0
x6.84
Pinnacle
-17%
Score: 2:1
x9.46
Motivation
Summary of this match
Genoa and Cittadella to score under 4.25 goals according to Asian handicap is a result with higher probability than listed. Bookmakers set probability of the result as very high, still chances are even higher than listed. Overview of Genoa: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores not too much and concedes a small amount. Overview of Cittadella: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores a small amount and concedes average number of goals. Positive average reward combined with slightly higher risk is expected here by AI. Minimal odds to start with must be greater than 1.11. Kelly criterion makes 45% of the budget, while we advise max 21%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 9%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1586
Team ratings
Glicko
1655
1518
Elo
1590
1491
Team goals
Expected
1.64
0.76
Average scored
0.99
0.99
Average conceded
0.73
1.18
Team form
Progress
-45%
-19%
Projected place
#2
#14