Prediction: FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart

Beta5ai Predictions All FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart

Under 3.75 x1.33

Bet 0.2%

Pinnacle

WIN

Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 19		25.01.2025 14:30
FSV Mainz 05	2 - 0 Match Finished	VfB Stuttgart
MEWA ARENA Mainz T. Stieler
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (1 - 0)

Kaishu SanoFoul

N. WeiperP. Nebel

Nelson WeiperTime wasting

Robin ZentnerArgument

Jae-sung LeeFoul

Second Half (2 - 0)

FoulAtakan Karazor

R. HendriksM. Mittelstädt

J. LewelingC. Führich

D. da CostaA. Hanche-Olsen

ArgumentAngelo Stiller

F. RiederA. Karazor

E. DemirovićJ. Bruun Larsen

D. KohrM. Leitsch

N. WeiperA. Sieb

A. CaciA. Sieb

J. ChabotA. Rouault

A. CaciS. Widmer

FoulJulian Chabot

4	Shots on Goal	5

4	Shots off Goal	3

11	Total Shots	10

3	Blocked Shots	2

8	Shots insidebox	8

3	Shots outsidebox	2

12	Fouls	8

9	Corner Kicks	2

4	Offsides	5

43%	Ball Possession	57%

4	Yellow Cards	3

	Red Cards

4	Goalkeeper Saves	2

354	Total passes	475

254	Passes accurate	389

72%	Passes %	82%

1.93	expected_goals	1.11

0	goals_prevented	0


Coaches
B. Henriksen	S. Hoeneß
Formations
3-4-2-1	4-2-2-2
Start XI
G R. Zentner (27) D D. da Costa (21) D S. Bell (16) D D. Kohr (31) M A. Caci (19) M K. Sano (6) M N. Amiri (18) M P. Mwene (2) F P. Nebel (8) F Lee Jae-Sung (7) F N. Weiper (44)	(33) A. Nübel G (4) J. Vagnoman D (29) A. Rouault D (2) A. Al Dakhil D (7) M. Mittelstädt D (16) A. Karazor M (6) A. Stiller M (25) J. Bruun Larsen M (27) C. Führich M (26) D. Undav F (11) N. Woltemade F
Substitutes
D A. Hanche-Olsen (25) F A. Sieb (11) D M. Leitsch (5) D S. Widmer (30) M L. Maloney (15) D N. Veratschnig (22) G L. Rieß (1) M Hong Hyun-Seok (14) M D. Gleiber (42)	(3) R. Hendriks D (18) J. Leweling F (9) E. Demirović F (32) F. Rieder M (24) J. Chabot D (20) L. Stergiou D (5) Y. Keitel M (1) F. Bredlow G (15) P. Stenzel D

FSV Mainz 05	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Anthony Caci	M	8.2	88	1	0	1	1	0		27	1	19	0	0
Nadiem Amiri	M	8	90		0	1	1	0		39	4	30	0	0
Robin Zentner	G	7.9	90		0			0	4	41		20	1	0
Paul Nebel	F	7.5	90		1	1		0		29	1	21	0	0
Stefan Bell	D	7.3	90		0	1		0		31		24	0	0
Danny da Costa	D	7.2	65		0			0		27		21	0	0
Nelson Weiper	F	7.2	74	1	0	2	2	0		18		11	1	0
Armindo Sieb	F	7.2	16		1			0		5	2	3	0	0
Jae-sung Lee	F	7	90		0			0		25	1	21	1	0
Phillipp Mwene	M	6.9	90		0	1		0		36	1	27	0	0
Andreas Hanche-Olsen	D	6.9	25		0	1		0		9		8	0	0
Silvan Widmer	D	6.9	8		0			0		3		2	0	0
Dominik Kohr	D	6.6	74		0			0		25		18	0	0
Kaishu Sano	M	6.6	90		0			0		34	1	25	1	0
Maxim Leitsch	D	6.3	16		0			0		5		4	0	0
Lasse Riess	G							0					0	0
Lennard Maloney	M							0					0	0
Hyun-Seok Hong	M							0					0	0
Nikolas Veratschnig	D							0					0	0
Daniel Gleiber	M							0					0	0
VfB Stuttgart	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Ameen Al-Dakhil	D	7.3	90		0			0		76	1	72	0	0
Atakan Karazor	M	7.2	72		0			0		48		42	1	0
Angelo Stiller	M	7.2	90		0			0		72		61	1	0
Anthony Rouault	D	6.9	86		0			0		48		42	0	0
Jacob Bruun Larsen	M	6.9	72		0	1	1	0		21	1	14	0	0
Nick Woltemade	F	6.9	90		0	2	1	0		18	1	12	0	0
Fabian Rieder	M	6.9	18		0	1		0		9	1	7	0	0
Ermedin Demirović	F	6.9	18		0	1	1	0		5		2	0	0
Jamie Leweling	F	6.7	28		0	1	1	0		6	1	3	0	0
Alexander Nübel	G	6.6	90		0			2	2	37		22	0	0
Maximilian Mittelstädt	D	6.6	62		0			0		42		38	0	0
Ramon Hendriks	D	6.6	28		0			0		9		8	0	0
Josha Vagnoman	D	6.5	90		0			0		34	2	24	0	0
Julian Chabot	D	6.5	10		0			0		6		5	1	0
Deniz Undav	F	6.2	90		0	2	1	0		21	1	16	0	0
Chris Führich	M	6	62		0			0		23		21	0	0
Fabian Bredlow	G							0					0	0
Pascal Stenzel	D							0					0	0
Leonidas Stergiou	D							0					0	0
Yannik Keitel	M							0					0	0

Motivation

Robust bet is 0.2% of current betting balance at odds x1.33 found at Pinnacle - AI calculated discounted chance as 75.97%, which is by 0.78% greater than bookmakers opinion

Mean expected score:

1.39 : 1.68

Strength

Form

Attack

Defence

Field help

Probabilities

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

Fair Odds

1x2

Home

x3.07

Draw

x3.76

Away

x2.64

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x2.23

Away DNB

x1.91

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.09

Under 0.5

x14.28

Over 0.75

x1.10

Under 0.75

x13.10

Over 1.0

x1.11

Under 1.0

x11.92

Over 1.25

x1.22

Under 1.25

x6.09

Over 1.5

x1.34

Under 1.5

x4.35

Over 1.75

x1.40

Under 1.75

x3.82

Over 2.0

x1.49

Under 2.0

x3.30

Over 2.25

x1.73

Under 2.25

x2.52

Over 2.5

x1.97

Under 2.5

x2.14

Over 2.75

x2.24

Under 2.75

x1.89

Over 3.0

x2.74

Under 3.0

x1.65

Over 3.25

x3.15

Under 3.25

x1.53

Over 3.5

x3.56

Under 3.5

x1.44

Over 3.75

x4.47

Under 3.75

x1.33

Over 4.0

x6.46

Under 4.0

x1.21

Over 4.25

x7.06

Under 4.25

x1.19

Over 4.5

x7.66

Under 4.5

x1.17

Double Chance

H/D

x1.67

H/A

x1.40

D/A

x1.54

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x1.77

BTS no

x2.44

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x19.97

Away +2.5

x1.07

Home -2.0

x18.08

Away +2.0

x1.08

Home -1.75

x9.89

Away +1.75

x1.13

Home -1.5

x7.06

Away +1.5

x1.19

Home -1.25

x6.40

Away +1.25

x1.22

Home -1.0

x5.75

Away +1.0

x1.25

Home -0.75

x3.88

Away +0.75

x1.39

Home -0.5

x3.07

Away +0.5

x1.54

Home -0.25

x2.65

Away +0.25

x1.67

Home 0

x2.23

Away 0

x1.91

Home +0.25

x1.87

Away -0.25

x2.27

Home +0.5

x1.67

Away -0.5

x2.64

Home +0.75

x1.50

Away -0.75

x3.24

Home +1.0

x1.32

Away -1.0

x4.57

Home +1.25

x1.28

Away -1.25

x5.18

Home +1.5

x1.24

Away -1.5

x5.78

Home +1.75

x1.17

Away -1.75

x8.00

Home +2.0

x1.10

Away -2.0

x14.35

Away -2.5

x16.22

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x14.28

Score: 0:1

x11.75

Score: 0:2

x17.08

Score: 1:0

x14.26

Score: 1:1

x8.32

Score: 1:2

x12.08

Score: 2:0

x20.66

Score: 2:1

x13.05