Best odds
1x2
-2%
Home
x3.62
5%
Draw
x3.86
-2%
Away
x2.15
Draw No Bet
-2%
Home DNB
x2.62
-1%
Away DNB
x1.57
Over/Under
-3%
Over 0.5
x1.04
-3%
Under 0.5
x15.00
-2%
Over 1.5
x1.25
-0%
Under 1.5
x4.60
-2%
Over 2.5
x1.81
2%
Under 2.5
x2.23
-6%
Over 3.5
x3.00
0%
Under 3.5
x1.46
-15%
Over 4.5
x5.50
-1%
Under 4.5
x1.17
Double Chance
-2%
H/D
x1.81
-3%
H/A
x1.34
-2%
D/A
x1.35
Both Teams to Score
-0%
BTS yes
x1.70
-1%
BTS no
x2.38
Asian Handicap
-39%
Home -2.5
x17.00
-3%
Away +2.5
x1.01
-14%
Home -1.5
x8.00
-2%
Away +1.5
x1.10
-1%
Home +1.5
x1.31
1%
Away -1.5
x4.10
-4%
Home +2.5
x1.08
3%
Away -2.5
x9.50
Correct Score
-15%
Score: 0:0
x15.00
-7%
Score: 0:1
x10.18
-0%
Score: 0:2
x13.00
-11%
Score: 1:0
x13.25
-21%
Score: 1:1
x7.50
-13%
Score: 1:2
x10.00
-6%
Score: 2:0
x22.00
-11%
Score: 2:1
x13.48
Motivation
Summary of this match
Draw is appropriate for value betting. While Napoli play quite stronger, bookmakers may underestimate chances of draw here. Overview of Fiorentina: performance is quite normal, team scores normal amount and concedes between one and two goals. Overview of Napoli: performance is just fine, team scores high number of goals and concedes between one and two goals. Positive average reward combined with slightly higher risk is expected here by AI. Minimal odds to start with are 3.67. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!Game rating: 2011
Expected goals: 1.25 : 1.7
Round: 3 / 38
Betting odds comparison: Napoli is a favorite
Average odds: 3.41 - 3.60 - 2.10
Odds ratio: 41% : 59%
Rating comparison: Napoli is stronger
Glicko: 1940 -0 [70 -1] : 2083 +4 [74 -1]
Elo: 1887 -0 : 2034 +2
Progress: 3% : 25%
Average goals by Fiorentina: 1.21 : 1.16
Average goals by Napoli: 2.66 : 1.05
Stage position: Fiorentina is #12 and Napoli is #6 out of 20 teams
Projected positions: Fiorentina is #8 and Napoli is #3
Head-to-head this stage: none
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