Prediction: Fiorentina vs. Celje

Over 2.25 x1.46

Bet 3.8%

Pinnacle

WIN

World - UEFA Europa Conference League Quarter-finals		17.04.2025 16:45
Fiorentina	2 - 2 Match Finished	Celje
Stadio Artemio Franchi Firenze João Pedro Pinheiro
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (1 - 0)

R. MandragoraM. Pongračić

Second Half (2 - 2)

M. ZabukovnikA. Matko

Michael FolorunshoFoul

Rolando MandragoraFoul

S. SešlarK. Nemanič

M. KeanR. Mandragora

Moise Kean

Luca Ranieri

N. FagioliA. Richardson

F. ParisiR. Gosens

FoulDamjan Vuklišević

R. MandragoraY. Adli

A. GuðmundssonL. Beltrán

EdmilsonA. Matko

5	Shots on Goal	4

3	Shots off Goal	4

10	Total Shots	12

2	Blocked Shots	4

9	Shots insidebox	8

1	Shots outsidebox	4

17	Fouls	10

6	Corner Kicks	4

5	Offsides	1

37%	Ball Possession	63%

2	Yellow Cards	1

	Red Cards

2	Goalkeeper Saves	3

293	Total passes	523

242	Passes accurate	465

83%	Passes %	89%

1.81	expected_goals	0.91

0	goals_prevented	0


Coaches
R. Palladino	Albert Riera
Formations
3-5-2	3-4-1-2
Start XI
G David de Gea (43) D M. Pongračić (5) D P. Comuzzo (15) D L. Ranieri (6) M M. Folorunsho (90) M R. Mandragora (8) M D. Cataldi (32) M N. Fagioli (44) M F. Parisi (65) F M. Kean (20) F A. Guðmundsson (10)	(41) Ricardo Silva G (2) Juanjo Nieto D (3) D. Vukliševič D (81) K. Nemanič D (7) A. Matko M (19) M. Zabukovnik M (88) T. Svetlin M (23) Ž. Karničnik M (11) S. Sešlar F (35) L. Delaurier-Chaubet F (16) M. Kvesić F
Substitutes
M A. Richardson (24) D R. Gosens (21) M Y. Adli (29) F L. Beltrán (9) D L. Baroncelli (61) M J. Harder (64) D L. Romani (67) F M. Caprini (63) G T. Martinelli (30) G P. Terracciano (1)	(30) Edmilson F (17) S. Gobec D (10) N. Kouter M (44) Ł. Bejger D (5) C. Lhernault M (4) M. Dulca M (22) M. Rožman G (12) L. Kolar G (20) N. Iosifov F (38) Z. Žužek M

Fiorentina	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Rolando Mandragora	M	8	89	1	1	2	2	0		24	2	18	1	0
Moise Kean	F	7.9	90	1	0	3	2	0		9		6	0	0
Marin Pongračić	D	7.7	90		1	1		0		39	3	36	0	0
Pietro Comuzzo	D	7.2	90		0			0		40	1	38	0	0
Nicolò Fagioli	M	7	80		0			0		32		29	0	0
Fabiano Parisi	M	7	81		0	1		0		22	1	17	0	0
Danilo Cataldi	M	6.9	90		0			0		28	1	25	0	0
Albert Guðmundsson	F	6.9	89		0			0		22	1	19	0	0
David De Gea	G	6.6	90		0			2	2	19		13	0	0
Luca Ranieri	D	6.6	90		0	1	1	0		33		24	0	0
Robin Gosens	D	6.6	9		0			0		1			0	0
Amir Richardson	M	6.3	10		0			0		2		1	0	0
Michael Folorunsho	M	6.2	90		0			0		22	1	16	1	0
Lucas Beltrán	F		1		0			0					0	0
Yacine Adli	M		1		0			0					0	0
Pietro Terracciano	G							0					0	0
Tommaso Martinelli	G							0					0	0
Leonardo Baroncelli	D							0					0	0
Lorenzo Romani	D							0					0	0
Maat Daniel Caprini	F							0					0	0
Jonas Harder	M							0					0	0
Celje	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Klemen Nemanič	D	7.7	90	1	0	2	1	0		78		66	0	0
Svit Sešlar	F	7.5	90		1			0		56	2	45	0	0
Aljoša Matko	M	7.2	89	1	0	1	1	0		11	1	8	0	0
Mark Zabukovnik	M	7	90		1			0		42	2	37	0	0
Žan Karničnik	M	7	90		0			0		48	1	45	0	0
Ricardo Silva	G	6.9	90		0			2	3	34		32	0	0
Juanjo Nieto	D	6.9	90		0			0		67		61	0	0
Damjan Vuklišević	D	6.9	90		0	1		0		45		41	1	0
Tamar Svetlin	M	6.9	90		0	1	1	0		76		71	0	0
Mario Kvesić	F	6.9	90		0	2		0		31	2	26	0	0
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet	F	6.7	90		0	1	1	0		34		32	0	0
Edmilson	F		1		0			0		1		1	0	0
Luka Kolar	G							0					0	0
Matjaž Rozman	G							0					0	0
Stijan Gobec	D							0					0	0
Łukasz Bejger	D							0					0	0
Clement Lhernault	M							0					0	0
Marco Dulca	M							0					0	0
Nino Kouter	M							0					0	0
Nikita Iosifov	F							0					0	0
Zan Luka Zuzek	M							0					0	0

Robust bet is 3.8% of current betting balance at odds x1.46 found at Pinnacle - AI calculated discounted chance as 71.05%, which is by 2.56% greater than bookmakers opinion

Mean expected score:

2.51 : 0.75

89

Strength

79

97

Form

91

77

Attack

81

72

Defence

66

52

Field help

48

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

1x2

Home

x1.40

Draw

x6.40

Away

x9.65

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x1.17

Away DNB

x8.06

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.05

Under 0.5

x28.96

Over 1.0

x1.06

Under 1.0

x25.45

Over 1.25

x1.13

Under 1.25

x10.04

Over 1.5

x1.20

Under 1.5

x6.60

Over 1.75

x1.23

Under 1.75

x5.97

Over 2.0

x1.26

Under 2.0

x5.35

Over 2.25

x1.42

Under 2.25

x3.69

Over 2.5

x1.57

Under 2.5

x2.96

Over 2.75

x1.69

Under 2.75

x2.62

Over 3.0

x1.88

Under 3.0

x2.29

Over 3.25

x2.15

Under 3.25

x1.98

Over 3.5

x2.43

Under 3.5

x1.78

Over 3.75

x2.85

Under 3.75

x1.61

Over 4.0

x3.63

Under 4.0

x1.44

Over 4.25

x4.07

Under 4.25

x1.38

Over 4.5

x4.50

Under 4.5

x1.34

Double Chance

H/D

x1.14

H/A

x1.22

D/A

x3.79

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x1.82

BTS no

x2.40

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x3.79

Away +2.5

x1.40

Home -2.25

x3.38

Away +2.25

x1.46

Home -2.0

x2.96

Away +2.0

x1.56

Home -1.75

x2.40

Away +1.75

x1.78

Home -1.5

x2.10

Away +1.5

x2.00

Home -1.25

x1.84

Away +1.25

x2.30

Home -1.0

x1.59

Away +1.0

x2.88

Home -0.75

x1.48

Away +0.75

x3.33

Home -0.5

x1.40

Away +0.5

x3.79

Home -0.25

x1.28

Away +0.25

x4.98

Home 0

x1.17

Away 0

x8.06

Home +0.25

x1.15

Away -0.25

x8.86

Home +0.5

x1.14

Away -0.5

x9.65

Home +0.75

x1.10

Away -0.75

x14.09

Home +1.0

x1.05

Away -1.0

x28.27

Home +1.5

x1.05

Away -1.5

x30.46

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x28.96

Score: 0:1

x39.92

Score: 0:2

x71.08

Score: 1:0

x10.39

Score: 1:1

x12.95

Score: 1:2

x34.85

Score: 2:0

x9.86

Score: 2:1

x9.89