Beta5ai Predictions All Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
Under 3.75 x1.36
WIN
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
-2%
Home
x3.33
Marathonbet
-10%
Draw
x3.68
Bwin
2%
Away
x2.20
Draw No Bet
Pinnacle
-5%
Home DNB
x2.42
William Hill
-0%
Away DNB
x1.62
Over/Under
Bwin
-3%
Over 0.5
x1.04
1xBet
-1%
Under 0.5
x15.00
Marathonbet
-6%
Over 0.75
x1.01
1xBet
-15%
Under 0.75
x11.50
Marathonbet
-6%
Over 1.0
x1.01
Marathonbet
-18%
Under 1.0
x9.70
Bet365
-4%
Over 1.25
x1.13
Bet365
-6%
Under 1.25
x5.90
William Hill
-3%
Over 1.5
x1.25
Unibet
-1%
Under 1.5
x4.40
Unibet
-5%
Over 1.75
x1.27
Unibet
-1%
Under 1.75
x3.90
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 2.0
x1.39
Unibet
-0%
Under 2.0
x3.40
Pinnacle
-4%
Over 2.25
x1.56
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 2.25
x2.54
Pinnacle
-4%
Over 2.5
x1.77
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 2.5
x2.14
Pinnacle
-5%
Over 2.75
x1.97
Unibet
-0%
Under 2.75
x1.92
Pinnacle
-6%
Over 3.0
x2.29
Unibet
0%
Under 3.0
x1.68
Pinnacle
-7%
Over 3.25
x2.60
Unibet
-0%
Under 3.25
x1.54
Pinnacle
-10%
Over 3.5
x2.89
Unibet
1%
Under 3.5
x1.47
Bet365
-14%
Over 3.75
x3.30
Unibet
2%
Under 3.75
x1.36
Unibet
-16%
Over 4.0
x4.40
Unibet
1%
Under 4.0
x1.23
Unibet
-17%
Over 4.25
x4.80
Unibet
0%
Under 4.25
x1.20
Pinnacle
-14%
Over 4.5
x5.52
Unibet
1%
Under 4.5
x1.19
Double Chance
Pinnacle
-8%
H/D
x1.72
Unibet
1%
H/A
x1.33
Unibet
-2%
D/A
x1.38
Both Teams to Score
Unibet
-4%
BTS yes
x1.66
Bet365
-0%
BTS no
x2.38
Asian Handicap
1xBet
-28%
Home -2.5
x15.00
1xBet
-3%
Away +2.5
x1.02
1xBet
-27%
Home -2.0
x13.50
1xBet
-3%
Away +2.0
x1.02
1xBet
-20%
Home -1.75
x8.40
1xBet
-4%
Away +1.75
x1.05
Unibet
-8%
Home -1.5
x7.00
Unibet
-2%
Away +1.5
x1.13
Bet365
-10%
Home -1.25
x6.25
Unibet
-1%
Away +1.25
x1.15
Bet365
-7%
Home -1.0
x5.90
Unibet
-1%
Away +1.0
x1.17
Pinnacle
-3%
Home -0.75
x4.20
Unibet
-1%
Away +0.75
x1.28
Bet365
-3%
Home -0.5
x3.30
Unibet
-2%
Away +0.5
x1.38
Pinnacle
-3%
Home -0.25
x2.88
1xBet
-1%
Away +0.25
x1.48
Pinnacle
-4%
Home 0
x2.45
Marathonbet
0%
Away 0
x1.64
Pinnacle
-5%
Home +0.25
x2.00
Bet365
1%
Away -0.25
x1.91
Pinnacle
-6%
Home +0.5
x1.75
Pinnacle
2%
Away -0.5
x2.19
Unibet
-5%
Home +0.75
x1.56
Pinnacle
1%
Away -0.75
x2.56
Unibet
-4%
Home +1.0
x1.38
Bet365
1%
Away -1.0
x3.30
Unibet
-3%
Home +1.25
x1.32
Pinnacle
-1%
Away -1.25
x3.65
Unibet
-3%
Home +1.5
x1.28
Bet365
-7%
Away -1.5
x3.90
Unibet
-0%
Home +1.75
x1.22
Bet365
-3%
Away -1.75
x5.25
Unibet
-0%
Home +2.0
x1.13
Marathonbet
-12%
Away -2.0
x7.10
Unibet
-0%
Home +2.25
x1.12
Unibet
-14%
Away -2.25
x7.50
Unibet
-1%
Home +2.5
x1.11
Unibet
-16%
Away -2.5
x8.00
Correct Score
1xBet
-8%
Score: 0:0
x15.00
Pinnacle
-5%
Score: 0:1
x10.31
Bwin
-12%
Score: 0:2
x12.00
Bet365
-8%
Score: 1:0
x13.00
Pinnacle
-16%
Score: 1:1
x7.37
Pinnacle
-11%
Score: 1:2
x9.83
Bet365
-12%
Score: 2:0
x19.00
Bet365
-15%
Score: 2:1
x12.00
Motivation
Summary of this match
Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen to score under 3.75 goals according to Asian handicap could bring a profit in a long run. Bookmakers set probability of the result as very high, still chances are even higher than listed. Overview of Excelsior: performance is lower than expected, team scores normal amount and concedes high number of goals. Overview of NEC Nijmegen: performance is okayish, team scores normal amount and concedes normal amount. Not too high yet positive average reward is expected here by AI. Bet at greater than 1.36. Kelly criterion makes 0% of the budget, while we advise max 0%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 2%
Robustness: 0%
Game rating
Rating: 1596
Team ratings
Glicko
1537
1654
Elo
1495
1559
Team goals
Expected
1.26
1.63
Average scored
1.22
2.1
Average conceded
1.3
1.16
Team form
Progress
-5%
-2%
Projected place
#14
#12