Beta5ai Predictions All Estrela vs Penafiel
Draw x3.25
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
-4%
Home
x2.37
Bet365
1%
Draw
x3.25
Pinnacle
-6%
Away
x3.32
Draw No Bet
Unibet
-2%
Home DNB
x1.66
Pinnacle
-3%
Away DNB
x2.31
Over/Under
William Hill
-3%
Over 0.5
x1.08
Bet365
-1%
Under 0.5
x10.00
Unibet
-3%
Over 0.75
x1.08
1xBet
-4%
Under 0.75
x8.70
Bet365
-3%
Over 1.0
x1.10
Unibet
-6%
Under 1.0
x7.50
Bet365
-4%
Over 1.25
x1.23
Unibet
-7%
Under 1.25
x4.20
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 1.5
x1.39
Unibet
-8%
Under 1.5
x3.10
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 1.75
x1.49
Pinnacle
-6%
Under 1.75
x2.72
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 2.0
x1.64
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 2.0
x2.34
Pinnacle
-2%
Over 2.25
x1.92
Bet365
-4%
Under 2.25
x1.95
Pinnacle
-3%
Over 2.5
x2.18
Marathonbet
-3%
Under 2.5
x1.74
Unibet
-3%
Over 2.75
x2.55
Pinnacle
-3%
Under 2.75
x1.55
Unibet
-2%
Over 3.0
x3.30
Bet365
-4%
Under 3.0
x1.35
Unibet
-4%
Over 3.25
x3.70
Bet365
-3%
Under 3.25
x1.30
Unibet
-5%
Over 3.5
x4.10
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 3.5
x1.27
Unibet
-5%
Over 3.75
x5.30
Bet365
-4%
Under 3.75
x1.17
Unibet
-7%
Over 4.0
x8.00
Bet365
-2%
Under 4.0
x1.10
1xBet
-18%
Over 4.25
x7.60
Marathonbet
-5%
Under 4.25
x1.06
Unibet
-15%
Over 4.5
x8.50
Bwin
-3%
Under 4.5
x1.08
Double Chance
Pinnacle
-2%
H/D
x1.36
Pinnacle
-6%
H/A
x1.37
Pinnacle
-3%
D/A
x1.63
Both Teams to Score
Pinnacle
-5%
BTS yes
x1.89
Pinnacle
-4%
BTS no
x1.94
Asian Handicap
Marathonbet
-39%
Home -2.5
x9.10
Marathonbet
-5%
Away +2.5
x1.02
Marathonbet
-33%
Home -2.0
x8.30
Marathonbet
-4%
Away +2.0
x1.03
Unibet
-6%
Home -1.75
x7.00
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.75
x1.13
Unibet
-4%
Home -1.5
x5.20
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.5
x1.20
Unibet
-4%
Home -1.25
x4.60
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.25
x1.24
Unibet
-2%
Home -1.0
x4.10
Marathonbet
-2%
Away +1.0
x1.28
Unibet
-3%
Home -0.75
x2.90
Bet365
-1%
Away +0.75
x1.48
Unibet
-4%
Home -0.5
x2.38
Bet365
-2%
Away +0.5
x1.65
Unibet
-3%
Home -0.25
x2.02
1xBet
-0%
Away +0.25
x1.92
Unibet
-1%
Home 0
x1.68
Marathonbet
-2%
Away 0
x2.35
Bet365
-1%
Home +0.25
x1.48
Pinnacle
-5%
Away -0.25
x2.82
Bet365
-1%
Home +0.5
x1.38
Pinnacle
-7%
Away -0.5
x3.29
Bet365
-2%
Home +0.75
x1.25
Pinnacle
-6%
Away -0.75
x4.29
Pinnacle
0%
Home +1.0
x1.16
Marathonbet
-14%
Away -1.0
x6.10
Bet365
-3%
Home +1.25
x1.11
Marathonbet
-18%
Away -1.25
x6.50
Bet365
-2%
Home +1.5
x1.10
Marathonbet
-22%
Away -1.5
x6.90
1xBet
-5%
Home +1.75
x1.03
1xBet
-18%
Away -1.75
x10.50
Marathonbet
-52%
Away -2.0
x11.25
Correct Score
Bet365
-15%
Score: 0:0
x9.00
Pinnacle
-14%
Score: 0:1
x9.41
Pinnacle
-18%
Score: 0:2
x15.99
Pinnacle
-5%
Score: 1:0
x8.03
Pinnacle
-17%
Score: 1:1
x6.69
Bet365
-22%
Score: 1:2
x12.00
Pinnacle
-6%
Score: 2:0
x11.43
Pinnacle
-21%
Score: 2:1
x9.63
Motivation
Summary of this match
Draw is selected by AI for the game between Estrela and Penafiel. While power ratings show comparable performances of both teams, bookmakers set Estrela as favorite, which could bring underestimation of a draw. Overview of Estrela: performance is rather optimistic, team scores between one and two goals and concedes between one and two goals. Overview of Penafiel: performance is as expected, team scores a small amount and concedes between one and two goals. AI says smaller rewards but also more often to happen. Minimal odds to start with must be greater than 3.22. Kelly criterion makes 0% of the budget, while we advise max 0%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 1%
Robustness: 0%
Game rating
Rating: 1490
Team ratings
Glicko
1478
1501
Elo
1475
1488
Team goals
Expected
1.36
1.07
Average scored
1.32
1.29
Average conceded
0.95
1.11
Team form
Progress
10%
-4%
Projected place
#5
#7