Beta5ai Predictions All Estrela vs Penafiel
Away +1.75 x1.10
WIN
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
-5%
Home
x2.78
Marathonbet
-8%
Draw
x3.34
Unibet
-2%
Away
x2.60
Draw No Bet
Pinnacle
-4%
Home DNB
x1.97
Pinnacle
-3%
Away DNB
x1.84
Over/Under
William Hill
-3%
Over 0.5
x1.07
Unibet
-14%
Under 0.5
x10.00
Unibet
-4%
Over 0.75
x1.06
Unibet
-9%
Under 0.75
x9.50
Unibet
-4%
Over 1.0
x1.07
Unibet
-8%
Under 1.0
x8.50
1xBet
-5%
Over 1.25
x1.19
Unibet
-5%
Under 1.25
x4.75
William Hill
-2%
Over 1.5
x1.36
Unibet
-4%
Under 1.5
x3.50
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 1.75
x1.44
Unibet
-4%
Under 1.75
x3.05
Pinnacle
-3%
Over 2.0
x1.52
Unibet
-3%
Under 2.0
x2.63
1xBet
-2%
Over 2.25
x1.80
Pinnacle
-5%
Under 2.25
x2.10
William Hill
-2%
Over 2.5
x2.05
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 2.5
x1.85
Marathonbet
-5%
Over 2.75
x2.28
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 2.75
x1.65
Unibet
-5%
Over 3.0
x2.80
Pinnacle
-3%
Under 3.0
x1.45
Unibet
-6%
Over 3.25
x3.20
Unibet
-5%
Under 3.25
x1.34
Unibet
-8%
Over 3.5
x3.55
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 3.5
x1.30
Unibet
-11%
Over 3.75
x4.40
Unibet
-4%
Under 3.75
x1.20
Unibet
-14%
Over 4.0
x6.40
Unibet
-3%
Under 4.0
x1.12
1xBet
-17%
Over 4.25
x6.75
Marathonbet
-5%
Under 4.25
x1.08
Bwin
-22%
Over 4.5
x7.00
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 4.5
x1.11
Double Chance
Pinnacle
-6%
H/D
x1.51
Pinnacle
-3%
H/A
x1.34
Pinnacle
-5%
D/A
x1.45
Both Teams to Score
William Hill
-4%
BTS yes
x1.85
Pinnacle
-2%
BTS no
x2.05
Asian Handicap
1xBet
-43%
Home -2.5
x12.00
1xBet
-4%
Away +2.5
x1.01
Marathonbet
-38%
Home -2.0
x11.00
Unibet
-19%
Home -1.75
x8.00
Bet365
-1%
Away +1.75
x1.10
Bet365
-18%
Home -1.5
x5.75
Bet365
-3%
Away +1.5
x1.14
Unibet
-15%
Home -1.25
x5.20
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.25
x1.17
Pinnacle
-7%
Home -1.0
x5.08
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.0
x1.19
Pinnacle
-6%
Home -0.75
x3.46
Bet365
-3%
Away +0.75
x1.33
Pinnacle
-5%
Home -0.5
x2.77
Bet365
-3%
Away +0.5
x1.48
Pinnacle
-4%
Home -0.25
x2.38
1xBet
-3%
Away +0.25
x1.62
Pinnacle
-4%
Home 0
x2.00
Bet365
-2%
Away 0
x1.88
Marathonbet
-5%
Home +0.25
x1.69
Unibet
-2%
Away -0.25
x2.23
Pinnacle
-6%
Home +0.5
x1.52
Unibet
-2%
Away -0.5
x2.60
Marathonbet
-5%
Home +0.75
x1.36
Unibet
-2%
Away -0.75
x3.25
Pinnacle
-3%
Home +1.0
x1.22
Unibet
-4%
Away -1.0
x4.60
Bet365
-4%
Home +1.25
x1.18
Unibet
-5%
Away -1.25
x5.20
Bet365
-3%
Home +1.5
x1.16
Unibet
-6%
Away -1.5
x5.75
Bet365
-3%
Home +1.75
x1.10
Unibet
-6%
Away -1.75
x8.00
Marathonbet
-6%
Home +2.0
x1.01
Marathonbet
-30%
Away -2.0
x9.90
Marathonbet
-33%
Away -2.5
x11.00
Correct Score
Unibet
-19%
Score: 0:0
x9.50
Pinnacle
-6%
Score: 0:1
x9.00
Pinnacle
-15%
Score: 0:2
x13.00
Pinnacle
-12%
Score: 1:0
x9.07
Pinnacle
-19%
Score: 1:1
x6.77
Bet365
-18%
Score: 1:2
x11.00
Pinnacle
-19%
Score: 2:0
x13.74
Bet365
-20%
Score: 2:1
x11.00
Motivation
Summary of this match
Penafiel to not lose by more than 1.75 goals in terms of Asian handicap is appropriate for value betting. Bookmakers set probability of the result as very high, still chances are even higher than listed. Overview of Estrela: performance is lower than expected, team scores between one and two goals and concedes normal amount. Overview of Penafiel: performance could have been stronger, team scores normal amount and concedes average number of goals. AI found small yet positive profit for this result in past games like this. Try betting at odds greater than 1.13. Kelly criterion makes 0% of the budget, while we advise max 0%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: -1%
Robustness: 0%
Game rating
Rating: 1485
Team ratings
Glicko
1472
1498
Elo
1476
1489
Team goals
Expected
1.22
1.29
Average scored
1.47
1.59
Average conceded
1.07
1.33
Team form
Progress
-11%
-12%
Projected place
#4
#4