Prediction: Estrela vs. Farense

Under 0.5 x10.25

LOSS

1x2

Pinnacle

-1%

Home

x3.16

NordicBet

-2%

Draw

x3.30

Pinnacle

-2%

Away

x2.54

Draw No Bet

10Bet

-4%

Home DNB

x2.15

Pinnacle

-4%

Away DNB

x1.73

Over/Under

William Hill

-3%

Over 0.5

x1.07

10Bet

-0%

Under 0.5

x10.25

Pinnacle

-2%

Over 1.5

x1.37

Unibet

-5%

Under 1.5

x3.30

Pinnacle

-2%

Over 2.5

x2.15

Dafabet

-5%

Under 2.5

x1.75

Pinnacle

-9%

Over 3.5

x3.83

William Hill

-2%

Under 3.5

x1.29

Bet365

-20%

Over 4.5

x8.00

Bwin

-2%

Under 4.5

x1.09

Double Chance

Bwin

-3%

H/D

x1.58

Pinnacle

-2%

H/A

x1.40

Betway

-4%

D/A

x1.40

Both Teams to Score

Bwin

-5%

BTS yes

x1.83

Pinnacle

-3%

BTS no

x2.02

Asian Handicap

Bet365

-28%

Home -1.5

x6.25

Bet365

-1%

Away +1.5

x1.12

Bet365

-1%

Home +1.5

x1.18

Unibet

-16%

Away -1.5

x5.10

Marathonbet

-5%

Home +2.5

x1.01

Marathonbet

-39%

Away -2.5

x10.25

Correct Score

Netbet

-3%

Score: 0:0

x10.50

Pinnacle

-4%

Score: 0:1

x8.57

Pinnacle

-10%

Score: 0:2

x12.44

Pinnacle

-2%

Score: 1:0

x9.68

Bwin

-22%

Score: 1:1

x6.50

Bet365

-24%

Score: 1:2

x10.00

Pinnacle

-8%

Score: 2:0

x15.22

Pinnacle

-20%

Score: 2:1

x11.46

Summary of this match

Estrela and Farense to score less than 0.5 goals is appropriate for value betting. The risk is high; however the probability is higher than expected. Overview of Estrela: performance is lower than expected, team scores less than one goal and concedes average number of goals. Overview of Farense: performance is as expected, team scores normal amount and concedes average number of goals. AI says smaller rewards but also more often to happen. Minimal odds to start with are 10.28. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!

Game rating: 1600
Expected goals: 1.17 : 1.29
Round: 2 / 34
Betting odds comparison: equality
Average odds: 2.90 - 3.16 - 2.35
Odds ratio: 46% : 54%
Rating comparison: equality
Glicko: 1573 +5 [76 -2] : 1626 +15 [74 -1]
Elo: 1630 +2 : 1655 +7
Progress: -7% : 5%
Average goals by Estrela: 0.87 : 1.44
Average goals by Farense: 1.14 : 1.06
Stage position: Estrela is #12 and Farense is #6 out of 18 teams
Projected positions: Estrela is #14 and Farense is #10
Head-to-head this stage: none