Prediction: Derby vs. Watford

Beta5ai Predictions All Derby vs Watford

Home DNB x1.67

LOSS

England - Championship Regular Season - 27		18.01.2025 15:00
Derby	0 - 2 Match Finished	Watford
Pride Park Stadium Derby Adam Herczeg, England
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (0 - 1)

FoulJames Abankwah

I. Louza

Callum ElderFoul

Time wastingJeremy Ngakia

Second Half (0 - 2)

M. SissokoT. Dele-Bashiru

K. JacksonC. Blackett-Taylor

Y. LarouciJ. Ngakia

M. SissokoE. Kayembe

N. Mendez-LaingD. Brown

C. ElderC. Forsyth

K. GoudmijnM. Harness

R. AndrewsJ. Abankwah

A. OgbonnaK. Baah

K. WilsonJ. Ward

FoulFrancisco Sierralta

3	Shots on Goal	6

9	Shots off Goal	4

15	Total Shots	15

3	Blocked Shots	5

15	Shots insidebox	11

0	Shots outsidebox	4

11	Fouls	11

4	Corner Kicks	8

1	Offsides	1

56%	Ball Possession	44%

1	Yellow Cards	3

	Red Cards

3	Goalkeeper Saves	3

375	Total passes	307

300	Passes accurate	234

80%	Passes %	76%

1.25	expected_goals	1.82

0	goals_prevented	0


Coaches
P. Warne	T. Cleverley
Formations
4-2-3-1	3-4-2-1
Start XI
G J. Widell Zetterström (1) D K. Wilson (2) D C. Nelson (35) D E. Cashin (6) D C. Elder (20) M E. Adams (32) M B. Osborn (8) M K. Jackson (19) M K. Goudmijn (17) M N. Mendez-Laing (11) F J. Yates (10)	(23) J. Bond G (25) J. Abankwah D (3) F. Sierralta D (6) M. Pollock D (34) K. Baah M (10) I. Louza M (24) T. Dele-Bashiru M (2) J. Ngakia M (39) E. Kayembe F (11) R. Vata F (19) V. Bayo F
Substitutes
F C. Blackett-Taylor (27) F D. Brown (39) D C. Forsyth (3) M M. Harness (18) M J. Ward (23) M L. Thompson (16) F J. Collins (9) G J. Vickers (31) F T. Barkhuizen (7)	(17) M. Sissoko M (37) Y. Larouci D (45) R. Andrews D (21) A. Ogbonna D (53) A. Nabizada F (7) T. Ince M (40) M. Roberts G (20) M. Doumbia F (5) R. Porteous D

Derby	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Eiran Joe Cashin	D	8.2	90		0	1	1	0		67	1	55	0	0
Callum Elder	D	7.9	74		0			0		31		19	1	0
Ebou Adams	M	7.6	90		0	5	1	0		27		24	0	0
Kayden Jackson	M	7.2	62		0	2		0		8	2	5	0	0
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing	M	7.2	74		0	2	1	0		27	5	21	0	0
Kane Wilson	D	7	81		0			0		24	1	19	0	0
Corey Blackett-Taylor	F	7	28		0			0		9	1	6	0	0
Jacob Widell Zetterström	G	6.9	90		0			2	3	22		17	0	0
Craig Forsyth	D	6.7	16		0			0		14		13	0	0
Dajaune Brown	F	6.7	16		0			0					0	0
Joe Ward	M	6.7	9		0			0		3		3	0	0
Ben Osborn	M	6.6	90		0			0		56	1	48	0	0
Kenzo Goudmijn	M	6.6	74		0			0		29	1	22	0	0
Marcus Harness	M	6.5	16		0			0		2		1	0	0
Curtis Nelson	D	6.3	90		0	1		0		42		36	0	0
Jerry Yates	F	6.3	90		0	1		0		14		11	0	0
Josh Vickers	G							0					0	0
Liam Thompson	M							0					0	0
James Collins	F							0					0	0
Tom Barkhuizen	F							0					0	0
Watford	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Edo Kayembe	F	7.7	90	1	0	3	2	0		39		34	0	0
Moussa Sissoko	M	7.7	45		1	1		0		13	1	10	0	0
Imrân Louza	M	7.6	90	1	0	1	1	0		51	2	47	0	0
Jonathan Bond	G	7.3	90		0			0	3	20		14	0	0
Francisco Sierralta	D	7.3	90		0			0		20		15	1	0
Matthew Pollock	D	7.3	90		0	1		0		39		28	0	0
Rocco Vata	F	7	90		0			0		16	1	11	0	0
James Abankwah	D	6.9	76		0	1	1	0		26	2	18	1	0
Angelo Ogbonna	D	6.7	12		0			0		2		1	0	0
Tom Dele-Bashiru	M	6.6	45		0			0		14		14	0	0
Yasser Larouci	D	6.6	26		0			0		7		6	0	0
Jeremy Ngakia	M	6.5	64		0	1		0		23		15	1	0
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	F	6.5	90		0	1	1	0		22	1	15	0	0
Kwadwo Baah	M	6.3	78		0	1	1	0		11	1	5	0	0
Ryan Andrews	D	6.3	14		0			0		4		1	0	0
Myles Roberts	G							0					0	0
Ryan Porteous	D							0					0	0
Thomas Ince	M							0					0	0
Mamadou Doumbia	F							0					0	0
Amin Nabizada	F							0					0	0

Motivation

AI calculated discounted chance as 60.28%, which is not enough for robust betting at given odds

Mean expected score:

1.58 : 1.12

Strength

Form

Attack

Defence

Field help

Probabilities

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

Fair Odds

1x2

Home

x2.33

Draw

x3.61

Away

x3.67

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x1.67

Away DNB

x2.62

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.11

Under 0.5

x11.51

Over 0.75

x1.13

Under 0.75

x10.36

Over 1.0

x1.14

Under 1.0

x9.23

Over 1.25

x1.29

Under 1.25

x4.88

Over 1.5

x1.43

Under 1.5

x3.55

Over 1.75

x1.52

Under 1.75

x3.10

Over 2.0

x1.66

Under 2.0

x2.65

Over 2.25

x1.94

Under 2.25

x2.15

Over 2.5

x2.22

Under 2.5

x1.88

Over 2.75

x2.60

Under 2.75

x1.67

Over 3.0

x3.32

Under 3.0

x1.47

Over 3.25

x3.77

Under 3.25

x1.39

Over 3.5

x4.24

Under 3.5

x1.34

Over 3.75

x5.47

Under 3.75

x1.25

Over 4.0

x8.28

Under 4.0

x1.16

Over 4.25

x8.92

Under 4.25

x1.15

Over 4.5

x9.56

Under 4.5

x1.14

Double Chance

H/D

x1.41

H/A

x1.42

D/A

x1.80

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x1.95

BTS no

x2.13

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x13.46

Away +2.5

x1.10

Home -2.0

x11.79

Away +2.0

x1.11

Home -1.75

x6.90

Away +1.75

x1.19

Home -1.5

x5.07

Away +1.5

x1.27

Home -1.25

x4.47

Away +1.25

x1.32

Home -1.0

x3.88

Away +1.0

x1.38

Home -0.75

x2.81

Away +0.75

x1.59

Home -0.5

x2.33

Away +0.5

x1.80

Home -0.25

x2.00

Away +0.25

x2.07

Home 0

x1.67

Away 0

x2.62

Home +0.25

x1.51

Away -0.25

x3.15

Home +0.5

x1.41

Away -0.5

x3.67

Home +0.75

x1.29

Away -0.75

x4.88

Home +1.0

x1.16

Away -1.0

x8.14

Home +1.25

x1.15

Away -1.25

x9.00

Home +1.5

x1.13

Away -1.5

x9.85

Home +1.75

x1.09

Away -1.75

x14.46

Away -2.0

x29.75

Away -2.5

x32.09

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x11.51

Score: 0:1

x13.02

Score: 0:2

x23.26

Score: 1:0

x9.14

Score: 1:1

x7.68

Score: 1:2

x14.98

Score: 2:0

x13.44

Score: 2:1

x10.92