Prediction: Brighton vs. Aston Villa

Beta5ai Predictions All Brighton vs Aston Villa

Under 4.0 x1.31

Bet 1.4%

Pinnacle

WIN

England - Premier League Regular Season - 30		02.04.2025 18:45
Brighton	0 - 3 Match Finished	Aston Villa
American Express Stadium Falmer, East Sussex S. Attwell
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (0 - 0)

Jack HinshelwoodFoul

Second Half (0 - 3)

M. RogersM. Rashford

Kaoru Mitoma

O. WatkinsM. Rashford

Marco AsensioJ. Ramsey

A. OnanaY. Tielemans

J. HinshelwoodM. Wieffer

João PedroD. Welbeck

D. GómezC. Baleba

L. DunkE. Cashin

M. RogersMarco Asensio

A. DisasiM. Cash

B. GrudaM. O'Riley

D. MalenM. Rogers

Danny WelbeckArgument

Time wastingEmiliano Martínez

Time wastingAxel Disasi

FoulOllie Watkins

Marco Asensio0 D. Malen

4	Shots on Goal	5

5	Shots off Goal	3

11	Total Shots	8

2	Blocked Shots	0

8	Shots insidebox	7

3	Shots outsidebox	1

16	Fouls	11

4	Corner Kicks	0

1	Offsides	0

56%	Ball Possession	44%

2	Yellow Cards	3

	Red Cards

2	Goalkeeper Saves	4

464	Total passes	383

397	Passes accurate	321

86%	Passes %	84%

0.90	expected_goals	1.25

0	goals_prevented	0


Coaches
F. Hürzeler	Unai Emery
Formations
4-2-3-1	4-2-3-1
Start XI
G B. Verbruggen (1) D J. Hinshelwood (41) D J. van Hecke (29) D L. Dunk (5) D P. Estupiñán (30) M D. Gómez (25) M Y. Ayari (26) M S. Adingra (11) M B. Gruda (8) M K. Mitoma (22) F João Pedro (9)	(23) E. Martínez G (2) M. Cash D (4) E. Konsa D (14) Pau Torres D (12) L. Digne D (44) B. Kamara M (8) Y. Tielemans M (27) M. Rogers M (7) J. McGinn M (41) J. Ramsey M (9) M. Rashford F
Substitutes
D E. Cashin (16) M C. Baleba (20) F D. Welbeck (18) M M. Wieffer (27) M M. O'Riley (33) F Y. Minteh (17) D C. Tasker (60) M S. March (7) G C. Rushworth (39)	(24) A. Onana M (21) Marco Asensio F (11) O. Watkins F (3) A. Disasi D (17) D. Malen F (25) R. Olsen G (5) T. Mings D (16) Andrés García D (22) I. Maatsen D

Brighton	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Yasin Ayari	M	7.2	90		0	3		0		38	1	31	0	0
Kaoru Mitoma	M	7	90		0	2	2	0		30	1	26	0	0
Jan Paul van Hecke	D	6.6	90		0	1	1	0		74		66	0	0
Diego Gómez	M	6.6	72		0			0		35	1	26	0	0
Simon Adingra	M	6.6	90		0	1		0		14	2	10	0	0
João Pedro	F	6.6	72		0	1	1	0		16		12	0	0
Carlos Baleba	M	6.6	18		0	1		0		25		20	0	0
Lewis Dunk	D	6.5	72		0			0		75		65	0	0
Matt O'Riley	M	6.5	17		0			0		7		6	0	0
Jack Hinshelwood	D	6.3	72		0			0		24	1	20	1	0
Brajan Gruda	M	6.3	84		0			0		14		12	0	0
Mats Wieffer	M	6.3	18		0			0		12	1	11	0	0
Danny Welbeck	F	6.3	18		0			0		7		7	1	0
Bart Verbruggen	G	6.2	90		0			3	2	24		24	0	0
Pervis Estupiñán	D	6.2	90		0			0		44	1	39	0	0
Eiran Joe Cashin	D	6.2	18		0			0		25		22	0	0
Carl Rushworth	G							0					0	0
Charlie Tasker	D							0					0	0
Solly March	M							0					0	0
Yankuba Minteh	F							0					0	0
Aston Villa	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Morgan Rogers	M	8	88		2			0		14	2	10	0	0
Marco Asensio	F	8	25	1	1	2	2	0		11	1	7	0	0
Emiliano Martínez	G	7.9	90		0			0	4	47		32	1	0
Matty Cash	D	7.3	81		0	1		0		17	1	16	0	0
Pau Torres	D	7.3	90		0			0		60		54	0	0
Ezri Konsa	D	7.2	90		0	1	1	0		52		47	0	0
Lucas Digne	D	7.2	90		0			0		25	1	24	0	0
John McGinn	M	7.2	90		0	1		0		27	1	24	0	0
Marcus Rashford	F	7.2	65	1	0	2	1	0		9		9	0	0
Donyell Malen	F	7.2	13	1	0	1	1	0		1			0	0
Boubacar Kamara	M	7	90		0			0		52	1	44	0	0
Jacob Ramsey	M	6.9	65		0			0		14		14	0	0
Ollie Watkins	F	6.7	25		0			0		10		5	1	0
Youri Tielemans	M	6.6	65		0			0		25		20	0	0
Amadou Onana	M	6.6	25		0			0		15		13	0	0
Axel Disasi	D	6.3	9		0			0		4		2	1	0
Robin Olsen	G							0					0	0
Tyrone Mings	D							0					0	0
Ian Maatsen	D							0					0	0
Andrés García	D							0					0	0

Motivation

Robust bet is 1.4% of current betting balance at odds x1.31 found at Pinnacle - AI calculated discounted chance as 77.9%, which is by 1.56% greater than bookmakers opinion

Mean expected score:

1.85 : 1.4

Strength

Form

Attack

Defence

Field help

Probabilities

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

Fair Odds

1x2

Home

x2.15

Draw

x4.21

Away

x3.76

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x1.61

Away DNB

x2.83

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.07

Under 0.5

x20.86

Over 1.0

x1.08

Under 1.0

x17.78

Over 1.25

x1.18

Under 1.25

x8.17

Over 1.5

x1.28

Under 1.5

x5.64

Over 1.75

x1.32

Under 1.75

x4.97

Over 2.0

x1.39

Under 2.0

x4.30

Over 2.25

x1.59

Under 2.25

x3.00

Over 2.5

x1.80

Under 2.5

x2.45

Over 2.75

x1.99

Under 2.75

x2.17

Over 3.0

x2.30

Under 3.0

x1.89

Over 3.25

x2.62

Under 3.25

x1.70

Over 3.5

x2.96

Under 3.5

x1.58

Over 3.75

x3.62

Under 3.75

x1.44

Over 4.0

x4.99

Under 4.0

x1.29

Over 4.25

x5.52

Under 4.25

x1.26

Over 4.5

x6.06

Under 4.5

x1.23

Double Chance

H/D

x1.41

H/A

x1.35

D/A

x1.97

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x1.67

BTS no

x2.65

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x10.48

Away +2.5

x1.13

Home -2.25

x9.72

Away +2.25

x1.14

Home -2.0

x8.96

Away +2.0

x1.15

Home -1.75

x5.57

Away +1.75

x1.25

Home -1.5

x4.22

Away +1.5

x1.35

Home -1.25

x3.71

Away +1.25

x1.41

Home -1.0

x3.21

Away +1.0

x1.50

Home -0.75

x2.50

Away +0.75

x1.73

Home -0.5

x2.15

Away +0.5

x1.97

Home -0.25

x1.88

Away +0.25

x2.26

Home 0

x1.61

Away 0

x2.83

Home +0.25

x1.49

Away -0.25

x3.30

Home +0.5

x1.41

Away -0.5

x3.76

Home +0.75

x1.29

Away -0.75

x4.86

Home +1.0

x1.18

Away -1.0

x7.50

Home +1.25

x1.17

Away -1.25

x8.19

Home +1.5

x1.15

Away -1.5

x8.88

Home +1.75

x1.11

Away -1.75

x12.54

Home +2.0

x1.06

Away -2.0

x22.88

Home +2.5

x1.06

Away -2.5

x24.70

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x20.86

Score: 0:1

x17.37

Score: 0:2

x27.83

Score: 1:0

x13.07

Score: 1:1

x9.21

Score: 1:2

x14.17

Score: 2:0

x14.92

Score: 2:1

x10.94