Draw is an optimal bet in the game between Birmingham and Swansea. While bookmakers give average chances of 38% - 31% - 31%, expectations calculated from home-grown power ratings are Elo: 39% - 61% and Glicko: 38% - 62%. On that basis AI provides the following chances for game results: 37% - 32% - 30%. We wish you the best of luck with the prediction and generally great day.

Round: 14 / 46
Betting odds: equality
Average odds: 2.49 - 3.06 - 3.04
Odds ratio: 54% : 46%
Ratings: Swansea is stronger
Elo: 1799 : 1913
Glicko: 1863[56] : 1985[54]
Expected: 45% : 46%
Progress: -9% : 9%
Home/away bias: 59% : 38%
Average scored: 0.02 : 1.87
Average conceded: 0.83 : 0.75
Stage position: Birmingham is #20 and Swansea is #15 out of 24 teams
Projected positions: Birmingham is #21 and Swansea is #5
Motivation for Birmingham: projected drop upon losing
Motivation for Swansea: projected raise upon winning but also drop upon losing
Head-to-head this stage: none
Optimal odds: 2.69 - 3.11 - 3.29