Summary of this match
Draw is an optimal bet in the game between Benfica and Sporting. While bookmakers give average chances of 34% - 28% - 38%, expectations calculated from home-grown power ratings are Elo: 46% - 54% and Glicko: 44% - 56%. On that basis AI provides the following chances for game results: 33% - 29% - 38%. We wish you the best of luck with the prediction and generally great day.
Round: 1 / 1
Betting odds: equality
Average odds: 2.76 - 3.30 - 2.47
Odds ratio: 48% : 52%
Ratings: equality
Elo: 2072 : 2099
Glicko: 2149[57] : 2192[60]
Expected: 71% : 73%
Progress: -2% : 8%
Home/away bias: 56% : 46%
Average scored: 2.22 : 2.09
Average conceded: 1.07 : 0.89
Stage position: Benfica is #2 and Sporting is #2 out of 2 teams
Projected positions: Benfica is #1 and Sporting is #1
Motivation for Benfica: projected raise upon winning but also drop upon losing
Motivation for Sporting: projected raise upon winning but also drop upon losing
Head-to-head this stage: none
Optimal odds: 1x2: 3.03-3.46-2.65, DC: 1.61-1.41-1.50, DNB: 2.15-1.88