Summary of this match
Belenenses to win is an optimal bet in the game between Belenenses and Tondela. While bookmakers give average chances of 40% - 28% - 32%, expectations calculated from home-grown power ratings are Elo: 60% - 40% and Glicko: 60% - 40%. On that basis AI provides the following chances for game results: 40% - 28% - 32%. We wish you the best of luck with the prediction and generally great day.
Round: 8 / 34
Betting odds: equality
Average odds: 2.38 - 3.29 - 2.90
Odds ratio: 54% : 46%
Ratings: equality
Elo: 1728 : 1693
Glicko: 1761[62] : 1723[62]
Expected: 37% : 36%
Progress: 2% : -5%
Home/away bias: 53% : 38%
Average scored: 1.33 : 1.98
Average conceded: 1.44 : 2.26
Stage position: Belenenses is #17 and Tondela is #15 out of 18 teams
Projected positions: Belenenses is #16 and Tondela is #18
Motivation for Belenenses: projected raise upon winning but also drop upon losing
Motivation for Tondela: projected raise upon winning
Head-to-head this stage: none
Optimal odds: 2.53 - 3.52 - 3.15