Beta5ai Predictions All Arouca vs Casa Pia
Under 1.25 x3.90
Bet 1%
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Pinnacle
-0%
Home
x2.47
Marathonbet
1%
Draw
x3.22
Pinnacle
-6%
Away
x3.33
Draw No Bet
Pinnacle
-1%
Home DNB
x1.67
William Hill
-4%
Away DNB
x2.30
Over/Under
Pinnacle
-1%
Over 0.5
x1.12
Bet365
-4%
Under 0.5
x8.00
Bet365
-4%
Over 0.75
x1.11
1xBet
-7%
Under 0.75
x6.75
Bet365
-4%
Over 1.0
x1.13
Unibet
4%
Under 1.0
x6.75
Bet365
-4%
Over 1.25
x1.30
Unibet
3%
Under 1.25
x3.90
Pinnacle
-3%
Over 1.5
x1.49
Unibet
-2%
Under 1.5
x2.80
Pinnacle
-3%
Over 1.75
x1.62
Unibet
1%
Under 1.75
x2.50
Pinnacle
-3%
Over 2.0
x1.85
Unibet
1%
Under 2.0
x2.12
Pinnacle
-4%
Over 2.25
x2.17
Unibet
0%
Under 2.25
x1.79
Pinnacle
-5%
Over 2.5
x2.49
Unibet
-1%
Under 2.5
x1.60
Bet365
-10%
Over 2.75
x2.85
Pinnacle
1%
Under 2.75
x1.47
Bet365
-10%
Over 3.0
x3.80
Unibet
-1%
Under 3.0
x1.28
Bet365
-12%
Over 3.25
x4.25
Unibet
-1%
Under 3.25
x1.24
Pinnacle
-12%
Over 3.5
x4.79
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 3.5
x1.21
Unibet
-16%
Over 3.75
x6.10
Unibet
-1%
Under 3.75
x1.14
Unibet
-19%
Over 4.0
x9.50
Unibet
-1%
Under 4.0
x1.08
1xBet
-31%
Over 4.25
x8.20
1xBet
-3%
Under 4.25
x1.05
Bet365
-19%
Over 4.5
x11.00
Bwin
-2%
Under 4.5
x1.06
Double Chance
Bet365
-2%
H/D
x1.36
Pinnacle
-3%
H/A
x1.41
William Hill
-2%
D/A
x1.65
Both Teams to Score
Pinnacle
-5%
BTS yes
x2.09
Unibet
-2%
BTS no
x1.79
Asian Handicap
Marathonbet
-37%
Home -2.5
x10.00
Marathonbet
-4%
Away +2.5
x1.01
Unibet
-21%
Home -2.25
x13.00
Unibet
-1%
Away +2.25
x1.05
Unibet
-18%
Home -2.0
x12.50
Unibet
-1%
Away +2.0
x1.05
Unibet
-15%
Home -1.75
x7.00
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.75
x1.11
Unibet
-11%
Home -1.5
x5.20
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.5
x1.18
Pinnacle
-6%
Home -1.25
x4.85
Unibet
-2%
Away +1.25
x1.21
Pinnacle
-4%
Home -1.0
x4.27
Bet365
-2%
Away +1.0
x1.25
Pinnacle
-2%
Home -0.75
x3.03
Marathonbet
-2%
Away +0.75
x1.44
Pinnacle
-1%
Home -0.5
x2.46
Unibet
-3%
Away +0.5
x1.62
Pinnacle
-0%
Home -0.25
x2.08
1xBet
-2%
Away +0.25
x1.88
Pinnacle
-0%
Home 0
x1.69
Marathonbet
-2%
Away 0
x2.34
Pinnacle
-1%
Home +0.25
x1.49
Unibet
-5%
Away -0.25
x2.80
Pinnacle
-2%
Home +0.5
x1.37
Unibet
-7%
Away -0.5
x3.30
Pinnacle
-2%
Home +0.75
x1.25
Pinnacle
-6%
Away -0.75
x4.32
Bet365
-2%
Home +1.0
x1.12
Unibet
-6%
Away -1.0
x7.00
Bet365
-3%
Home +1.25
x1.10
Unibet
-9%
Away -1.25
x7.50
Bet365
-2%
Home +1.5
x1.10
Unibet
-7%
Away -1.5
x8.50
Marathonbet
-5%
Home +1.75
x1.02
1xBet
-23%
Away -1.75
x10.00
Correct Score
Unibet
2%
Score: 0:0
x8.00
Pinnacle
-4%
Score: 0:1
x8.82
Pinnacle
-13%
Score: 0:2
x15.95
Pinnacle
1%
Score: 1:0
x7.29
Pinnacle
-16%
Score: 1:1
x6.51
Pinnacle
-22%
Score: 1:2
x12.46
Pinnacle
-9%
Score: 2:0
x11.15
Pinnacle
-19%
Score: 2:1
x10.79
Motivation
Summary of this match
Arouca and Casa Pia to score under 1.25 goals according to Asian handicap is appropriate for value betting. Bookmakers set probability of the result as very low, still it is possible. Overview of Arouca: performance is okayish, team scores between one and two goals and concedes normal amount. Overview of Casa Pia: performance is okayish, team scores between one and two goals and concedes not too much. AI says smaller rewards but also more often to happen. Bet at greater than 3.77. Kelly criterion makes 1% of the budget, while we advise max 1%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 3%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1709
Team ratings
Glicko
1718
1700
Elo
1586
1574
Team goals
Expected
1.17
0.95
Average scored
1.23
1.38
Average conceded
1.01
0.95
Team form
Progress
5%
-5%
Projected place
#7
#6