Beta5ai Predictions All Alaves vs Lugo
BTS yes x2.78
Bet 2%
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Bwin
-2%
Home
x1.38
Pinnacle
-10%
Draw
x4.56
Pinnacle
7%
Away
x11.25
Draw No Bet
William Hill
-2%
Home DNB
x1.11
Pinnacle
3%
Away DNB
x8.76
Over/Under
William Hill
1%
Over 0.5
x1.08
Bet365
-35%
Under 0.5
x9.00
1xBet
-1%
Over 0.75
x1.06
1xBet
-33%
Under 0.75
x7.70
Bet365
1%
Over 1.0
x1.11
Unibet
-28%
Under 1.0
x7.00
Bet365
0%
Over 1.25
x1.25
Unibet
-17%
Under 1.25
x4.00
William Hill
3%
Over 1.5
x1.44
Pinnacle
-16%
Under 1.5
x2.88
Pinnacle
4%
Over 1.75
x1.55
Unibet
-14%
Under 1.75
x2.55
Pinnacle
4%
Over 2.0
x1.71
Pinnacle
-11%
Under 2.0
x2.21
Bet365
5%
Over 2.25
x2.00
Pinnacle
-10%
Under 2.25
x1.88
Unibet
6%
Over 2.5
x2.28
Pinnacle
-9%
Under 2.5
x1.69
Unibet
8%
Over 2.75
x2.75
Pinnacle
-8%
Under 2.75
x1.51
Unibet
10%
Over 3.0
x3.65
Marathon
-7%
Under 3.0
x1.31
Unibet
9%
Over 3.25
x4.10
Bet365
-7%
Under 3.25
x1.26
William Hill
4%
Over 3.5
x4.33
Pinnacle
-6%
Under 3.5
x1.23
Unibet
11%
Over 3.75
x6.00
Bet365
-6%
Under 3.75
x1.15
Unibet
11%
Over 4.0
x9.00
Unibet
-5%
Under 4.0
x1.08
1xBet
-7%
Over 4.25
x7.90
Marathon
-7%
Under 4.25
x1.05
Bet365
-2%
Over 4.5
x9.00
Bwin
-5%
Under 4.5
x1.07
Double Chance
Bwin
-3%
H/D
x1.07
William Hill
-2%
H/A
x1.22
Pinnacle
-4%
D/A
x3.28
Both Teams to Score
Pinnacle
12%
BTS yes
x2.78
Pinnacle
-12%
BTS no
x1.46
Asian Handicap
Unibet
-4%
Home -2.5
x4.90
Marathon
-4%
Away +2.5
x1.19
Unibet
-3%
Home -2.25
x4.40
Pinnacle
-1%
Away +2.25
x1.27
Unibet
-2%
Home -2.0
x3.90
Pinnacle
-1%
Away +2.0
x1.32
Unibet
-1%
Home -1.75
x2.88
Pinnacle
-2%
Away +1.75
x1.48
Unibet
-1%
Home -1.5
x2.38
Pinnacle
-3%
Away +1.5
x1.65
Unibet
-1%
Home -1.25
x2.04
1xBet
-2%
Away +1.25
x1.89
Unibet
0%
Home -1.0
x1.71
Pinnacle
-2%
Away +1.0
x2.35
Unibet
-0%
Home -0.75
x1.52
Pinnacle
-2%
Away +0.75
x2.84
Unibet
-1%
Home -0.5
x1.40
Pinnacle
-3%
Away +0.5
x3.30
Unibet
-2%
Home -0.25
x1.25
Pinnacle
-2%
Away +0.25
x4.56
Unibet
-2%
Home 0
x1.11
Unibet
-13%
Away 0
x7.00
Unibet
-2%
Home +0.25
x1.09
Unibet
-13%
Away -0.25
x8.00
Unibet
-2%
Home +0.5
x1.08
Unibet
-18%
Away -0.5
x8.50
1xBet
-24%
Away -0.75
x11.50
Correct Score
Pinnacle
-27%
Score: 0:0
x8.89
Pinnacle
-18%
Score: 0:1
x18.79
Marathon
-19%
Score: 0:2
x56.00
Unibet
-19%
Score: 1:0
x5.10
Pinnacle
-20%
Score: 1:1
x9.33
Pinnacle
-10%
Score: 1:2
x32.42
Pinnacle
-8%
Score: 2:0
x6.23
Bwin
-14%
Score: 2:1
x9.50
Motivation
Summary of this match
Both Alaves and Lugo to score is one of the best options in the game. Bookmakers set probability of the result as rather low, still chances are higher than listed. Overview of Alaves: performance is okayish, team scores normal amount and concedes a small amount. Overview of Lugo: performance is lower than expected, team scores not too much and concedes normal amount. AI predicts distinctively positive reward from this result in the long run. Minimal odds to start with must be greater than 2.50. Kelly criterion makes 6% of the budget, while we advise max 2%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 12%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1613
Team ratings
Glicko
1736
1491
Elo
1614
1434
Team goals
Expected
2.03
0.61
Average scored
1.31
0.89
Average conceded
0.53
1.39
Team form
Progress
-4%
-14%
Projected place
#5
#21