Prediction: Southampton vs. Burnley

Draw x3.66

LOSS

England - FA Cup 4th Round		08.02.2025 15:00
Southampton	0 - 1 Match Finished	Burnley
St. Mary's Stadium Southampton, Hampshire W. Finnie
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

Second Half (0 - 1)

Kamaldeen SulemanaSimulation

M. EstèveC. Egan-Riley

J. BauressJ. Shelvey

M. EdwardsManuel Benson

T. DiblingP. Onuachu

FoulJoe Worrall

H. MejbriM. Edwards

L. UgochukwuW. Smallbone

James BreeFoul

N. RedmondJ. Sarmiento

K. SulemanaA. Grønbæk

Mateus FernandesC. Archer

3	Shots on Goal	5

5	Shots off Goal	0

10	Total Shots	6

2	Blocked Shots	1

6	Shots insidebox	4

4	Shots outsidebox	2

17	Fouls	15

2	Corner Kicks	0

3	Offsides	2

58%	Ball Possession	42%

2	Yellow Cards	1

	Red Cards

3	Goalkeeper Saves	2

558	Total passes	409

490	Passes accurate	345

88%	Passes %	84%

	expected_goals

	goals_prevented


Coaches
I. Jurić	S. Parker
Formations
3-4-1-2	5-4-1
Start XI
G A. McCarthy (1) D J. Bree (14) D J. Bednarek (35) D Welington (34) M K. Walker-Peters (2) M L. Ugochukwu (26) M J. Aribo (7) M R. Manning (3) F Mateus Fernandes (18) F T. Dibling (33) F K. Sulemana (20)	(32) V. Hladký G (2) O. Sonne D (6) C. Egan-Riley D (4) J. Worrall D (12) B. Humphreys D (23) Lucas Pires D (10) Manuel Benson M (26) J. Shelvey M (28) H. Mejbri M (7) J. Sarmiento M (35) A. Barnes F
Substitutes
F P. Onuachu (32) M W. Smallbone (8) M A. Grønbæk (29) F C. Archer (19) D Y. Sugawara (16) D A. Bella-Kotchap (37) D N. Wood-Gordon (15) G A. Ramsdale (30) M A. Lallana (10)	(5) M. Estève D (41) J. Bauress F (22) M. Edwards F (15) N. Redmond M (19) Z. Flemming M (24) J. Cullen M (20) E. Green G (48) E. Agyei F (34) J. Banel F

Southampton	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Welington	D	8.2	90		0	1		0		63	1	51	0	0
Jan Bednarek	D	7.3	90		0	1		0		93		90	0	0
Ryan Manning	M	7.3	90		0	2	2	0		43	1	35	0	0
Kamaldeen Sulemana	F	7.2	86		0	1		0		26		21	1	0
Alex McCarthy	G	7	90		0			1	3	40	1	27	0	0
James Bree	D	7	90		0			0		69	1	65	1	0
Kyle Walker-Peters	M	6.9	90		0			0		40	1	36	0	0
Mateus Fernandes	F	6.9	86		0	1		0		31		25	0	0
Joe Aribo	M	6.7	90		0			0		83		75	0	0
Lesley Ugochukwu	M	6.6	82		0			0		39	1	36	0	0
Will Smallbone	M	6.6	8		0			0		10		9	0	0
Albert Grønbæk	M	6.5	8		0			0		1		1	0	0
Cameron Archer	F	6.5	8		0			0		2		2	0	0
Tyler Dibling	F	6.3	67		0	2	1	0		14	1	13	0	0
Paul Onuachu	F	6.2	23		0			0		4		4	0	0
Aaron Ramsdale	G							0					0	0
Yukinari Sugawara	D							0					0	0
Nathan Wood	D							0					0	0
Armel Bella-Kotchap	D							0					0	0
Adam Lallana	M							0					0	0
Burnley	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Hannibal Mejbri	M	7.7	90		1			0		37	1	33	0	0
Václav Hladký	G	7.3	90		0			0	2	45		28	0	0
Joe Worrall	D	7.3	90		0			0		45		42	1	0
Lucas Pires	D	7.3	90		0			0		31	1	24	0	0
Oliver Sonne	D	7.2	90		0			0		31		28	0	0
CJ Egan-Riley	D	6.9	58		0			0		46		41	0	0
Bashir Humphreys	D	6.9	90		0			0		42		36	0	0
Jonjo Shelvey	M	6.9	59		0	1	1	0		36		29	0	0
Jeremy Sarmiento	M	6.9	83		0	1	1	0		22		18	0	0
Maxime Estève	D	6.9	32		0			0		6		6	0	0
Marcus Edwards	F	6.9	31	1	0	1	1	0		8		6	0	0
Manuel Benson	M	6.6	59		0	1	1	0		21		19	0	0
Ashley Barnes	F	6.6	90		0	1	1	0		18	1	16	0	0
Joe Bauress	F	6.6	31		0			0		19	1	17	0	0
Nathan Redmond	M	6.3	11		0			0		2		2	0	0
Etienne Green	G							0					0	0
Josh Cullen	M							0					0	0
Jaydon Banel	F							0					0	0
Zian Flemming	M							0					0	0
Enock Agyei	F							0					0	0

AI calculated discounted chance as 27.31%, which is not enough for robust betting at given odds

Mean expected score:

1.71 : 0.9

71

Strength

78

89

Form

93

67

Attack

72

64

Defence

75

47

Field help

53

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

1x2

Home

x1.96

Draw

x3.67

Away

x5.24

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x1.40

Away DNB

x3.76

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.11

Under 0.5

x12.16

Over 0.75

x1.12

Under 0.75

x10.98

Over 1.0

x1.13

Under 1.0

x9.79

Over 1.25

x1.27

Under 1.25

x5.06

Over 1.5

x1.41

Under 1.5

x3.65

Over 1.75

x1.50

Under 1.75

x3.19

Over 2.0

x1.64

Under 2.0

x2.72

Over 2.25

x1.92

Under 2.25

x2.18

Over 2.5

x2.20

Under 2.5

x1.90

Over 2.75

x2.56

Under 2.75

x1.70

Over 3.0

x3.22

Under 3.0

x1.49

Over 3.25

x3.66

Under 3.25

x1.41

Over 3.5

x4.09

Under 3.5

x1.35

Over 3.75

x5.28

Under 3.75

x1.26

Over 4.0

x7.97

Under 4.0

x1.17

Over 4.25

x8.60

Under 4.25

x1.15

Over 4.5

x9.24

Under 4.5

x1.14

Double Chance

H/D

x1.26

H/A

x1.42

D/A

x2.14

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x2.03

BTS no

x2.06

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x9.70

Away +2.5

x1.14

Home -2.25

x8.94

Away +2.25

x1.15

Home -2.0

x8.17

Away +2.0

x1.16

Home -1.75

x5.09

Away +1.75

x1.27

Home -1.5

x3.88

Away +1.5

x1.39

Home -1.25

x3.37

Away +1.25

x1.46

Home -1.0

x2.88

Away +1.0

x1.59

Home -0.75

x2.26

Away +0.75

x1.86

Home -0.5

x1.96

Away +0.5

x2.14

Home -0.25

x1.67

Away +0.25

x2.61

Home 0

x1.40

Away 0

x3.76

Home +0.25

x1.31

Away -0.25

x4.50

Home +0.5

x1.26

Away -0.5

x5.24

Home +0.75

x1.18

Away -0.75

x7.43

Home +1.0

x1.09

Away -1.0

x14.44

Home +1.25

x1.09

Away -1.25

x15.54

Home +1.5

x1.08

Away -1.5

x16.65

Away -1.75

x25.25

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x12.16

Score: 0:1

x15.52

Score: 0:2

x37.92

Score: 1:0

x7.93

Score: 1:1

x8.19

Score: 1:2

x20.45

Score: 2:0

x10.40

Score: 2:1

x10.21