Prediction: Estrela vs. Benfica

Over 2.25 x1.48

Bet 1.3%

Pinnacle

WIN

Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 20		02.02.2025 20:30
Estrela	2 - 3 Match Finished	Benfica
Estádio José Gomes Amadora João Pedro Pinheiro
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (1 - 3)

V. PavlidisN. Otamendi

Nicolás Otamendi

I. Dramé

Rodrigo PinhoFoul

Diogo TravassosManuel Keliano

ManuV. Pavlidis

Persistent foulingManuel Silva

Second Half (2 - 3)

Chico Banza

Rodrigo PinhoKikas

Manuel KelianoLéo Cordeiro

Chico BanzaFábio Ronaldo

L. BarreiroO. Kökçü

A. SchjelderupÁ. Di María

Leonel BuccaFoul

Nilton VarelaGuilherme Montóia

A. OudrhiriPaulo Moreira

Diogo TravassosFoul

Arthur CabralV. Pavlidis

Z. AmdouniK. Aktürkoğlu

Time wastingFredrik Aursnes

3	Shots on Goal	7

4	Shots off Goal	5

7	Total Shots	14

0	Blocked Shots	2

3	Shots insidebox	11

4	Shots outsidebox	3

14	Fouls	17

0	Corner Kicks	7

2	Offsides	1

41%	Ball Possession	59%

3	Yellow Cards	2

	Red Cards

5	Goalkeeper Saves	1

298	Total passes	428

225	Passes accurate	354

76%	Passes %	83%

1.12	expected_goals	1.84

0	goals_prevented	0


Coaches
José Faria	Bruno Lage
Formations
3-4-3	4-3-3
Start XI
G M. Gudžulić (93) D Ferro (4) D I. Dramé (5) D Rúben Lima (28) M Diogo Travassos (2) M Manuel Keliano (42) M A. Oudrhiri (12) M Nilton Varela (25) F L. Bucca (26) F Rodrigo Pinho (9) F Chico Banza (17)	(1) A. Trubin G (44) Tomás Araújo D (4) António Silva D (30) N. Otamendi D (3) Álvaro Fernández D (8) F. Aursnes M (16) Manu M (10) O. Kökçü M (11) Á. Di María F (14) V. Pavlidis F (17) K. Aktürkoğlu F
Substitutes
F Kikas (98) M Léo Cordeiro (22) F Fábio Ronaldo (7) M Paulo Moreira (19) D Guilherme Montóia (21) D G. Tunguliiadi (23) F Caio Santana (38) G João Costa (24) D Miguel Lopes (13)	(18) L. Barreiro M (21) A. Schjelderup F (7) Z. Amdouni F (9) Arthur Cabral F (6) A. Bah D (81) A. Bajrami D (61) Florentino M (84) João Rêgo M (24) Samuel Soares G

Estrela	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Diogo Travassos	M	7.5	90	1	0	1	1	0		23	1	16	1	0
Marko Gudžulić	G	7.3	90		0			3	5	23		11	0	0
Manuel Keliano	M	6.9	66		1			0		27	1	23	0	0
Chico Banza	F	6.9	66	1	0	2	1	0		8		5	0	0
Guilherme Montóia	D	6.9	12		0			0		7		3	0	0
Paulo Moreira	M	6.9	12		0			0		4		3	0	0
Amine Oudrhiri	M	6.6	78		0			0		36		34	0	0
Ferro	D	6.5	90		0			0		33		22	0	0
Leonel Bucca	F	6.5	90		0	1		0		20	1	16	1	0
Kikas	F	6.5	33		0			0		3		2	0	0
Rúben Lima	D	6.3	90		0			0		49	1	36	0	0
Rodrigo Pinho	F	6.3	57		0	2	1	0		11	1	10	1	0
Léo Cordeiro	M	6.3	24		0			0		8		5	0	0
Fábio Ronaldo	F	6.3	24		0	1		0		11		9	0	0
Nilton Varela	M	6.2	78		0			0		9		7	0	0
Issiar Drame	D	5.6	90		0			0		26		23	0	0
João Costa	G							0					0	0
Miguel Lopes	D							0					0	0
Georgiy Tunguliyadi	D							0					0	0
Caio Santana	F							0					0	0
Benfica	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Vangelis Pavlidis	F	7.9	80	1	1	4	1	0		15	1	11	0	0
Manuel Silva	M	7.5	90		1	1	1	0		50	1	44	1	0
Nicolás Otamendi	D	7.3	90	1	0	1	1	0		60		52	0	0
Fredrik Aursnes	M	7	90		0	1	1	0		49	1	40	1	0
Leandro Barreiro	M	7	22		0			0		9		5	0	0
Ángel Di María	F	6.9	69		0	2	1	0		23	1	20	0	0
Álvaro Carreras	D	6.6	90		0			0		35	1	30	0	0
Orkun Kökçü	M	6.6	68		0			0		37	2	32	0	0
Andreas Schjelderup	F	6.6	21		0			0		5	1	4	0	0
Tomás Araújo	D	6.5	90		0			0		39		32	0	0
Anatoliy Trubin	G	6.3	90		0			2	1	31		23	0	0
António Silva	D	6.3	90		0			0		50		44	0	0
Zeki Amdouni	F	6.3	10		0			0		4		2	0	0
Kerem Aktürkoğlu	F	5.9	80		0	1		0		19	1	14	0	0
Arthur Cabral	F	5.7	10		0	2	2	0		2		1	0	0
Samuel Soares	G							0					0	0
Adrian Bajrami	D							0					0	0
Alexander Bah	D							0					0	0
João Rêgo	M							0					0	0
Florentino Luís	M							0					0	0

Robust bet is 1.3% of current betting balance at odds x1.48 found at Pinnacle - AI calculated discounted chance as 68.31%, which is by 0.74% greater than bookmakers opinion

Mean expected score:

0.68 : 2.71

62

Strength

92

83

Form

97

56

Attack

86

64

Defence

77

48

Field help

52

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

1x2

Home

x14.26

Draw

x7.56

Away

x1.32

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x12.24

Away DNB

x1.13

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.05

Under 0.5

x29.05

Over 1.0

x1.06

Under 1.0

x25.15

Over 1.25

x1.14

Under 1.25

x9.33

Over 1.5

x1.23

Under 1.5

x6.07

Over 1.75

x1.26

Under 1.75

x5.43

Over 2.0

x1.30

Under 2.0

x4.79

Over 2.25

x1.47

Under 2.25

x3.33

Over 2.5

x1.65

Under 2.5

x2.69

Over 2.75

x1.81

Under 2.75

x2.37

Over 3.0

x2.06

Under 3.0

x2.05

Over 3.25

x2.38

Under 3.25

x1.80

Over 3.5

x2.70

Under 3.5

x1.65

Over 3.75

x3.19

Under 3.75

x1.51

Over 4.0

x4.09

Under 4.0

x1.37

Over 4.25

x4.51

Under 4.25

x1.32

Over 4.5

x4.93

Under 4.5

x1.29

Double Chance

H/D

x4.81

H/A

x1.19

D/A

x1.11

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x2.42

BTS no

x1.82

Asian Handicap

Home -1.0

x51.37

Away +1.0

x1.05

Home -0.75

x21.77

Home -0.25

x13.25

Away +0.25

x1.12

Home 0

x12.24

Away 0

x1.13

Home +0.25

x6.66

Away -0.25

x1.22

Home +0.5

x4.81

Away -0.5

x1.32

Home +0.75

x4.23

Away -0.75

x1.37

Home +1.0

x3.65

Away -1.0

x1.45

Home +1.25

x2.70

Away -1.25

x1.67

Home +1.5

x2.27

Away -1.5

x1.91

Home +1.75

x2.02

Away -1.75

x2.13

Home +2.0

x1.78

Away -2.0

x2.52

Home +2.25

x1.63

Away -2.25

x2.86

Home +2.5

x1.53

Away -2.5

x3.21

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x29.05

Score: 0:1

x9.54

Score: 0:2

x8.10

Score: 1:0

x49.26

Score: 1:1

x17.95

Score: 1:2

x11.39

Score: 2:0

x132.07

Score: 2:1

x57.07