Prediction: VfL Bochum vs. SC Freiburg

Beta5ai Predictions All VfL Bochum vs SC Freiburg

Under 3.75 x1.32

Bet 2.4%

Pinnacle

WIN

Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 20		01.02.2025 14:30
VfL Bochum	0 - 1 Match Finished	SC Freiburg
Vonovia Ruhrstadion Bochum Tobias Welz, Germany
EventsStatisticsLineupsPlayers

First Half (0 - 1)

C. GünterK. Sildillia

Matúš BeroFoul

Second Half (0 - 1)

R. DoanV. Grifo

BernardoFoul

D. de WitT. Krauß

M. BroschinskiM. Boadu

M. WittekK. Miyoshi

Time wastingNoah Atubolu

P. OsterhageM. Eggestein

T. OermannM. Pannewig

FoulNicolas Höfler

Ibrahima SissokoArgument

G. HoltmannJ. Medić

J. ManzambiM. Röhl

M. GregoritschE. Dinkçi

4	Shots on Goal	5

12	Shots off Goal	5

22	Total Shots	13

6	Blocked Shots	3

10	Shots insidebox	10

12	Shots outsidebox	3

15	Fouls	10

9	Corner Kicks	7

1	Offsides	1

58%	Ball Possession	42%

3	Yellow Cards	2

	Red Cards

3	Goalkeeper Saves	4

436	Total passes	317

345	Passes accurate	227

79%	Passes %	72%

0.98	expected_goals	1.72

0	goals_prevented	0


Coaches
D. Hecking	J. Schuster
Formations
4-2-3-1	4-2-3-1
Start XI
G P. Drewes (27) D T. Oermann (14) D I. Ordets (20) D Bernardo (5) D M. Wittek (32) M I. Sissoko (6) M M. Bero (19) M M. Broschinski (29) M D. de Wit (10) M G. Holtmann (21) F P. Hofmann (33)	(1) N. Atubolu G (25) K. Sildillia D (28) M. Ginter D (3) P. Lienhart D (30) C. Günter D (27) N. Höfler M (8) M. Eggestein M (18) E. Dinkçi M (34) M. Röhl M (32) V. Grifo M (9) L. Höler F
Substitutes
M T. Krauß (17) F M. Boadu (9) M K. Miyoshi (23) M M. Pannewig (24) D J. Medić (13) M A. Losilla (8) M E. Mašović (4) D C. Gamboa (2) G T. Horn (1)	(42) R. Doan M (6) P. Osterhage M (44) J. Manzambi M (38) M. Gregoritsch F (21) F. Müller G (33) J. Makengo D (26) M. Philipp F (58) Y. Sturm M (20) J. Adamu F

VfL Bochum	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Ivan Ordets	D	7.6	90		0			0		64	1	59	0	0
Philipp Hofmann	F	7.6	90		0	4	3	0		24	2	14	0	0
Patrick Drewes	G	7.5	90		0			1	3	26		22	0	0
Bernardo	D	7.3	90		0			0		67		51	1	0
Gerrit Holtmann	M	7	89		0	5		0		29	1	26	0	0
Tim Oermann	D	6.9	80		0			0		32	2	26	0	0
Ibrahima Sissoko	M	6.9	90		0			0		44		39	1	0
Moritz Broschinski	M	6.9	64		0	1		0		10	1	6	0	0
Koji Miyoshi	M	6.9	26		0	2	1	0		15	1	10	0	0
Mats Pannewig	M	6.7	10		0			0		10		9	0	0
Maximilian Wittek	D	6.6	64		0	2		0		29	1	19	0	0
Tom Krauß	M	6.6	27		0			0		21	1	18	0	0
Matúš Bero	M	6.3	90		0	1		0		38	2	29	1	0
Dani de Wit	M	6.3	63		0			0		15	1	8	0	0
Myron Boadu	F	6.3	26		0	1		0		12	1	9	0	0
Jakov Medić	D		1		0			0					0	0
Timo Horn	G							0					0	0
Erhan Mašović	M							0					0	0
Cristian Gamboa	D							0					0	0
Anthony Losilla	M							0					0	0
SC Freiburg	P	R	M	G	GA	TS	SO	GC	GS	TP	KP	PA	YC	RC
Kiliann Sildillia	D	8.3	90	1	0	1	1	0		28	2	15	0	0
Noah Atubolu	G	7.9	90		0			0	4	37		20	1	0
Matthias Ginter	D	7.9	90		0	2		0		31		24	0	0
Christian Günter	D	7.7	90		1			0		22	1	17	0	0
Vincenzo Grifo	M	7.3	58		0	1	1	0		26	2	22	0	0
Nicolas Höfler	M	7.2	90		0			0		23		18	1	0
Maximilian Eggestein	M	7.2	77		0	1	1	0		24		20	0	0
Philipp Lienhart	D	7	90		0			0		41		37	0	0
Eren Dinkçi	M	6.9	89		0	1	1	0		18		12	0	0
Merlin Röhl	M	6.9	89		0	2		0		23	1	16	0	0
Patrick Osterhage	M	6.9	13		0			0		7		5	0	0
Lucas Höler	F	6.7	90		0	2	1	0		26	1	17	0	0
Ritsu Doan	M	6.6	32		0			0		9		4	0	0
Johan Manzambi	M		1		0			0		1			0	0
Michael Gregoritsch	F		1		0			0		1			0	0
Florian Müller	G							0					0	0
Jordy Makengo	D							0					0	0
Yann Sturm	M							0					0	0
Chukwubuike Adamu	F							0					0	0
Maximilian Philipp	F							0					0	0

Motivation

Robust bet is 2.4% of current betting balance at odds x1.32 found at Pinnacle - AI calculated discounted chance as 77.53%, which is by 1.77% greater than bookmakers opinion

Mean expected score:

1.36 : 1.48

Strength

Form

Attack

Defence

Field help

Probabilities

Match Result

Goal difference

Sum of goals

Score

Both teams to score

Fair Odds

1x2

Home

x2.93

Draw

x3.77

Away

x2.70

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

x2.12

Away DNB

x1.96

Over/Under

Over 0.5

x1.10

Under 0.5

x13.61

Over 0.75

x1.11

Under 0.75

x12.41

Over 1.0

x1.12

Under 1.0

x11.22

Over 1.25

x1.24

Under 1.25

x5.70

Over 1.5

x1.36

Under 1.5

x4.07

Over 1.75

x1.43

Under 1.75

x3.58

Over 2.0

x1.53

Under 2.0

x3.10

Over 2.25

x1.77

Under 2.25

x2.42

Over 2.5

x2.01

Under 2.5

x2.07

Over 2.75

x2.30

Under 2.75

x1.84

Over 3.0

x2.83

Under 3.0

x1.60

Over 3.25

x3.25

Under 3.25

x1.49

Over 3.5

x3.67

Under 3.5

x1.41

Over 3.75

x4.68

Under 3.75

x1.30

Over 4.0

x6.96

Under 4.0

x1.19

Over 4.25

x7.58

Under 4.25

x1.17

Over 4.5

x8.21

Under 4.5

x1.16

Double Chance

H/D

x1.63

H/A

x1.40

D/A

x1.56

Both Teams to Score

BTS yes

x1.79

BTS no

x2.37

Asian Handicap

Home -2.5

x18.38

Away +2.5

x1.07

Home -2.0

x16.62

Home -1.75

x9.37

Away +1.75

x1.14

Home -1.5

x6.74

Away +1.5

x1.20

Home -1.25

x6.07

Away +1.25

x1.22

Home -1.0

x5.40

Away +1.0

x1.25

Home -0.75

x3.67

Away +0.75

x1.41

Home -0.5

x2.93

Away +0.5

x1.56

Home -0.25

x2.52

Away +0.25

x1.71

Home 0

x2.12

Away 0

x1.96

Home +0.25

x1.81

Away -0.25

x2.33

Home +0.5

x1.63

Away -0.5

x2.70

Home +0.75

x1.46

Away -0.75

x3.35

Home +1.0

x1.29

Away -1.0

x4.81

Home +1.25

x1.25

Away -1.25

x5.45

Home +1.5

x1.22

Away -1.5

x6.09

Home +1.75

x1.15

Away -1.75

x8.52

Home +2.0

x1.09

Away -2.0

x15.56

Away -2.5

x17.46

Correct Score

Score: 0:0

x13.61

Score: 0:1

x11.31

Score: 0:2

x17.70

Score: 1:0

x12.36

Score: 1:1

x8.77

Score: 1:2

x12.07

Score: 2:0

x20.43

Score: 2:1

x12.61