Beta5ai Predictions All Southampton vs Manchester City
Under 3.0 x1.96
Bet 2%
Bet365
LOSS
Best odds
1x2
Unibet
1%
Home
x13.00
1xBet
-1%
Draw
x6.75
Unibet
-2%
Away
x1.27
Draw No Bet
Pinnacle
1%
Home DNB
x10.18
Unibet
-3%
Away DNB
x1.08
Over/Under
Bet365
-1%
Over 0.5
x1.03
1xBet
-2%
Under 0.5
x17.00
Marathon
-2%
Under 1.0
x12.75
Bet365
-3%
Over 1.25
x1.10
Bet365
-2%
Under 1.25
x7.00
Bwin
-3%
Over 1.5
x1.18
Bet365
-2%
Under 1.5
x5.00
Bet365
-4%
Over 1.75
x1.20
Bet365
-2%
Under 1.75
x4.40
Pinnacle
-4%
Over 2.0
x1.25
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 2.0
x4.07
Pinnacle
-4%
Over 2.25
x1.42
Pinnacle
0%
Under 2.25
x2.95
1xBet
-3%
Over 2.5
x1.63
1xBet
2%
Under 2.5
x2.48
1xBet
-4%
Over 2.75
x1.77
1xBet
3%
Under 2.75
x2.22
Unibet
-5%
Over 3.0
x1.98
Bet365
4%
Under 3.0
x1.96
Unibet
-5%
Over 3.25
x2.25
Bet365
2%
Under 3.25
x1.70
Unibet
-5%
Over 3.5
x2.50
William Hill
2%
Under 3.5
x1.57
Pinnacle
-6%
Over 3.75
x2.88
Pinnacle
2%
Under 3.75
x1.44
Pinnacle
-5%
Over 4.0
x3.62
Bet365
1%
Under 4.0
x1.30
1xBet
-5%
Over 4.25
x3.86
Bet365
1%
Under 4.25
x1.26
Unibet
-3%
Over 4.5
x4.60
Bwin
-0%
Under 4.5
x1.22
Double Chance
Pinnacle
0%
H/D
x4.31
Unibet
-0%
H/A
x1.16
Unibet
-3%
D/A
x1.06
Both Teams to Score
Unibet
-4%
BTS yes
x2.17
Pinnacle
-1%
BTS no
x1.71
Asian Handicap
Marathon
-1%
Home 0
x8.90
Marathon
-6%
Away 0
x1.04
Marathon
-1%
Home +0.25
x5.45
Bet365
-3%
Away -0.25
x1.16
Bet365
-3%
Home +0.5
x3.80
Bet365
-3%
Away -0.5
x1.25
Marathon
-1%
Home +0.75
x3.60
Bet365
-3%
Away -0.75
x1.30
Marathon
0%
Home +1.0
x3.25
Bet365
-5%
Away -1.0
x1.35
Marathon
1%
Home +1.25
x2.50
Marathon
-6%
Away -1.25
x1.53
1xBet
3%
Home +1.5
x2.21
1xBet
-4%
Away -1.5
x1.78
1xBet
4%
Home +1.75
x1.97
1xBet
-5%
Away -1.75
x1.97
Marathon
2%
Home +2.0
x1.68
Bet365
-7%
Away -2.0
x2.20
Marathon
1%
Home +2.25
x1.53
Marathon
-7%
Away -2.25
x2.43
Bet365
-0%
Home +2.5
x1.43
Bet365
-6%
Away -2.5
x2.75
Correct Score
William Hill
0%
Score: 0:0
x19.00
Bet365
1%
Score: 0:1
x8.50
Bwin
-1%
Score: 0:2
x6.50
William Hill
0%
Score: 1:0
x34.00
Bet365
-1%
Score: 1:1
x13.00
Bet365
-1%
Score: 1:2
x10.00
William Hill
-0%
Score: 2:0
x81.00
William Hill
-0%
Score: 2:1
x41.00
Motivation
Summary of this match
Southampton and Manchester City to score under 3.0 goals according to Asian handicap is appropriate for value betting. Bookmakers set probability of the result as average, still chances are higher than listed. Overview of Southampton: performance is beyond what fans need, team scores less than one goal and concedes average number of goals. Overview of Manchester City: performance is way better than expected, team scores great amount and concedes less than one goal. AI predicts modest reward from this result in the long run. Minimal odds to start with must be greater than 1.84. Kelly criterion makes 6% of the budget, while we advise max 2%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 4%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1964
Team ratings
Glicko
1765
2164
Elo
1630
2000
Team goals
Expected
0.59
2.38
Average scored
0.91
1.46
Average conceded
2.77
0.7
Team form
Progress
-9%
16%
Projected place
#20
#2