Beta5ai Predictions All Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
Away +1.5 x1.58
Bet 3%
WIN
Best odds
1x2
Bet365
-4%
Home
x1.50
Marathonbet
-6%
Draw
x4.25
William Hill
3%
Away
x7.50
Draw No Bet
Bwin
-4%
Home DNB
x1.15
Pinnacle
-2%
Away DNB
x5.56
Over/Under
Bwin
-2%
Over 0.5
x1.06
Bet365
-20%
Under 0.5
x10.00
Marathonbet
-5%
Over 0.75
x1.03
1xBet
-15%
Under 0.75
x9.40
Marathonbet
-5%
Over 1.0
x1.04
Marathonbet
-18%
Under 1.0
x7.60
Bet365
-4%
Over 1.25
x1.20
1xBet
-8%
Under 1.25
x4.44
William Hill
-5%
Over 1.5
x1.33
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 1.5
x3.41
Pinnacle
-4%
Over 1.75
x1.42
Pinnacle
-4%
Under 1.75
x2.92
Bet365
-5%
Over 2.0
x1.50
Pinnacle
0%
Under 2.0
x2.62
Bet365
-5%
Over 2.25
x1.77
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 2.25
x2.11
William Hill
-7%
Over 2.5
x2.00
Marathonbet
-1%
Under 2.5
x1.84
Bet365
-7%
Over 2.75
x2.30
Pinnacle
0%
Under 2.75
x1.66
Bet365
-10%
Over 3.0
x2.75
Pinnacle
1%
Under 3.0
x1.48
Bet365
-12%
Over 3.25
x3.10
Bet365
-2%
Under 3.25
x1.35
William Hill
-13%
Over 3.5
x3.50
Pinnacle
0%
Under 3.5
x1.33
Bet365
-16%
Over 3.75
x4.25
Bet365
-2%
Under 3.75
x1.21
Bet365
-18%
Over 4.0
x6.00
Bet365
-1%
Under 4.0
x1.13
Bet365
-19%
Over 4.25
x6.60
Bet365
-2%
Under 4.25
x1.11
Bet365
-20%
Over 4.5
x7.00
Pinnacle
-0%
Under 4.5
x1.12
Double Chance
Pinnacle
-4%
H/D
x1.11
Pinnacle
-3%
H/A
x1.24
Pinnacle
-3%
D/A
x2.70
Both Teams to Score
William Hill
-3%
BTS yes
x2.20
Pinnacle
-5%
BTS no
x1.70
Asian Handicap
Bet365
-26%
Home -2.5
x4.50
Bet365
0%
Away +2.5
x1.19
Pinnacle
-22%
Home -2.25
x4.30
Pinnacle
2%
Away +2.25
x1.23
Pinnacle
-19%
Home -2.0
x4.02
Bet365
2%
Away +2.0
x1.26
Pinnacle
-20%
Home -1.75
x2.95
Pinnacle
4%
Away +1.75
x1.41
Pinnacle
-20%
Home -1.5
x2.44
Pinnacle
8%
Away +1.5
x1.58
Pinnacle
-15%
Home -1.25
x2.13
Pinnacle
7%
Away +1.25
x1.74
Bet365
-9%
Home -1.0
x1.83
Pinnacle
5%
Away +1.0
x2.04
Bet365
-7%
Home -0.75
x1.60
Pinnacle
1%
Away +0.75
x2.38
Bet365
-5%
Home -0.5
x1.48
Pinnacle
-2%
Away +0.5
x2.73
Pinnacle
-5%
Home -0.25
x1.31
Pinnacle
-2%
Away +0.25
x3.51
Pinnacle
-3%
Home 0
x1.16
Pinnacle
-1%
Away 0
x5.62
Bet365
-4%
Home +0.25
x1.13
Bet365
-7%
Away -0.25
x6.00
Bet365
-5%
Home +0.5
x1.10
Bet365
-7%
Away -0.5
x6.80
Marathonbet
-6%
Home +0.75
x1.03
1xBet
-12%
Away -0.75
x9.40
1xBet
-33%
Away -1.0
x13.00
1xBet
-3%
Home +1.5
x1.01
1xBet
-39%
Away -1.5
x13.50
Correct Score
Pinnacle
-17%
Score: 0:0
x10.23
Pinnacle
-11%
Score: 0:1
x16.25
Marathonbet
-10%
Score: 0:2
x41.00
Pinnacle
-10%
Score: 1:0
x6.24
Pinnacle
-17%
Score: 1:1
x8.37
William Hill
-14%
Score: 1:2
x23.00
Bwin
-17%
Score: 2:0
x6.50
Pinnacle
-14%
Score: 2:1
x9.45
Motivation
Summary of this match
Botev Vratsa to not lose by more than 1.5 goals is appropriate for value betting. Bookmakers set probability of the result as high, still chances are even higher than listed. Overview of Lokomotiv Plovdiv: performance is beyond what fans need, team scores normal amount and concedes between one and two goals. Overview of Botev Vratsa: performance is way beyond expectations, team scores a small amount and concedes average number of goals. Positive average reward combined with slightly higher risk is expected here by AI. To play profitably one shall use odds greater than 1.49. Kelly criterion makes 7% of the budget, while we advise max 3%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 8%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1653
Team ratings
Glicko
1755
1550
Elo
1694
1523
Team goals
Expected
1.84
0.74
Average scored
1.22
1.12
Average conceded
0.79
1.79
Team form
Progress
-12%
-19%
Projected place
#5
#13