Beta5ai Predictions All Famalicao vs Tondela
Under 3.0 x1.41
Bet 2%
WIN
Best odds
1x2
Bwin
-4%
Home
x1.80
Pinnacle
-2%
Draw
x3.53
Pinnacle
-11%
Away
x4.88
Draw No Bet
William Hill
-1%
Home DNB
x1.33
Pinnacle
-7%
Away DNB
x3.56
Over/Under
William Hill
-3%
Over 0.5
x1.08
Unibet
-13%
Under 0.5
x8.50
Unibet
-4%
Over 0.75
x1.09
1xBet
-3%
Under 0.75
x8.40
Unibet
-4%
Over 1.0
x1.10
Unibet
-10%
Under 1.0
x6.75
Unibet
-5%
Over 1.25
x1.24
Unibet
-7%
Under 1.25
x3.95
Unibet
-6%
Over 1.5
x1.38
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 1.5
x3.11
Unibet
-5%
Over 1.75
x1.49
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 1.75
x2.74
Unibet
-4%
Over 2.0
x1.67
Pinnacle
-0%
Under 2.0
x2.34
Unibet
-3%
Over 2.25
x1.98
Pinnacle
-1%
Under 2.25
x1.93
Unibet
-4%
Over 2.5
x2.28
Marathonbet
-2%
Under 2.5
x1.71
Unibet
-2%
Over 2.75
x2.75
Pinnacle
-2%
Under 2.75
x1.53
Unibet
-3%
Over 3.0
x3.60
Pinnacle
2%
Under 3.0
x1.41
Unibet
-5%
Over 3.25
x4.00
1xBet
-3%
Under 3.25
x1.28
Unibet
-5%
Over 3.5
x4.50
William Hill
-2%
Under 3.5
x1.25
Unibet
-6%
Over 3.75
x5.80
1xBet
-3%
Under 3.75
x1.16
Unibet
-10%
Over 4.0
x8.50
Unibet
-4%
Under 4.0
x1.07
1xBet
-21%
Over 4.25
x8.00
1xBet
-5%
Under 4.25
x1.06
Unibet
-13%
Over 4.5
x9.50
Pinnacle
0%
Under 4.5
x1.11
Double Chance
Bwin
-2%
H/D
x1.20
Pinnacle
-6%
H/A
x1.31
Pinnacle
-5%
D/A
x2.06
Both Teams to Score
Bet365
-3%
BTS yes
x2.10
Pinnacle
-5%
BTS no
x1.79
Asian Handicap
Bet365
-37%
Home -2.5
x6.60
Bet365
-0%
Away +2.5
x1.11
1xBet
-31%
Home -2.25
x6.40
Bet365
1%
Away +2.25
x1.13
Marathonbet
-28%
Home -2.0
x5.90
Bet365
0%
Away +2.0
x1.14
Unibet
-15%
Home -1.75
x4.50
Bet365
1%
Away +1.75
x1.25
Unibet
-13%
Home -1.5
x3.50
Bet365
1%
Away +1.5
x1.35
Unibet
-10%
Home -1.25
x3.05
Bet365
1%
Away +1.25
x1.43
Unibet
-6%
Home -1.0
x2.63
Bet365
0%
Away +1.0
x1.55
Unibet
-5%
Home -0.75
x2.07
Bet365
-1%
Away +0.75
x1.83
Unibet
-4%
Home -0.5
x1.79
Pinnacle
-4%
Away +0.5
x2.08
Marathonbet
-4%
Home -0.25
x1.54
Pinnacle
-4%
Away +0.25
x2.54
Marathonbet
-2%
Home 0
x1.31
Pinnacle
-7%
Away 0
x3.58
1xBet
-2%
Home +0.25
x1.25
Pinnacle
-10%
Away -0.25
x4.20
Pinnacle
-1%
Home +0.5
x1.21
Unibet
-15%
Away -0.5
x4.70
Bet365
-2%
Home +0.75
x1.13
Unibet
-15%
Away -0.75
x6.50
Marathonbet
-5%
Home +1.0
x1.02
Marathonbet
-32%
Away -1.0
x9.30
Marathonbet
-6%
Home +1.5
x1.01
Marathonbet
-40%
Away -1.5
x9.90
Correct Score
Pinnacle
-14%
Score: 0:0
x8.97
Pinnacle
-10%
Score: 0:1
x12.09
Marathonbet
-23%
Score: 0:2
x24.00
Pinnacle
-11%
Score: 1:0
x6.41
Bet365
-20%
Score: 1:1
x7.00
Bet365
-19%
Score: 1:2
x17.00
Bwin
-17%
Score: 2:0
x8.00
William Hill
-22%
Score: 2:1
x9.00
Motivation
Summary of this match
Famalicao and Tondela to score under 3.0 goals according to Asian handicap is appropriate for value betting. Bookmakers set probability of the result as very high, still chances are even higher than listed. Overview of Famalicao: performance is seriously on the low side, team scores average number of goals and concedes normal amount. Overview of Tondela: performance is lower than expected, team scores a small amount and concedes average number of goals. AI found small yet positive profit for this result in past games like this. Minimal odds to start with must be greater than 1.39. Kelly criterion makes 5% of the budget, while we advise max 2%. We wish you the best of luck and generally great day!
Prediction parameters
Reward: 2%
Robustness: 100%
Game rating
Rating: 1583
Team ratings
Glicko
1630
1536
Elo
1573
1507
Team goals
Expected
1.55
0.87
Average scored
1.22
1.24
Average conceded
0.97
1.03
Team form
Progress
-42%
-6%
Projected place
#5
#4